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A Stochastic Time Series Model for Predicting Financial Trends using NLP

Computational Finance 2021-02-03 v1 Machine Learning

Abstract

Stock price forecasting is a highly complex and vitally important field of research. Recent advancements in deep neural network technology allow researchers to develop highly accurate models to predict financial trends. We propose a novel deep learning model called ST-GAN, or Stochastic Time-series Generative Adversarial Network, that analyzes both financial news texts and financial numerical data to predict stock trends. We utilize cutting-edge technology like the Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) to learn the correlations among textual and numerical data over time. We develop a new method of training a time-series GAN directly using the learned representations of Naive Bayes' sentiment analysis on financial text data alongside technical indicators from numerical data. Our experimental results show significant improvement over various existing models and prior research on deep neural networks for stock price forecasting.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2102.01290,
  title  = {A Stochastic Time Series Model for Predicting Financial Trends using NLP},
  author = {Pratyush Muthukumar and Jie Zhong},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2102.01290},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

16 pages, 7 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-23T22:45:01.434Z