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Researchers in explainable artificial intelligence have developed numerous methods for helping users understand the predictions of complex supervised learning models. By contrast, explaining the $\textit{uncertainty}$ of model outputs has…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-01 David S. Watson , Joshua O'Hara , Niek Tax , Richard Mudd , Ido Guy

The standard mathematical approach to fourth-down decision making in American football is to make the decision that maximizes estimated win probability. Win probability estimates arise from machine learning models fit from historical data.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-03 Ryan S. Brill , Ronald Yurko , Abraham J. Wyner

Interpretability is an important area of research for safe deployment of machine learning systems. One particular type of interpretability method attributes model decisions to input features. Despite active development, quantitative…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-06 Mengjiao Yang , Been Kim

We propose a multidimensional tensor clustering approach for studying how professional basketball players' shooting patterns vary over court locations and game time. Unlike most existing methods that only study continuous-valued tensors or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-23 Guanyu Hu , Yishu Xue , Weining Shen

Statistical shape modeling (SSM) directly from 3D medical images is an underutilized tool for detecting pathology, diagnosing disease, and conducting population-level morphology analysis. Deep learning frameworks have increased the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-05-17 Jadie Adams , Shireen Elhabian

Existing feature attribution methods like SHAP often suffer from global dependence, failing to capture true local model behavior. This paper introduces VARSHAP, a novel model-agnostic local feature attribution method which uses the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Mateusz Gajewski , Mikołaj Morzy , Adam Karczmarz , Piotr Sankowski

An algorithm is described that enables efficient deterministic approximate computation of the bootstrap distribution for any linear bootstrap method $T_n^*$, alleviating the need for repeated resampling from observations (resp.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-10 Thomas Pitschel

In this study, basketball teams are conceptualized as complex adaptive systems to examine their (re)organizational processes in response the time remaining to shoot. Using temporal passing networks to model team behavior, the focus is on…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2025-06-06 Quentin Bourgeais , Rodolphe Charrier , Eric Sanlaville , Ludovic Seifert

The partial monitoring (PM) framework provides a theoretical formulation of sequential learning problems with incomplete feedback. On each round, a learning agent plays an action while the environment simultaneously chooses an outcome. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-17 Maxime Heuillet , Ola Ahmad , Audrey Durand

Hyperparameter optimization (HPO) is a crucial step in achieving strong predictive performance. Yet, the impact of individual hyperparameters on model generalization is highly context-dependent, prohibiting a one-size-fits-all solution and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Marcel Wever , Maximilian Muschalik , Fabian Fumagalli , Marius Lindauer

Basketball players' performance measurement is of critical importance for a broad spectrum of decisions related to training and game strategy. Despite this recognized central role, the main part of the studies on this topic focus on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-12-24 Paola Zuccolotto , Marco Sandri , Marica Manisera , Rodolfo Metulini

Temporal Action Localization (TAL) has been extensively studied in generic video understanding, while fine-grained sports scenarios, such as professional badminton, remain underexplored due to their complex and subtle spatio-temporal…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-25 Tianyu Wang , Junjie Wu , Jingquan Gao , Shishuo Li

Basketball games evolve continuously in space and time as players constantly interact with their teammates, the opposing team, and the ball. However, current analyses of basketball outcomes rely on discretized summaries of the game that…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-01-11 Daniel Cervone , Alex D'Amour , Luke Bornn , Kirk Goldsberry

In reinforcement learning, especially in sparse-reward domains, many environment steps are required to observe reward information. In order to increase the frequency of such observations, "potential-based reward shaping" (PBRS) has been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-28 Jacob Adamczyk , Volodymyr Makarenko , Stas Tiomkin , Rahul V. Kulkarni

We investigate the distribution of the well-studied Shapley--Shubik values in weighted voting games where the agents are stochastically determined. The Shapley--Shubik value measures the voting power of an agent, in typical collective…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2016-01-26 Yuval Filmus , Joel Oren , Kannan Soundararajan

Local feature attribution methods are increasingly used to explain complex machine learning models. However, current methods are limited because they are extremely expensive to compute or are not capable of explaining a distributed series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-12 Hugh Chen , Scott M. Lundberg , Su-In Lee

A number of techniques have been proposed to explain a machine learning model's prediction by attributing it to the corresponding input features. Popular among these are techniques that apply the Shapley value method from cooperative game…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-29 Luke Merrick , Ankur Taly

Understanding the principles of real-world biological multi-agent behaviors is a current challenge in various scientific and engineering fields. The rules regarding the real-world biological multi-agent behaviors such as team sports are…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-06-22 Keisuke Fujii

One of the emerging trends for sports analytics is the growing use of player and ball tracking data. A parallel development is deep learning predictive approaches that use vast quantities of data with less reliance on feature engineering.…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2016-08-17 Rajiv Shah , Rob Romijnders

This manuscript is focused on features' definition for the outcome prediction of matches of NBA basketball championship. It is shown how models based on one a single feature (Elo rating or the relative victory frequency) have a quality of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-19 Manlio Migliorati