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We investigate the significance of change-points within fully nonparametric regression contexts, with a particular focus on panel data where data generation processes vary across units, and error terms may display complex dependency…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-07 Likai Chen , Georg Keilbar , Liangjun Su , Weining Wang

The paper deals with a mathematical model of a surveillance system based on a net of sensors. The signals acquired by each node of the net are Markovian process, have two different transition probabilities, which depends on the presence or…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2011-11-22 Krzysztof Szajowski

Threshold estimation is central to fault-tolerant quantum computing, but the reported threshold depends not only on the code and noise model, but also on the decoder used to interpret syndrome data. We study this dependence for surface-code…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-04-01 Dennis Delali Kwesi Wayo , Chinonso Onah , Leonardo Goliatt , Sven Groppe

Oftentimes in practice, the observed process changes statistical properties at an unknown point in time and the duration of a change is substantially finite, in which case one says that the change is intermittent or transient. We provide an…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-04-11 Grigory Sokolov , Valentin S. Spivak , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

This paper studies methods for testing and estimating change-points in the covariance structure of a high-dimensional linear time series. The assumed framework allows for a large class of multivariate linear processes (including vector…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-14 Ansgar Steland

We propose a general framework of sequential testing procedures based on $U$-statistics which contains as an example a sequential CUSUM test based on differences in mean but also includes a robust sequential Wilcoxon change point procedure.…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-19 Claudia Kirch , Christina Stoehr

Change point detection is becoming increasingly popular in many application areas. On one hand, most of the theoretically-justified methods are investigated in an ideal setting without model violations, or merely robust against identical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-26 Mengchu Li , Yi Yu

We propose two procedures to detect a change in the mean of high-dimensional online data. One is based on a max-type U-statistic and another is based on a sum-type U-statistic. Theoretical properties of the two procedures are explored in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-27 Jun Li

Change-point detection (CPD) is crucial for identifying abrupt shifts in data, which influence decision-making and efficient resource allocation across various domains. To address the challenges posed by the costly and time-intensive data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-07 Hao Zhao , Rong Pan

This paper proposes a moving sum methodology for detecting multiple change points in high-dimensional time series under a factor model, where changes are attributed to those in loadings as well as emergence or disappearance of factors. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-24 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Lorenzo Trapani

Change-point detection studies the problem of detecting the changes in the underlying distribution of the data stream as soon as possible after the change happens. Modern large-scale, high-dimensional, and complex streaming data call for…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-05 Haoyun Wang , Yao Xie

We present the group fused Lasso for detection of multiple change-points shared by a set of co-occurring one-dimensional signals. Change-points are detected by approximating the original signals with a constraint on the multidimensional…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2011-06-23 Kevin Bleakley , Jean-Philippe Vert

We propose a family of CUSUM-based statistics to detect the presence of changepoints in the deterministic part of the autoregressive parameter in a Random Coefficient AutoRegressive (RCA) sequence. In order to ensure the ability to detect…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-29 Lajos Horvath , Lorenzo Trapani

This work delves into presenting a probabilistic method for analyzing linear process data with weakly dependent innovations, focusing on detecting change-points in the mean and estimating its spectral density. We develop a test for…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-01 Ramkrishna Jyoti Samanta

We address the sequential change-point detection problem for the Gaussian model where baseline distribution is Gaussian with variance \sigma^2 and mean \mu such that \sigma^2=a\mu, where a>0 is a known constant; the change is in \mu from…

A change point detection procedure using the method of moment estimators is proposed. The test statistics is based on a suitable $Z$-process. The asymptotic behavior of this process is established under both the null and the alternative…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-08 Ilia Negri , Yoichi Nishiyama

We propose a family of weighted statistics based on the CUSUM process of the WLS residuals for the online detection of changepoints in a Random Coefficient Autoregressive model, using both the standard CUSUM and the Page-CUSUM process. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-12 Lajos Horváth , Lorenzo Trapani

Detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a time series, so-called changepoints, is important for many applications. However, many procedures rely on the estimation of nuisance parameters (like long-run variance). Under the alternative (a…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-14 Michal Pešta , Martin Wendler

We consider the problem of quickest changepoint detection under the Average Run Length (ARL) constraint where the pre-change and post-change laws lie in composite families $\mathscr{P}$ and $\mathscr{Q}$ respectively. In such a problem, a…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-06 Ashwin Ram , Aaditya Ramdas

We present a new CUSUM procedure for sequentially detecting change-point in the self and mutual exciting processes, a.k.a. Hawkes networks using discrete events data. Hawkes networks have become a popular model for statistics and machine…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-08 Haoyun Wang , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Alex Cuozzo , Simon Mak