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We make the case for incorporating a notion of time into causal directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). We demonstrate that nontemporal causal DAGs are ambiguous and obstruct justification of the acyclicity assumption. Assuming that causes precede…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-22 Alexander G. Reisach , Alberto Suárez , Sebastian Weichwald , Antoine Chambaz

Epidemiologic studies and clinical trials with a survival outcome are often challenged by immortal time (IMT), a period of follow-up during which the survival outcome cannot occur because of the observed later treatment initiation. It has…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-02-08 Jiping Wang , Peter Peduzzi , Michael Wininger , Shuangge Ma

To represent the causal relationships between variables, a directed acyclic graph (DAG) is widely utilized in many areas, such as social sciences, epidemics, and genetics. Many causal structure learning approaches are developed to learn the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-14 Jianian Wang , Rui Song

Background: Diagnostic test accuracy (DTA) studies, like etiological studies, are susceptible to various biases including reference standard error bias, partial verification bias, spectrum effect, confounding, and bias from misassumption of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Yang Lu , Nandini Dendukuri

Causal processes in biomedicine may contain cycles, evolve over time or differ between populations. However, many graphical models cannot accommodate these conditions. We propose to model causation using a mixture of directed cyclic graphs…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-08 Eric V. Strobl

This paper considers inference of causal structure in a class of graphical models called "conditional DAGs". These are directed acyclic graph (DAG) models with two kinds of variables, primary and secondary. The secondary variables are used…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-12 Chris J. Oates , Jim Q. Smith , Sach Mukherjee

Causal structures for observational survival data provide crucial information regarding the relationships between covariates and time-to-event. We derive motivation from the information theoretic source coding argument, and show that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-03 Ansh Kumar Sharma , Rahul Kukreja , Ranjitha Prasad , Shilpa Rao

In multivariate time series analysis, understanding the underlying causal relationships among variables is often of interest for various applications. Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) provide a powerful framework for representing causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-30 Arkaprava Roy , Anindya Roy , Subhashis Ghosal

In this article, we propose a new hypothesis testing method for directed acyclic graph (DAG). While there is a rich class of DAG estimation methods, there is a relative paucity of DAG inference solutions. Moreover, the existing methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-25 Chengchun Shi , Yunzhe Zhou , Lexin Li

Parallel real-time systems (e.g., autonomous driving systems) often contain functionalities with complex dependencies and execution uncertainties, leading to significant timing variability which can be represented as a probabilistic…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2025-04-08 Yiyang Gao , Shuai Zhao , Boyang Li , Xinwei Fang , Zhiyang Lin , Zhe Jiang , Nan Guan

Structural learning, which aims to learn directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) from observational data, is foundational to causal reasoning and scientific discovery. Recent advancements formulate structural learning into a continuous optimization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-18 Song Wei , Yao Xie

The feed-forward relationship naturally observed in time-dependent processes and in a diverse number of real systems -such as some food-webs and electronic and neural wiring- can be described in terms of so-called directed acyclic graphs…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-05-19 Joaquín Goñi , Bernat Corominas-Murtra , Ricard V. Solé , Carlos Rodríguez-Caso

Causal inference methods for observational data are increasingly recognized as a valuable complement to randomized clinical trials (RCTs). They can, under strong assumptions, emulate RCTs or help refine their focus. Our approach to causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-14 Carlo Berzuini , Davide Luciani , Hiren C. Patel

We consider the problem of learning a set of direct causes of a target variable from an observational joint distribution. Learning directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) that represent the causal structure is a fundamental problem in science.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-24 Juraj Bodik , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

An acyclic causal structure can be described with directed acyclic graph (DAG), where arrows indicate the possibility of direct causation. The task of learning this structure from data is known as "causal discovery." Diverse populations or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-17 Bijan Mazaheri , Spencer Gordon , Yuval Rabani , Leonard Schulman

Understanding directed temporal interactions in multivariate time series is essential for interpreting complex dynamical systems and the predictive models trained on them. We present Causal-INSIGHT, a model-agnostic, post-hoc interpretation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-27 Benjamin Redden , Hui Wang , Shuyan Li

Datasets from several domains, such as life-sciences, semantic web, machine learning, natural language processing, etc. are naturally structured as acyclic graphs. These datasets, particularly those in bio-informatics and computational…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2014-09-02 Sandeep Gupta

The causal structure for measurement bias (MB) remains controversial. Aided by the Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG), this paper proposes a new structure for measuring one singleton variable whose MB arises in the selection of an imperfect I/O…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-24 Yijie Li , Wei Fan , Miao Zhang , Lili Liu , Jiangbo Bao , Yingjie Zheng

Causal inference with observational data critically relies on untestable and extra-statistical assumptions that have (sometimes) testable implications. Well-known sets of assumptions that are sufficient to justify the causal interpretation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-20 Pablo Geraldo Bastías

Estimating the structure of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs, also known as Bayesian networks) is a challenging problem since the search space of DAGs is combinatorial and scales superexponentially with the number of nodes. Existing approaches…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-06 Xun Zheng , Bryon Aragam , Pradeep Ravikumar , Eric P. Xing
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