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Accurate probabilistic weather forecasting demands both high accuracy and efficient uncertainty quantification, challenges that overburden both ensemble numerical weather prediction (NWP) and recent machine-learning methods. We introduce…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-12 Yilin Zhuang , Karthik Duraisamy

The identification of regions of similar climatological behavior can be utilized for the discovery of spatial relationships over long-range scales, including teleconnections. In this regard, the global picture of the interdependence…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-05-06 Zhen Su , Henning Meyerhenke , Jürgen Kurths

Timed discrete-event systems (TDES), which is a modelling formalism proposed by Brandin and Wonham, can be used for modelling scheduling and production planning problems. This paper aims to show that TDES are essentially synchronous product…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-23 Liyong Lin

Multivariate time-series (MTS) forecasting is a paramount and fundamental problem in many real-world applications. The core issue in MTS forecasting is how to effectively model complex spatial-temporal patterns. In this paper, we develop a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-16 Jinliang Deng , Xiusi Chen , Renhe Jiang , Du Yin , Yi Yang , Xuan Song , Ivor W. Tsang

Cross-document event coreference resolution (CDECR) involves clustering event mentions across multiple documents that refer to the same real-world events. Existing approaches utilize fine-tuning of small language models (SLMs) like BERT to…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-06-05 Qingkai Min , Qipeng Guo , Xiangkun Hu , Songfang Huang , Zheng Zhang , Yue Zhang

Business process enactment is generally supported by information systems that record data about process executions, which can be extracted as event logs. Predictive process monitoring is concerned with exploiting such event logs to predict…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2015-06-05 Chiara Di Francescomarino , Marlon Dumas , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Irene Teinemaa

Time Series Event Detection (TSED) aims to localize semantically meaningful events in time series data, with critical applications in high-stakes domains. Unlike statistical anomalies, events are often defined by natural-language…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Sky Chenwei Wan , Yifei Y. Wang , Tianjun Hou , Xiqing Chang , Aymeric Jan

Signal temporal logic (STL) is a powerful formalism for specifying various temporal properties in dynamical systems. However, existing methods, such as mixed-integer programming and nonlinear programming, often struggle to efficiently solve…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-15 Yoshinari Takayama , Kazumune Hashimoto , Toshiyuki Ohtsuka

Sound decision-making relies on accurate prediction for tangible outcomes ranging from military conflict to disease outbreaks. To improve crowdsourced forecasting accuracy, we developed SAGE, a hybrid forecasting system that combines human…

Time series forecasting is vital in diverse sectors such as energy and transportation, where non-stationary dynamics are deeply intertwined with external events in other modalities such as texts. However, incorporating natural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Yunfeng Ge , Ming Jin , Yiji Zhao , Hongyan Li , Bo Du , Chang Xu , Shirui Pan

Predicting extreme events in high-dimensional chaotic dynamical systems remains a fundamental challenge, as such events are rare, intermittent, and arise from transient dynamical mechanisms that are difficult to infer from limited…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-12 Eirini Katsidoniotaki , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Models of narrative schema knowledge have proven useful for a range of event-related tasks, but they typically do not capture the temporal relationships between events. We propose a single model that addresses both temporal ordering,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-07-02 Shih-Ting Lin , Nathanael Chambers , Greg Durrett

We present our solution to the BinEgo-360 Challenge at ICCV 2025, which focuses on temporal action localization (TAL) in multi-perspective and multi-modal video settings. The challenge provides a dataset containing panoramic, third-person,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-12-15 Anh-Kiet Duong , Petra Gomez-Krämer

We study the problem of inferring heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) from time-to-event data in the presence of competing events. Albeit its great practical relevance, this problem has received little attention compared to its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-27 Alicia Curth , Mihaela van der Schaar

Temporal reasoning is the task of predicting temporal relations of event pairs. While temporal reasoning models can perform reasonably well on in-domain benchmarks, we have little idea of these systems' generalizability due to existing…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-06-01 Yu Feng , Ben Zhou , Haoyu Wang , Helen Jin , Dan Roth

Prediction based on Irregularly Sampled Time Series (ISTS) is of wide concern in the real-world applications. For more accurate prediction, the methods had better grasp more data characteristics. Different from ordinary time series, ISTS is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-04 Chenxi Sun , Shenda Hong , Moxian Song , Yanxiu Zhou , Yongyue Sun , Derun Cai , Hongyan Li

Process analytics is an umbrella of data-driven techniques which includes making predictions for individual process instances or overall process models. At the instance level, various novel techniques have been recently devised, tackling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-29 Johannes De Smedt , Anton Yeshchenko , Artem Polyvyanyy , Jochen De Weerdt , Jan Mendling

To understand a document with multiple events, event-event relation extraction (ERE) emerges as a crucial task, aiming to discern how natural events temporally or structurally associate with each other. To achieve this goal, our work…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2024-12-20 Peixin Huang , Xiang Zhao , Minghao Hu , Zhen Tan , Weidong Xiao

In this paper, we develop a novel logic-based approach to detecting high-level temporally extended events from timestamped data and background knowledge. Our framework employs logical rules to capture existence and termination conditions…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-24 Yvon K. Awuklu , Meghyn Bienvenu , Katsumi Inoue , Vianney Jouhet , Fleur Mougin

Temporal Knowledge Graphs store events in the form of subjects, relations, objects, and timestamps which are often represented by dynamic heterogeneous graphs. Event forecasting is a critical and challenging task in Temporal Knowledge Graph…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-13 Hongkuan Zhou , James Orme-Rogers , Rajgopal Kannan , Viktor Prasanna