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Bitcoin, as one of the most popular cryptocurrency, is recently attracting much attention of investors. Bitcoin price prediction task is consequently a rising academic topic for providing valuable insights and suggestions. Existing bitcoin…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-08-25 Xiao Li , Weili Wu

Stock exchanges are considered major players in financial sectors of many countries. Most Stockbrokers, who execute stock trade, use technical, fundamental or time series analysis in trying to predict stock prices, so as to advise clients.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-02-24 B. W. Wanjawa , L. Muchemi

There are inefficiencies in financial markets, with unexploited patterns in price, volume, and cross-sectional relationships. While many approaches use large-scale transformers, we take a domain-focused path: feed-forward and recurrent…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-10-15 Sid Ghatak , Arman Khaledian , Navid Parvini , Nariman Khaledian

At online retail platforms, it is crucial to actively detect the risks of transactions to improve customer experience and minimize financial loss. In this work, we propose xFraud, an explainable fraud transaction prediction framework which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-26 Susie Xi Rao , Shuai Zhang , Zhichao Han , Zitao Zhang , Wei Min , Zhiyao Chen , Yinan Shan , Yang Zhao , Ce Zhang

Financial networks can be constructed using statistical dependencies found within the price series of speculative assets. Across the various methods used to infer these networks, there is a general reliance on predictive modelling to…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-08-23 Cameron Cornell , Lewis Mitchell , Matthew Roughan

Adoption of AI by criminal entities across traditional and emerging financial crime paradigms has been a disturbing recent trend. Particularly concerning is the proliferation of generative AI, which has empowered criminal activities ranging…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-15 Eren Kurshan , Dhagash Mehta , Bayan Bruss , Tucker Balch

Model fairness is an essential element for Trustworthy AI. While many techniques for model fairness have been proposed, most of them assume that the training and deployment data distributions are identical, which is often not true in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-07 Yuji Roh , Kangwook Lee , Steven Euijong Whang , Changho Suh

We model financial transactions as random walks on activity-driven temporal networks. By enforcing fund conservation, our framework analytically derives heavy-tailed distributions for the stationary balances and transaction sizes.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-02-25 Carolina E. Mattsson , Claudio Cellerini , Jaume Ojer , Michele Starnini

This work aims to analyse the predictability of price movements of cryptocurrencies on both hourly and daily data observed from January 2017 to January 2021, using deep learning algorithms. For our experiments, we used three sets of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-02-18 Marco Ortu , Nicola Uras , Claudio Conversano , Giuseppe Destefanis , Silvia Bartolucci

Financial forecasting increasingly uses large neural network models, but their opacity raises challenges for trust and regulatory compliance. We present several approaches to explainable and reliable AI in finance. \emph{First}, we describe…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-31 Albi Isufaj , Pablo Mollá , Helmut Prendinger

With the popularity of Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), NFTs have become a new target of phishing attacks, posing a significant threat to the NFT trading ecosystem. There has been growing anecdotal evidence that new means of NFT phishing attacks…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-03-29 Jingjing Yang , Jieli Liu , Jiajing Wu

Since the creation of Bitcoin, transaction tracking is one of the prominent means for following the movement of Bitcoins involved in illegal activities. Although every Bitcoin transaction is recorded in the blockchain database, which is…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2019-12-06 Tin Tironsakkul , Manuel Maarek , Andrea Eross , Mike Just

Traditional machine learning models often prioritize predictive accuracy, often at the expense of model transparency and interpretability. The lack of transparency makes it difficult for organizations to comply with regulatory requirements…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-16 Fahad Almalki , Mehedi Masud

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are increasingly used to generate data for downstream analyses, yet naively treating these predictions as true observations can lead to biased results and incorrect inference. Wang et…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-15 Stephen Salerno , Kentaro Hoffman , Awan Afiaz , Anna Neufeld , Tyler H. McCormick , Jeffrey T. Leek

This article aims to propose and apply a machine learning method to analyze the direction of returns from Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) using the historical return data of its components, helping to make investment strategy decisions through…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-06-14 Raphael P. B. Piovezan , Pedro Paulo de Andrade Junior

Cryptocurrency is a cryptography-based digital asset with extremely volatile prices. Around USD 70 billion worth of cryptocurrency is traded daily on exchanges. Trading cryptocurrency is difficult due to the inherent volatility of the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-12-12 Hongshen Yang , Avinash Malik

Money launderers take advantage of limitations in existing detection approaches by hiding their financial footprints in a deceitful manner. They manage this by replicating transaction patterns that the monitoring systems cannot easily…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-15 Haseeb Tariq , Alen Kaja , Marwan Hassani

Graph embedding technics are studied with interest on public datasets, such as BlogCatalog, with the common practice of maximizing scoring on graph reconstruction, link prediction metrics etc. However, in the financial sector the important…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-03-15 Sida Zhou

Fraud is a prevalent offence that extends beyond financial loss, causing psychological and physical harm to victims. The advancements in online communication technologies alowed for online fraud to thrive in this vast network, with…

This research proposes a novel arbitrage approach in multivariate pair trading, termed the Optimal Trading Technique (OTT). We present a method for selectively forming a "bucket" of fiat currencies anchored to cryptocurrency for monitoring…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-08-12 Hongshen Yang , Avinash Malik