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Bitcoin is by far the most popular crypto-currency solution enabling peer-to-peer payments. Despite some studies highlighting the network does not provide full anonymity, it is still being heavily used for a wide variety of dubious…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-12-30 Yining Hu , Suranga Seneviratne , Kanchana Thilakarathna , Kensuke Fukuda , Aruna Seneviratne

The rapid deployment of AI systems in high-stakes domains, including those classified as high-risk under the The EU AI Act (Regulation (EU) 2024/1689), has intensified the need for reliable compliance auditing. For binary classifiers,…

We provide an approach to exploratory data analysis in matched observational studies with a single intervention and multiple endpoints. In such settings, the researcher would like to explore evidence for actual treatment effects among these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-10 Mengqi Lin , Colin Fogarty

In this paper, we discuss the method of Bayesian regression and its efficacy for predicting price variation of Bitcoin, a recently popularized virtual, cryptographic currency. Bayesian regression refers to utilizing empirical data as proxy…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-10-07 Devavrat Shah , Kang Zhang

This version is ***superseded*** by a full version that can be found at http://www.itu.dk/people/pagh/papers/mining-jour.pdf, which contains stronger theoretical results and fixes a mistake in the reporting of experiments. Abstract:…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2010-02-17 Andrea Campagna , Rasmus Pagh

We investigate the role of artificial intelligence in cybersecurity by evaluating how machine learning techniques can detect malicious network activity and identify potential information leakage in cryptographic implementations. We conduct…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Reza Zilouchian , Michael Chavez , Fernando Koch

Conformal prediction is a popular, modern technique for providing valid predictive inference for arbitrary machine learning models. Its validity relies on the assumptions of exchangeability of the data, and symmetry of the given model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-20 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

This paper introduces a fraud-deterrent access validation system for public blockchains, leveraging two complementary concepts: "Transaction Proximity", which measures the distance between wallets in the transaction graph, and "Easily…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-06-02 Gordon Y. Liao , Ziming Zeng , Mira Belenkiy , Jacob Hirshman

Copy trading has become the dominant entry strategy in meme coin markets. However, due to the market's extremely illiquid and volatile nature, the strategy exposes an exploitable attack surface: adversaries deploy manipulative bots to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Yichen Luo , Yebo Feng , Jiahua Xu , Yang Liu

Manipulation is an important issue for both developed and emerging stock markets. For the study of manipulation, it is critical to analyze investor behavior in the stock market. In this paper, an analysis of the full transaction records of…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2011-10-12 Xiao-Qian Sun , Xue-Qi Cheng , Hua-Wei Shen , Zhao-Yang Wang

In this study, we leverage powerful non-linear machine learning methods to identify the characteristics of trades that contain valuable information. First, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our optimized neural network predictor in…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-09-10 Tejas Ramdas , Martin T. Wells

Building reliable deception detectors for AI systems -- methods that could predict when an AI system is being strategically deceptive without necessarily requiring behavioural evidence -- would be valuable in mitigating risks from advanced…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-17 Lewis Smith , Bilal Chughtai , Neel Nanda

Nearly one-half of all trades in financial markets are executed by high-speed, autonomous computer programs -- a type of trading often called high-frequency trading (HFT). Although evidence suggests that HFT increases the efficiency of…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2013-11-19 Benjamin Myers , Austin Gerig

The emerging cryptocurrency market has lately received great attention for asset allocation due to its decentralization uniqueness. However, its volatility and brand new trading mode have made it challenging to devising an acceptable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-19 Fengrui Liu , Yang Li , Baitong Li , Jiaxin Li , Huiyang Xie

We argue that the technical foundations of non-fungible tokens (NFTs) remain inadequately understood. Prior research has focused on market dynamics, user behavior, and isolated security incidents, yet systematic analysis of the standards…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-08-12 Minfeng Qi , Qin Wang , Guangsheng Yu , Ruiqiang Li , Victor Zhou , Shiping Chen

Financial fraud has been growing exponentially in recent years. The rise of cryptocurrencies as an investment asset has simultaneously seen a parallel growth in cryptocurrency scams. To detect possible cryptocurrency fraud, and in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-08 Andreas Anastasiou , Ivor Cribben

Fraud across the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem is growing, with victims losing billions to DeFi scams every year. However, there is a disconnect between the reported value of these scams and associated legal prosecutions. We use…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2023-05-29 Arianna Trozze , Toby Davies , Bennett Kleinberg

Predicting the behaviour of shoppers provides valuable information for retailers, such as the expected spend of a shopper or the total turnover of a supermarket. The ability to make predictions on an individual level is useful, as it allows…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-19 Yorick Spenrath , Marwan Hassani , Boudewijn F. Van Dongen

Literature highlighted that financial time series data pose significant challenges for accurate stock price prediction, because these data are characterized by noise and susceptibility to news; traditional statistical methodologies made…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-09-27 V. Lanzetta

Many implementations of smart contracts available in NFT marketplaces today allow the modification of NFT token attributes, without any specific mechanism to control the consistency with off-chain metadata. We believe this is a weakness in…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2022-05-12 Denis Avrilionis , Thomas Hardjono
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