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Bayesian Additive Regression Trees(BART) is a Bayesian nonparametric approach which has been shown to be competitive with the best modern predictive methods such as random forest and Gradient Boosting Decision Tree.The sum of trees…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-08-27 Hao Ran , Yang Bai

We present a Bayesian nonparametric model for conditional distribution estimation using Bayesian additive regression trees (BART). The generative model we use is based on rejection sampling from a base model. Typical of BART models, our…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-02 Yinpu Li , Antonio R. Linero , Jared S. Murray

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models assume linearity between the endogenous variables and their lags. This assumption might be overly restrictive and could have a deleterious impact on forecasting accuracy. As a solution, we propose…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-03-10 Florian Huber , Luca Rossini

We present a new package in R implementing Bayesian additive regression trees (BART). The package introduces many new features for data analysis using BART such as variable selection, interaction detection, model diagnostic plots,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-11-25 Adam Kapelner , Justin Bleich

We present a method for incorporating missing data in non-parametric statistical learning without the need for imputation. We focus on a tree-based method, Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART), enhanced with "Missingness Incorporated…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-02-14 Adam Kapelner , Justin Bleich

This paper develops a performant Bayesian approach to conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation in regression discontinuity designs (RDD), an increasingly prevalent form of quasi-experiment that facilitates causal inference.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-18 Rafael Alcantara , P. Richard Hahn , Hedibert F. Lopes

We develop a semiparametric framework for inference on the mean response in missing-data settings using a corrected posterior distribution. Our approach is tailored to Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART), which is a powerful…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-21 Christoph Breunig , Ruixuan Liu , Zhengfei Yu

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) is a semi-parametric regression model offering state-of-the-art performance on out-of-sample prediction. Despite this success, standard implementations of BART typically provide inaccurate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-27 Meijiang Wang , Jingyu He , P. Richard Hahn

In modern computer experiment applications, one often encounters the situation where various models of a physical system are considered, each implemented as a simulator on a computer. An important question in such a setting is determining…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-08 John C. Yannotty , Thomas J. Santner , Richard J. Furnstahl , Matthew T. Pratola

Ensemble decision tree methods such as XGBoost, Random Forest, and Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) have gained enormous popularity in data science for their superior performance in machine learning regression and classification…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-10 Shuren He , Huiyan Sang , Quan Zhou

Motivated by the remarkable success of Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) in regression modelling, we propose a novel nonparametric Bayesian method, termed Functional BART (FBART), tailored specifically for function-on-scalar…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-03 Jiahao Cao , Shiyuan He , Bohai Zhang

Prediction is a classic challenge in spatial statistics and the inclusion of spatial covariates can greatly improve predictive performance when incorporated into a model with latent spatial effects. It is desirable to develop flexible…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-24 Alex Ziyu Jiang , Jon Wakefield

We apply Bayesian Additive Regression Tree (BART) principles to training an ensemble of small neural networks for regression tasks. Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo, we sample from the posterior distribution of neural networks that have a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-09 Danielle Van Boxel

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a nonparametric Bayesian regression technique of rising fame. It is a sum-of-decision-trees model, and is in some sense the Bayesian version of boosting. In the limit of infinite trees, it…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-14 Giacomo Petrillo

Techniques to reduce the energy burden of an industrial ecosystem often require solving a multiobjective optimization problem. However, collecting experimental data can often be either expensive or time-consuming. In such cases, statistical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-07 Akira Horiguchi , Thomas J. Santner , Ying Sun , Matthew T. Pratola

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a fully Bayesian approach to modeling with ensembles of trees. BART can uncover complex regression functions with high dimensional regressors in a fairly automatic way and provide Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-11 Edward George , Prakash Laud , Brent Logan , Robert McCulloch , Rodney Sparapani

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) is a non-parametric method to approximate functions. It is a black-box method based on the sum of many trees where priors are used to regularize inference, mainly by restricting trees' learning…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-08-16 Miriana Quiroga , Pablo G Garay , Juan M. Alonso , Juan Martin Loyola , Osvaldo A Martin

Nonparametric regression models such as Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) can be useful in fitting flexible functions of a set of covariates to a response, while accounting for nonlinearities and interactions. However, they are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-02 Bonifride Tuyishimire , Brent R Logan , Purushottam W Laud

Ensembles of decision trees are a useful tool for obtaining for obtaining flexible estimates of regression functions. Examples of these methods include gradient boosted decision trees, random forests, and Bayesian CART. Two potential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-18 Antonio Ricardo Linero , Yun Yang

We present a novel prior for tree topology within Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) models. This approach quantifies the hypothetical loss in information and the loss due to complexity associated with choosing the wrong tree…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-30 F. Serafini , F. Leisen , C. Villa , K. Wilson