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Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for comparing the effectiveness of a new treatment to the current one (the control). Most RCTs allocate the patients to the treatment group and the control group by uniform…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-22 Onur Atan , William R. Zame , Mihaela van der Schaar

Current approaches to A/B testing in networks focus on limiting interference, the concern that treatment effects can "spill over" from treatment nodes to control nodes and lead to biased causal effect estimation. Prominent methods for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-16 Zahra Fatemi , Elena Zheleva

We consider the batch (off-line) policy learning problem in the infinite horizon Markov Decision Process. Motivated by mobile health applications, we focus on learning a policy that maximizes the long-term average reward. We propose a…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-20 Peng Liao , Zhengling Qi , Runzhe Wan , Predrag Klasnja , Susan Murphy

We propose a method for constructing optimal block designs for experiments on networks. The response model for a given network interference structure extends the linear network effects model to incorporate blocks. The optimality criteria…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-26 Vasiliki Koutra , Steven G. Gilmour , Ben M. Parker

Bayesian optimal experiments that maximize the information gained from collected data are critical to efficiently identify behavioral models. We extend a seminal method for designing Bayesian optimal experiments by introducing two…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-03-19 Stefano Balietti , Brennan Klein , Christoph Riedl

Executing various sequences of system functions in a system under test represents one of the primary techniques in software testing. The natural way to create effective, consistent and efficient test sequences is to model the system under…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2019-12-05 Miroslav Bures , Bestoun S. Ahmed

The evolving landscape of online multiplayer gaming presents unique challenges in assessing the causal impacts of game features. Traditional A/B testing methodologies fall short due to complex player interactions, leading to violations of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-02-15 Yu Zhu , Zehang Richard Li , Yang Su , Zhenyu Zhao

How to efficiently perform network tomography is a fundamental problem in network management and monitoring. A network tomography task usually consists of applying multiple probing experiments, e.g., across different paths or via different…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2025-10-22 Xuchuang Wang , Yu-Zhen Janice Chen , Matheus Guedes de Andrade , Mohammad Hajiesmaili , John C. S. Lui , Ting He , Don Towsley

Clinical trials are an instrument for making informed decisions based on evidence from well-designed experiments. Here we consider adaptive designs mainly from the perspective of multi-arm Phase II clinical trials, in which one or more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-31 Elja Arjas , Dario Gasbarra

Recent statistical and reinforcement learning methods have significantly advanced patient care strategies. However, these approaches face substantial challenges in high-stakes contexts, including missing data, inherent stochasticity, and…

Online controlled experiments are the primary tool for measuring the causal impact of product changes in digital businesses. It is increasingly common for digital products and services to interact with customers in a personalised way. Using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-02 C. H. Bryan Liu , Benjamin Paul Chamberlain

Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity has become an increasingly popular task in various fields, as it helps design personalized advertisements in e-commerce or targeted treatment in biomedical studies. However, most of the existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-12 Waverly Wei , Xinwei Ma , Jingshen Wang

Online Controlled Experiments (OCEs) are the gold standard in evaluating the effectiveness of changes to websites. An important type of OCE evaluates different personalization strategies, which present challenges in low test power and lack…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-11 C. H. Bryan Liu , Emma J. McCoy

This paper addresses the problem of policy selection in domains with abundant logged data, but with a restricted interaction budget. Solving this problem would enable safe evaluation and deployment of offline reinforcement learning policies…

We study a multi-objective model on the allocation of reusable resources under model uncertainty. Heterogeneous customers arrive sequentially according to a latent stochastic process, request for certain amounts of resources, and occupy…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-08-02 Xilin Zhang , Wang Chi Cheung

Randomized experiments can provide unbiased estimates of sample average treatment effects. However, estimates of population treatment effects can be biased when the experimental sample and the target population differ. In this case, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-10 Wenqi Shi , Xi Lin

The autonomous systems need to decide how to react to the changes at runtime efficiently. The ability to rigorously analyze the environment and the system together is theoretically possible by the model-driven approaches; however, the model…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2021-10-28 Melika Dastranj , Mehran Alidoost Nia , Mehdi Kargahi

The current body of research on developing optimal treatment strategies often places emphasis on intention-to-treat analyses, which fail to take into account the compliance behavior of individuals. Methods based on instrumental variables…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-21 Cuong T. Pham , Kevin G. Lynch , James R. McKay , Ashkan Ertefaie

Optimal treatment regimes are personalized policies for making a treatment decision based on subject characteristics, with the policy chosen to maximize some value. It is common to aim to maximize the mean outcome in the population, via a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-28 Liu Leqi , Edward H. Kennedy

Evaluating the causal effect of recommendations is an important objective because the causal effect on user interactions can directly leads to an increase in sales and user engagement. To select an optimal recommendation model, it is common…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-16 Masahiro Sato