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Assessing the importance of individual features in Machine Learning is critical to understand the model's decision-making process. While numerous methods exist, the lack of a definitive ground truth for comparison highlights the need for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-05 Eddie Conti , Álvaro Parafita , Axel Brando

We study the problem of multifidelity uncertainty propagation for computationally expensive models. In particular, we consider the general setting where the high-fidelity and low-fidelity models have a dissimilar parameterization both in…

Large, non-Gaussian spatial datasets pose a considerable modeling challenge as the dependence structure implied by the model needs to be captured at different scales, while retaining feasible inference. Skew-normal and skew-t distributions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-07 Felipe Tagle , Stefano Castruccio , Marc G. Genton

A number of problems in a variety of fields are characterised by target distributions with a multimodal structure in which the presence of several isolated local maxima dramatically reduces the efficiency of Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-07-31 Miquel Trias , Alberto Vecchio , John Veitch

The predominant method for evaluating the quality of causal models is to measure the graphical accuracy of the learned model structure. We present an alternative method for evaluating causal models that directly measures the accuracy of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-08-17 Dan Garant , David Jensen

The estimation of time-varying quantities is a fundamental component of decision making in fields such as healthcare and finance. However, the practical utility of such estimates is limited by how accurately they quantify predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-29 Alexandre Drouin , Étienne Marcotte , Nicolas Chapados

Motivated by the burgeoning interest in cross-domain learning, we present a novel generative modeling challenge: generating counterfactual samples in a target domain based on factual observations from a source domain. Our approach operates…

Unobserved confounding is one of the main challenges when estimating causal effects. We propose a causal reduction method that, given a causal model, replaces an arbitrary number of possibly high-dimensional latent confounders with a single…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-24 Maximilian Ilse , Patrick Forré , Max Welling , Joris M. Mooij

We consider after-study statistical inference for sequentially designed experiments wherein multiple units are assigned treatments for multiple time points using treatment policies that adapt over time. Our goal is to provide inference…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-10 Raaz Dwivedi , Katherine Tian , Sabina Tomkins , Predrag Klasnja , Susan Murphy , Devavrat Shah

Multidimensional scaling visualizes dissimilarities among objects and reduces data dimensionality. While many methods address symmetric proximity data, asymmetric and especially three-way proximity data (capturing relationships across…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Aleix Alcacer , Rafael Benitez , Vicente J. Bolos , Irene Epifanio

Causal representation learning has attracted significant research interest during the past few years, as a means for improving model generalization and robustness. Causal representations of interventional image pairs (also called…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Panagiotis Alimisis , Christos Diou

Counterfactuals have become a popular technique nowadays for interacting with black-box machine learning models and understanding how to change a particular instance to obtain a desired outcome from the model. However, most existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-29 Philip Naumann , Eirini Ntoutsi

Sufficient dimension reduction [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 86 (1991) 316-342] has long been a prominent issue in multivariate nonparametric regression analysis. To uncover the central dimension reduction space, we propose in this paper an…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-08-15 Efang Kong , Yingcun Xia

The popularity of deep learning methods in the time series domain boosts interest in interpretability studies, including counterfactual (CF) methods. CF methods identify minimal changes in instances to alter the model predictions. Despite…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-11 Ziwen Kan , Shahbaz Rezaei , Xin Liu

Users of music streaming, video streaming, news recommendation, and e-commerce services often engage with content in a sequential manner. Providing and evaluating good sequences of recommendations is therefore a central problem for these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-25 James McInerney , Brian Brost , Praveen Chandar , Rishabh Mehrotra , Ben Carterette

Residuals in regression models are often spatially correlated. Prominent examples include studies in environmental epidemiology to understand the chronic health effects of pollutants. I consider the effects of residual spatial structure on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-11-05 Christopher J. Paciorek

Univariate and multivariate normal probability distributions are widely used when modeling decisions under uncertainty. Computing the performance of such models requires integrating these distributions over specific domains, which can vary…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-31 Abhranil Das , Wilson S Geisler

Multidimensional scaling is an important dimension reduction tool in statistics and machine learning. Yet few theoretical results characterizing its statistical performance exist, not to mention any in high dimensions. By considering a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-30 Xiucai Ding , Qiang Sun

Predictive models can fail to generalize from training to deployment environments because of dataset shift, posing a threat to model reliability and the safety of downstream decisions made in practice. Instead of using samples from the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-08-10 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Suchi Saria

In the field of Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI), counterfactual examples explain to a user the predictions of a trained decision model by indicating the modifications to be made to the instance so as to change its associated…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-05-11 Thibault Laugel , Adulam Jeyasothy , Marie-Jeanne Lesot , Christophe Marsala , Marcin Detyniecki
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