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Exploring the climate impacts of various anthropogenic emissions scenarios is key to making informed decisions for climate change mitigation and adaptation. State-of-the-art Earth system models can provide detailed insight into these…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-01-23 William Yik , Sam J. Silva , Andrew Geiss , Duncan Watson-Parris

Deep learning is a powerful tool to represent subgrid processes in climate models, but many application cases have so far used idealized settings and deterministic approaches. Here, we develop stochastic parameterizations with calibrated…

Climate change has caused disruption in certain weather patterns, leading to extreme weather events like flooding and drought in different parts of the world. In this paper, we propose machine learning methods for analyzing changes in water…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-01-19 Francesco Mauro , Benjamin Rich , Veronica Wairimu Muriga , Alessandro Sebastianelli , Silvia Liberata Ullo

We develop multiple Deep Learning (DL) models that advance the state-of-the-art predictions of the global auroral particle precipitation. We use observations from low Earth orbiting spacecraft of the electron energy flux to develop a model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-01 Jack Ziegler , Ryan M. Mcgranaghan

Climate change is accelerating the frequency and severity of unprecedented events, deviating from established patterns. Predicting these out-of-distribution (OOD) events is critical for assessing risks and guiding climate adaptation. While…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-16 Maria Conchita Agana Navarro , Geng Li , Theo Wolf , María Pérez-Ortiz

Advancements in numerical weather prediction models have accelerated, fostering a more comprehensive understanding of physical phenomena pertaining to the dynamics of weather and related computing resources. Despite these advancements,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-11-04 Alqamah Sayeed , Yunsoo Choi , Jia Jung , Yannic Lops , Ebrahim Eslami , Ahmed Khan Salman

Climate models are an important tool for the assessment of prospective climate change effects but they suffer from systematic and representation errors, especially for precipitation. Model output statistics (MOS) reduce these errors by…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-12-21 Michael Steininger , Daniel Abel , Katrin Ziegler , Anna Krause , Heiko Paeth , Andreas Hotho

Machine learning has been increasingly applied in climate modeling on system emulation acceleration, data-driven parameter inference, forecasting, and knowledge discovery, addressing challenges such as physical consistency, multi-scale…

In recent years, a study by environmental organizations in the world and Vietnam shows that weather change is quite complex. global warming has become a serious problem in the modern world, which is a concern for scientists. last century,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Nguyen Phuc Tran , Duy Thanh Tran , Thi Thuy Nga Duong

Multivariate time-series modeling and forecasting is an important problem with numerous applications. Traditional approaches such as VAR (vector auto-regressive) models and more recent approaches such as RNNs (recurrent neural networks) are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-09-12 Hardik Goel , Igor Melnyk , Arindam Banerjee

This study aims to improve the accuracy of weather predictions by discovering spatial correlations between Earth observations and atmospheric states. Existing numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems predict future atmospheric states at…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Hyeon-Ju Jeon , Jeon-Ho Kang , In-Hyuk Kwon , O-Joun Lee

Climate change is one of the most critical challenges that our planet is facing today. Rising global temperatures are already bringing noticeable changes to Earth's weather and climate patterns with an increased frequency of unpredictable…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-01-19 Karandeep Singh , Chaeyoon Jeong , Naufal Shidqi , Sungwon Park , Arjun Nellikkattil , Elke Zeller , Meeyoung Cha

Machine learning weather models trained on observed atmospheric conditions can outperform conventional physics-based models at short- to medium-range (1-14 day) forecast timescales. Here we take the machine learning weather model ACE2,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-04-01 Chris Kent , Adam A. Scaife , Nick J. Dunstone , Doug Smith , Steven C. Hardiman , Tom Dunstan , Oliver Watt-Meyer

The goal of this study was to improve the post-processing of precipitation forecasts using convolutional neural networks (CNNs). Instead of post-processing forecasts on a per-pixel basis, as is usually done when employing machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-18 Bob de Ruiter

Simulating abundances of stable water isotopologues, i.e. molecules differing in their isotopic composition, within climate models allows for comparisons with proxy data and, thus, for testing hypotheses about past climate and validating…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-11-28 Jonathan Wider , Jakob Kruse , Nils Weitzel , Janica C. Bühler , Ullrich Köthe , Kira Rehfeld

Sub-seasonal weather forecasts are becoming increasingly important for a range of socio-economic activities. However, the predictive ability of physical weather models is very limited on these time scales. We propose several post-processing…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-06-29 Nina Horat , Sebastian Lerch

Data-driven machine learning models for weather forecasting have made transformational progress in the last 1-2 years, with state-of-the-art ones now outperforming the best physics-based models for a wide range of skill scores. Given the…

Deep learning, particularly convolutional neural networks for image recognition, has been recently used in meteorology. One of the promising applications is developing a statistical surrogate model that converts the output images of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-07-22 Tsuyoshi Thomas Sekiyama

We propose Meta-World Conditional Neural Processes (MW-CNP), a conditional world model generator that leverages sample efficiency and scalability of Conditional Neural Processes to enable an agent to sample from its own "hallucination". We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Suzan Ece Ada , Emre Ugur

Deep-learning (DL) weather prediction models offer some notable advantages over traditional physics-based models, including auto-differentiability and low computational cost, enabling detailed diagnostics of forecast errors. Using our…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-07-23 Uros Perkan , Ziga Zaplotnik , Gregor Skok