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Enhancement of the predictive power and robustness of nonlinear population dynamics models allows ecologists to make more reliable forecasts about species' long term survival. However, the limited availability of detailed ecological data,…

斑图形成与孤子 · 物理学 2025-04-18 Indrajyoti Gaine , Malay Banerjee

The global increase in energy consumption and demand has forced many countries to transition into including more diverse energy sources in their electricity market. To efficiently utilize the available fuel resources, all energy sources…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-03-06 Razan A. H. Al-Lawati , Tasnim Ibn Faiz , Md. Noor-E-Alam

Macro-energy system modelling is used by decision-makers to steer the global energy transition toward an affordable, sustainable and reliable future. Closed-source models are the current standard for most policy and industry decisions.…

The reliability of energy systems is strongly influenced by the prevailing climate conditions. With the increasing prevalence of renewable energy sources, the interdependence between energy and climate systems has become even stronger. This…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-05-10 Xiangtian Zheng , Le Xie , Kiyeob Lee , Dan Fu , Jiahan Wu , Ping Chang

This paper introduces a generalised version of importance subsampling for time series reduction/aggregation in optimisation-based power system planning models. Recent studies indicate that reliably determining optimal electricity…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-26 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

To forecast wind power generation in the scale of years to decades, outputs from climate models are often used. However, one major limitation of the data projected by these models is their coarse temporal resolution - usually not finer than…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-09-19 Nina Effenberger , Nicole Ludwig , Rachel H. White

Residuals in regression models are often spatially correlated. Prominent examples include studies in environmental epidemiology to understand the chronic health effects of pollutants. I consider the effects of residual spatial structure on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-11-05 Christopher J. Paciorek

Models in the supervised learning framework may capture rich and complex representations over the features that are hard for humans to interpret. Existing methods to explain such models are often specific to architectures and data where the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-25 Akshay Sood , Mark Craven

Stochastic parameterisations deployed in models of the Earth system frequently invoke locality assumptions such as Markovianity or spatial locality. This work highlights the impact of such assumptions on predictive performance. Both in…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-08-12 Martin T. Brolly

The availability of temporal geospatial data in multiple modalities has been extensively leveraged to enhance the performance of machine learning models. While efforts on the design of adequate model architectures are approaching a level of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-22 Hiba Najjar , Marlon Nuske , Andreas Dengel

Accurate forecasts of the impact of spatial weather and pan-European socio-economic and political risks on hourly electricity demand for the mid-term horizon are crucial for strategic decision-making amidst the inherent uncertainty. Most…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-12-06 Monika Zimmermann , Florian Ziel

Complex systems display variability over a broad range of spatial and temporal scales. Some scales are unresolved due to computational limitations. The impact of these unresolved scales on the resolved scales needs to be parameterized or…

数值分析 · 数学 2009-01-22 Aijun Du , Jinqiao Duan

Time-series information needs to be incorporated into energy system optimization to account for the uncertainty of renewable energy sources. Typically, time-series aggregation methods are used to reduce historical data to a few…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-05-22 Moritz Wedemeyer , Eike Cramer , Alexander Mitsos , Manuel Dahmen

This paper considers the representation of energy storage in electricity sector capacity planning models. The incorporation of storage in long-term systems models of this type is increasingly relevant as the cost of storage technologies,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-06-01 James H. Merrick , John E. T. Bistline , Geoffrey J. Blanford

The energy-water demands of metropolitan regions and agricultural ecosystems are ever-increasing. To tackle this challenge efficiently and sustainably, the interdependence of these interconnected resources has to be considered. In this…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-08-16 M. Di Martino , P. Linke , E. N. Pistikopoulos

This article studies the benefits of using spatially randomized experimental designs which partition the experimental area into distinct, non-overlapping units with treatments assigned randomly. Such designs offer improved policy evaluation…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-18 Ying Yang , Chengchun Shi , Fang Yao , Shouyang Wang , Hongtu Zhu

Acquiring information on spatial phenomena can be costly and time-consuming. In this context, to obtain reliable global knowledge, the choice of measurement location is a crucial issue. Space-lling designs are often used to control…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-02-15 Sylvain Coly , Pierre Druilhet , Nourddine Azzaoui

The effects of the spatial scale on the results of the optimisation of transmission and generation capacity in Europe are quantified under a 95% CO2 reduction compared to 1990 levels, interpolating between one-node-per-country solutions and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-08-18 Jonas Hörsch , Tom Brown

Recent advances have shown how deep neural networks can be extremely effective at super-resolving remote sensing imagery, starting from a multitemporal collection of low-resolution images. However, existing models have neglected the issue…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-04 Diego Valsesia , Enrico Magli

Reservoir computing is a machine learning paradigm that uses a structure called a reservoir, which has nonlinearities and short-term memory. In recent years, reservoir computing has expanded to new functions such as the autonomous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-05 Kohei Tsuchiyama , André Röhm , Takatomo Mihana , Ryoichi Horisaki , Makoto Naruse