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In the context of smart grids and load balancing, daily peak load forecasting has become a critical activity for stakeholders of the energy industry. An understanding of peak magnitude and timing is paramount for the implementation of smart…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-10 Yvenn Amara-Ouali , Matteo Fasiolo , Yannig Goude , Hui Yan

Forecasting tasks using large datasets gathering thousands of heterogeneous time series is a crucial statistical problem in numerous sectors. The main challenge is to model a rich variety of time series, leverage any available external…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-18 Etienne David , Jean Bellot , Sylvain Le Corff

Detailed scheduling has traditionally been optimized for the reduction of makespan and manufacturing costs. However, growing awareness of environmental concerns and increasingly stringent regulations are pushing manufacturing towards…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-10-14 Andrea Mencaroni , Pieter Leyman , Birger Raa , Stijn De Vuyst , Dieter Claeys

Meteorological factors (MF) are crucial in day-ahead load forecasting as they significantly influence the electricity consumption behaviors of consumers. Numerous studies have incorporated MF into the load forecasting model to achieve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Yangze Zhou , Guoxin Lin , Gonghao Zhang , Yi Wang

Forecasting natural gas consumption, considering seasonality and trends, is crucial in planning its supply and consumption and optimizing the cost of obtaining it, mainly by industrial entities. However, in times of threats to its supply,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-13 Radek Svoboda , Sebastian Basterrech , Jedrzej Kozal , Jan Platos , Michal Wozniak

Accurate intraday forecasts are essential for power system operations, complementing day-ahead forecasts that gradually lose relevance as new information becomes available. This paper introduces a Bayesian updating mechanism that converts…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Kutay Bölat , Peter Palensky , Simon Tindemans

The goal of this study was to improve the post-processing of precipitation forecasts using convolutional neural networks (CNNs). Instead of post-processing forecasts on a per-pixel basis, as is usually done when employing machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-18 Bob de Ruiter

Deep neural networks have shown great success in many diverse fields. The training of these networks can take significant amounts of time, compute and energy. As datasets get larger and models become more complex, the exploration of model…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2021-09-08 Siddharth Samsi , Michael Jones , Mark M. Veillette

Power systems engineers are actively developing larger power plants out of photovoltaics imposing some major challenges which include its intermittent power generation and its poor dispatchability. The issue is that PV is a variable…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-17 Hugo Riggs , Shahid Tufail , Mohd Tariq , Arif Sarwat

The increasing attention to environmental issues is forcing the implementation of novel energy models based on renewable sources, fundamentally changing the configuration of energy management and introducing new criticalities that are only…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-09-09 Mario Mureddu , Guido Caldarelli , Alessandro Chessa , Antonio Scala , Alfonso Damiano

Transformer-based models have shown strong performance in time-series forecasting by leveraging self-attention to model long-range temporal dependencies. However, their effectiveness depends critically on the quality and structure of input…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-11 Saurish Nagrath , Saroj Kumar Panigrahy

Spatio-temporal prediction of levels of an environmental exposure is an important problem in environmental epidemiology. Our work is motivated by multiple studies on the spatio-temporal distribution of mobile source, or traffic related,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-11-14 Nikolay Bliznyuk , Christopher J. Paciorek , Joel Schwartz , Brent Coull

Accurate estimation of Marginal Emission Factors (MEFs) is critical for evaluating the decarbonization potential of low-carbon technologies and demand-side management. However, canonical methodologies, predominantly relying on linear…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Antonio Panico , Andrew Burlinson , Luigi Grossi

Growing concerns over climate change call for improved techniques for estimating and quantifying the greenhouse gas emissions associated with electricity generation and transmission. Among the emission metrics designated for power grids,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-11-20 Xuan He , Danny H. K. Tsang , Yize Chen

Carbon accounting methods for electricity consumption face challenges regarding physical deliverability, double counting, additionality, and impact magnitude. Locational Marginal Emissions (LMEs) show potential to address many of these key…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-12-23 Luc Cote , Andy Sun

Feature extraction from financial data is one of the most important problems in market prediction domain for which many approaches have been suggested. Among other modern tools, convolutional neural networks (CNN) have recently been applied…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-23 Ehsan Hoseinzade , Saman Haratizadeh

High wind energy penetration critically challenges the economic dispatch of current and future power systems. Supply and demand must be balanced at every bus of the grid, while respecting transmission line ratings and accounting for the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-05-28 Yu Zhang , Nikolaos Gatsis , Vassilis Kekatos , Georgios B. Giannakis

Time series forecasting remains a central challenge problem in almost all scientific disciplines. We introduce a novel load forecasting method in which observed dynamics are modeled as a forced linear system using Dynamic Mode Decomposition…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-07-13 Daniel Dylewsky , David Barajas-Solano , Tong Ma , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky , J. Nathan Kutz

Regional high-resolution climate projections are crucial for many applications, such as agriculture, hydrology, and natural hazard risk assessment. Dynamical downscaling, the state-of-the-art method to produce localized future climate…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-10-03 Ignacio Lopez-Gomez , Zhong Yi Wan , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez , Tapio Schneider , John Anderson , Fei Sha

Poor air quality can have a significant impact on human health. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) air quality forecasting guidance is challenged by the increasing presence of extreme air quality events due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-24 Sophia Hamer , Jennifer Sleeman , Ivanka Stajner