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Maintaining safety under adaptation has long been considered to be an important capability for autonomous systems. As these systems estimate and change the ego-model of the system dynamics, questions regarding how to develop safety…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-09-08 Charles Noren , Weiye Zhao , Changliu Liu

Posterior distributions for community structure in sparse planted bi-section models are shown to achieve exact (resp. almost-exact) recovery, with sharp bounds for the sparsity regimes where edge probabilities decrease as $O(\log(n)/n)$…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-03 B. J. K. Kleijn , J. van Waaij

In the study of complex systems, evaluating physical observables often requires sampling representative configurations via Monte Carlo techniques. These methods rely on repeated evaluations of the system's energy and force fields, which can…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2025-07-02 Dimitrios Tzivrailis , Alberto Rosso , Eiji Kawasaki

Estimating the uncertainty of a neural network plays a fundamental role in safety-critical settings. In perception for autonomous driving, measuring the uncertainty means providing additional calibrated information to downstream tasks, such…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-12-30 Stefano Gasperini , Jan Haug , Mohammad-Ali Nikouei Mahani , Alvaro Marcos-Ramiro , Nassir Navab , Benjamin Busam , Federico Tombari

Uncertainty quantification in automated image analysis is highly desired in many applications. Typically, machine learning models in classification or segmentation are only developed to provide binary answers; however, quantifying the…

Data-driven control in unknown environments requires a clear understanding of the involved uncertainties for ensuring safety and efficient exploration. While aleatoric uncertainty that arises from measurement noise can often be explicitly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-13 Neha Das , Jonas Umlauft , Armin Lederer , Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche

This paper investigates the fundamental information-theoretic limits for the control and sensing of noiseless linear dynamical systems subject to a broad class of nonlinear observations. We analyze the interactions between the control and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-01-21 Ming Li , Fan Liu , Yifeng Xiong , Jie Xu , Tao Liu

When simulating a complex stochastic system, the behavior of output response depends on input parameters estimated from finite real-world data, and the finiteness of data brings input uncertainty into the system. The quantification of the…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2017-12-20 Helin Zhu , Tianyi Liu , Enlu Zhou

This paper presents a PAC-Bayes framework for learning controllers for unknown stochastic linear discrete-time systems, where the system parameters are drawn from a fixed but unknown distribution. We derive a data-dependent high probability…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-05-22 Yujia Luo , Ye Pu , Jonathan H. Manton , Jingge Zhu

The accurate representation of epistemic uncertainty is a challenging yet essential task in machine learning. A widely used representation corresponds to convex sets of probabilistic predictors, also known as credal sets. One popular way of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-30 Mira Jürgens , Thomas Mortier , Eyke Hüllermeier , Viktor Bengs , Willem Waegeman

Generating high quality uncertainty estimates for sequential regression, particularly deep recurrent networks, remains a challenging and open problem. Existing approaches often make restrictive assumptions (such as stationarity) yet still…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-26 Jiri Navratil , Matthew Arnold , Benjamin Elder

We scale perceived distances of the core-set algorithm by a factor of uncertainty and search for low-confidence configurations, finding significant improvements in sample efficiency across CIFAR10/100 and SVHN image classification,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-10 Yuchen Li , Frank Rudzicz

Safe control of constrained linear systems under both epistemic and aleatory uncertainties is considered. The aleatory uncertainty characterizes random noises and is modeled by a probability distribution function (PDF) and the epistemic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-10-28 Hamidreza Modares

In this article, we address the problem of risk assessment of stealthy attacks on uncertain control systems. Considering data injection attacks that aim at maximizing impact while remaining undetected, we use the recently proposed…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-09-26 Sribalaji C. Anand , André M. H. Teixeira , Anders Ahlén

In robust optimization one seeks to make a decision under uncertainty, where the goal is to find the solution with the best worst-case performance. The set of possible realizations of the uncertain data is described by a so-called…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-01-25 Immanuel Bomze , Markus Gabl

The widespread adoption of machine learning surrogate models has significantly improved the scale and complexity of systems and processes that can be explored accurately and efficiently using atomistic modeling. However, the inherently…

化学物理 · 物理学 2025-03-13 Federico Grasselli , Sanggyu Chong , Venkat Kapil , Silvia Bonfanti , Kevin Rossi

In this paper, we study the control of a class of time-invariant linear ensemble systems whose natural dynamics are linear in the system parameter. This class of ensemble control systems arises from practical engineering and physical…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-10-07 Jr-Shin Li , Ji Qi

This work primarily focuses on an operator inference methodology aimed at constructing low-dimensional dynamical models based on a priori hypotheses about their structure, often informed by established physics or expert insights. Stability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-04 Igor Pontes Duff , Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

Uncertainty sets are at the heart of robust optimization (RO) because they play a key role in determining the RO models' tractability, robustness, and conservativeness. Different types of uncertainty sets have been proposed that model…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-07-13 Meysam Cheramin , Richard Li-Yang Chen , Jianqiang Cheng , Ali Pinar

We provide identification results for a broad class of learning models in which continuous outcomes depend on three types of unobservables: known heterogeneity, initially unknown heterogeneity that may be revealed over time, and transitory…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-25 Jackson Bunting , Paul Diegert , Arnaud Maurel