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In this work, we deal with extreme value theory in the context of continued fractions using techniques from probability theory, ergodic theory and real analysis. We give an upper bound for the rate of convergence in the Doeblin-Iosifescu…

概率论 · 数学 2019-08-06 Anish Ghosh , Maxim Kirsebom , Parthanil Roy

We develop and generalize the theory of extreme value for non-stationary stochastic processes, mostly by weakening the uniform mixing condition that was previously used in this setting. We apply our results to non-autonomous dynamical…

This paper is devoted to the prediction problem in extreme value theory. Our main result is an explicit expression of the regular conditional distribution of a max-stable (or max-infinitely divisible) process $\{\eta(t)\}_{t\in T}$ given…

概率论 · 数学 2012-05-15 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Eyi-Minko

We study non-stationary stochastic processes arising from sequential dynamical systems built on maps with a neutral fixed points and prove the existence of Extreme Value Laws for such processes. We use an approach developed in \cite{FFV16},…

In this paper we perform an analytical and numerical study of Extreme Value distributions in discrete dynamical systems. In this setting, recent works have shown how to get a statistics of extremes in agreement with the classical Extreme…

动力系统 · 数学 2011-12-01 Davide Faranda , Valerio Lucarini , Giorgio Turchetti , Sandro Vaienti

We prove limit theorems of an entirely new type for certain long memory regularly varying stationary infinitely divisible random processes. These theorems involve multiple phase transitions governed by how long the memory is. Apart from one…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-23 Gennady Samorodnitsky , Yizao Wang

We consider stationary stochastic processes arising from dynamical systems by evaluating a given observable along the orbits of the system. We focus on the extremal behaviour of the process, which is related to the entrance in certain…

We study the extremes for a class of a symmetric stable random fields with long range dependence. We prove functional extremal theorems both in the space of sup measures and in the space of cadlag functions of several variables. The limits…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-17 Zaoli Chen , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We investigate extreme value theory of a class of random sequences defined by the all-time suprema of aggregated self-similar Gaussian processes with trend. This study is motivated by its potential applications in various areas and its…

概率论 · 数学 2022-11-09 Lanpeng Ji , Xiaofan Peng

The extreme value statistics of active matter offer significant insight into their unique properties. A phase transition has recently been reported in a model of branching run-and-tumble particles, describing the spatial spreading of an…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-06-11 Bertrand Lacroix-A-Chez-Toine , Asaf Miron

We investigate extreme value theory for physical systems with a global conservation law which describe renewal processes, mass transport models and long-range interacting spin models. As shown previously, a special feature is that the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-11-04 Marc Höll , Wanli Wang , Eli Barkai

Recently, the notion of implicit extreme value distributions has been established, which is based on a given loss function $f \ge 0$. From an application point of view, one is rather interested in extreme loss events that occur relative to…

概率论 · 数学 2019-08-20 Dustin Kremer

Extreme value functionals of stochastic processes are inverse functionals of the first passage time -- a connection that renders their probability distribution functions equivalent. Here, we deepen this link and establish a framework for…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-05-30 David Hartich , Aljaz Godec

We suggest approximating the distribution of the sum of independent and identically distributed random variables with a Pareto-like tail by combining extreme value approximations for the largest summands with a normal approximation for the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-05 Ulrich K. Mueller

This work employs variational techniques to revisit and expand the construction and analysis of extreme value processes. These techniques permit a novel study of spatial statistics of the location of minimizing events. We develop integral…

概率论 · 数学 2018-08-10 Nicolas Garcia Trillos , Ryan Murray , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

We consider the extreme value statistics of $N$ independent and identically distributed random variables, which is a classic problem in probability theory. When $N\to\infty$, fluctuations around the maximum of the variables are described by…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-07-14 Lior Zarfaty , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

Analysis of the rare and extreme values through statistical modeling is an important issue in economical crises, climate forecasting, and risk management of financial portfolios. Extreme value theory provides the probability models needed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-15 Ali Reza Fotouhi

We consider globally invertible and piecewise contracting maps in higher dimensions and we perturb them with a particular kind of noise introduced by Lasota and Mackey. We got random transformations which are given by a stationary process:…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-03-19 D. Faranda , J. -M. Freitas , P. Guiraud , S. Vaienti

We re-consider Leadbetter's extremal index for stationary sequences. It has interpretation as reciprocal of the expected size of an extremal cluster above high thresholds. We focus on heavy-tailed time series, in particular on regularly…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-10 Gloria Buriticá , Meyer Nicolas , Thomas Mikosch , Olivier Wintenberger

This paper investigates extreme value theory for processes obtained by applying transformations to stationary Gaussian processes, also called subordinated Gaussian processes. The main contributions are as follows. First, we refine the…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-29 Shuyang Bai , Marie-Christine Duker
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