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Likelihood-free inference (LFI) methods, such as approximate Bayesian computation, have become commonplace for conducting inference in complex models. Many approaches are based on summary statistics or discrepancies derived from synthetic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-06 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi , Lucas Kock , David J. Nott

Robust inference for stochastic dynamical systems is often hampered by sparse sampling and the absence of closed-form likelihoods. We introduce a Monte Carlo path-inference framework that leverages full-path statistics and bridge processes…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-10-07 Javier Aguilar , Miguel A. Muñoz , Sandro Azaele

This work investigates robust monotonic convergent iterative learning control (ILC) for uncertain linear systems in both time and frequency domains, and the ILC algorithm optimizing the convergence speed in terms of $l_{2}$ norm of error…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-01-19 Lanlan Su

We obtain an expansion of the implicit weak discretization error for the target of stochastic approximation algorithms introduced and studied in [Frikha2013]. This allows us to extend and develop the Richardson-Romberg extrapolation method…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-10 Noufel Frikha , Lorick Huang

A number of algorithms have been developed to solve probabilistic inference problems on belief networks. These algorithms can be divided into two main groups: exact techniques which exploit the conditional independence revealed when the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-08 Ross D. Shachter , Mark Alan Peot

We construct a new framework for accelerating Markov chain Monte Carlo in posterior sampling problems where standard methods are limited by the computational cost of the likelihood, or of numerical models embedded therein. Our approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-06 Patrick R. Conrad , Youssef M. Marzouk , Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

Relative error estimation has been recently used in regression analysis. A crucial issue of the existing relative error estimation procedures is that they are sensitive to outliers. To address this issue, we employ the $\gamma$-likelihood…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-17 Kei Hirose , Hiroki Masuda

Distributionally Robust Reinforcement Learning (DR-RL) aims to derive a policy optimizing the worst-case performance within a predefined uncertainty set. Despite extensive research, previous DR-RL algorithms have predominantly favored…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-26 Yudan Wang , Shaofeng Zou , Yue Wang

Monte Carlo approximations for random linear elliptic PDE constrained optimization problems are studied. We use empirical process theory to obtain best possible mean convergence rates $O(n^{-\frac{1}{2}})$ for optimal values and solutions,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-06-14 Werner Römisch , Thomas M. Surowiec

Due to the highly non-convex nature of large-scale robust parameter estimation, avoiding poor local minima is challenging in real-world applications where input data is contaminated by a large or unknown fraction of outliers. In this paper,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-03-23 Huu Le , Christopher Zach

Accurate simulation of complex physical systems enables the development, testing, and certification of control strategies before they are deployed into the real systems. As simulators become more advanced, the analytical tractability of the…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-05-27 Lucas Barcelos , Rafael Oliveira , Rafael Possas , Lionel Ott , Fabio Ramos

We study sampling from a target distribution $\nu_* = e^{-f}$ using the unadjusted Langevin Monte Carlo (LMC) algorithm when the potential $f$ satisfies a strong dissipativity condition and it is first-order smooth with a Lipschitz…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-09 Murat A. Erdogdu , Rasa Hosseinzadeh , Matthew S. Zhang

We extend Robust Optimization to fractional programming, where both the objective and the constraints contain uncertain parameters. Earlier work did not consider uncertainty in both the objective and the constraints, or did not use Robust…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-08-21 Bram L. Gorissen

Probabilistic programming provides the means to represent and reason about complex probabilistic models using programming language constructs. Even simple probabilistic programs can produce models with infinitely many variables. Factored…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-09-14 Avi Pfeffer , Brian Ruttenberg , Amy Sliva , Michael Howard , Glenn Takata

Importance sampling is a Monte Carlo method which designs estimators of expectations under a target distribution using weighted samples from a proposal distribution. When the target distribution is complex, such as multimodal distributions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-04 Anas Cherradi , Yazid Janati , Alain Durmus , Sylvain Le Corff , Yohan Petetin , Julien Stoehr

We present a scalable and effective exploration strategy based on Thompson sampling for reinforcement learning (RL). One of the key shortcomings of existing Thompson sampling algorithms is the need to perform a Gaussian approximation of the…

Monte Carlo simulations are a powerful tool to investigate the thermodynamic properties of atomic systems. In practice however, sampling of the complete configuration space is often hindered by high energy barriers between different regions…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-05-04 Jonas A. Finkler , Stefan Goedecker

This paper addresses optimization problems constrained by partial differential equations with uncertain coefficients. In particular, the robust control problem and the average control problem are considered for a tracking type cost…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-11-08 Andreas Van Barel , Stefan Vandewalle

We introduce Reflective Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (ReHMC), an HMC-based algorithm, to sample from a log-concave distribution restricted to a convex body. We prove that, starting from a warm start, the walk mixes to a log-concave target…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-30 Apostolos Chalkis , Vissarion Fisikopoulos , Marios Papachristou , Elias Tsigaridas

The randomized midpoint Langevin Monte Carlo (RLMC), introduced by Shen and Lee (2019), is a variant of classical Unadjusted Langevin Algorithm. It was shown in the literature that the RLMC is an efficient algorithm for approximating…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-18 Ruinan Li , Tian Shen , Zhonggen Su