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Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) often include subgroup analyses to assess whether treatment effects vary across pre-specified patient populations. However, these analyses frequently suffer from small sample sizes which limit the power…

How to estimate heterogeneity, e.g. the effect of some variable differing across observations, is a key question in political science. Methods for doing so make simplifying assumptions about the underlying nature of the heterogeneity to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-31 Max Goplerud

A commonly observed pattern in machine learning models is an underprediction of the target feature, with the model's predicted target rate for members of a given category typically being lower than the actual target rate for members of that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-06 Owen O'Neill , Fintan Costello

The choice of sample size in the context of co-primary endpoints for a randomised trial is discussed. Current guidance can leave endpoints with unequal marginal power. A method is provided to achieve equal marginal power by using the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-23 Simon Bond

Clustering can be defined as the process of assembling objects into a number of groups whose elements are similar to each other in some manner. As a technique that is used in many domains, such as face clustering, plant categorization,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-05 Mehmet F. Demirel , Enrico Au-Yeung

We investigate the estimation of subgroup treatment effects with observational data. Existing propensity score matching and weighting methods are mostly developed for estimating overall treatment effect. Although the true propensity score…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-20 Jing Dong , Junni L Zhang , Fan Li

Composite binary endpoints are increasingly used as primary endpoints in clinical trials. When designing a trial, it is crucial to determine the appropriate sample size for testing the statistical differences between treatment groups for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-01-15 Marta Bofill Roig , Guadalupe Gómez Melis

We introduce a new Stata package called summclust that summarizes the cluster structure of the dataset for linear regression models with clustered disturbances. The key unit of observation for such a model is the cluster. We therefore…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-27 James G. MacKinnon , Morten Ørregaard Nielsen , Matthew D. Webb

Probabilities of causation (PoCs), such as the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), are important tools for decision making but are generally not point identifiable. Existing work has derived bounds for these quantities using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-20 Tianyuan Cheng , Ruirui Mao , Judea Pearl , Ang Li

Clinical prediction models must be developed using sufficiently large datasets to minimise overfitting and ensure robust predictive performance. Existing sample size calculations assume complete predictor data for all included participants,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Glen P. Martin , Sian Bladon , Rebecca Whittle , Molly Wells , Gary S. Collins , Richard D. Riley

Simulation studies are computer experiments that involve creating data by pseudorandom sampling. The key strength of simulation studies is the ability to understand the behaviour of statistical methods because some 'truth' (usually some…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-18 Tim P Morris , Ian R White , Michael J Crowther

We introduce a novel statistical significance-based approach for clustering hierarchical data using semi-parametric linear mixed-effects models designed for responses with laws in the exponential family (e.g., Poisson and Bernoulli). Within…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-04 Alessandra Ragni , Chiara Masci , Francesca Ieva , Anna Maria Paganoni

Segmented regression is a standard statistical procedure used to estimate the effect of a policy intervention on time series outcomes. This statistical method assumes the normality of the outcome variable, a large sample size, no…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-02-18 Mohammad M. Islam , Ph. D. , Erik L. Heiny , Ph. D

There is a growing literature on design-based methods to estimate average treatment effects (ATEs) for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for full sample analyses. This article extends these methods to estimate ATEs for discrete subgroups…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-16 Peter Z. Schochet

In cancer research, leveraging patient-derived xenografts (PDXs) in pre-clinical experiments is a crucial approach for assessing innovative therapeutic strategies. Addressing the inherent variability in treatment response among and within…

In a clustered observational study, a treatment is assigned to groups and all units within the group are exposed to the treatment. We develop a new method for statistical adjustment in clustered observational studies using approximate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-06 Luke Keele , Eli Ben-Michael , Lindsay Page

In this paper, we develop an exact method for the determination of the minimum sample size for estimating the proportion of a finite population with prescribed margin of error and confidence level. By characterizing the behavior of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-08-03 Xinjia Chen

Accurate power and sample size (PSS) calculations are essential for designing studies that use quasi-likelihood (QL) models, which extend generalized linear models (GLMs) to settings where the full distribution of the outcome is not…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Shijie Yuan , Amy Cochran , Paul Rathouz

Probabilistic clustering models (or equivalently, mixture models) are basic building blocks in countless statistical models and involve latent random variables over discrete spaces. For these models, posterior inference methods can be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-24 Ari Pakman , Yueqi Wang , Catalin Mitelut , JinHyung Lee , Liam Paninski

To design Bayesian studies, criteria for the operating characteristics of posterior analyses - such as power and the type I error rate - are often assessed by estimating sampling distributions of posterior probabilities via simulation. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-17 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens