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Inferring causal effects of treatments is a central goal in many disciplines. The potential outcomes framework is a main statistical approach to causal inference, in which a causal effect is defined as a comparison of the potential outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-04 Peng Ding , Fan Li

Unobserved confounding is a major hurdle for causal inference from observational data. Confounders---the variables that affect both the causes and the outcome---induce spurious non-causal correlations between the two. Wang & Blei (2018)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-31 Yixin Wang , David M. Blei

Causal inference of exact individual treatment outcomes in the presence of hidden confounders is rarely possible. Recent work has extended prediction intervals with finite-sample guarantees to partially identifiable causal outcomes, by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-02 Myrl G. Marmarelis , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan , Fred Morstatter

Several problems in statistics involve the combination of high-variance unbiased estimators with low-variance estimators that are only unbiased under strong assumptions. A notable example is the estimation of causal effects while combining…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-25 Michael Oberst , Alexander D'Amour , Minmin Chen , Yuyan Wang , David Sontag , Steve Yadlowsky

It is important to draw causal inference from observational studies, which, however, becomes challenging if the confounders have missing values. Generally, causal effects are not identifiable if the confounders are missing not at random. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-04 Shu Yang , Linbo Wang , Peng Ding

Inferring the effect of interventions within complex systems is a fundamental problem of statistics. A widely studied approach employs structural causal models that postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-14 David Strieder , Mathias Drton

The possibility of unmeasured confounding is one of the main limitations for causal inference from observational studies. There are different methods for (partially) empirically assessing the plausibility of unconfoundedness. However, most…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-28 Fernando Pires Hartwig , Kate Tilling , George Davey Smith

We propose a method to distinguish causal influence from hidden confounding in the following scenario: given a target variable Y, potential causal drivers X, and a large number of background features, we propose a novel criterion for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-07 You-Lin Chen , Lenon Minorics , Dominik Janzing

Context-aware emotion recognition (CAER) has recently boosted the practical applications of affective computing techniques in unconstrained environments. Mainstream CAER methods invariably extract ensemble representations from diverse…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Dingkang Yang , Kun Yang , Mingcheng Li , Shunli Wang , Shuaibing Wang , Lihua Zhang

Causal inference methods for observational data are highly regarded due to their wide applicability. While there are already numerous methods available for de-confounding bias, these methods generally assume that covariates consist solely…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-30 Yonghe Zhao , Huiyan Sun

Although understanding and characterizing causal effects have become essential in observational studies, it is challenging when the confounders are high-dimensional. In this article, we develop a general framework $\textit{CausalEGM}$ for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-20 Qiao Liu , Zhongren Chen , Wing Hung Wong

Causal inference methods based on electronic health record (EHR) databases must simultaneously handle confounding and missing data. Vast scholarship exists aimed at addressing these two issues separately, but surprisingly few papers attempt…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-28 Luke Benz , Alexander Levis , Sebastien Haneuse

To unbiasedly estimate a causal effect on an outcome unconfoundedness is often assumed. If there is sufficient knowledge on the underlying causal structure then existing confounder selection criteria can be used to select subsets of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-20 Jenny Häggström

Causal inference analysis is the estimation of the effects of actions on outcomes. In the context of healthcare data this means estimating the outcome of counter-factual treatments (i.e. including treatments that were not observed) on a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-21 Yishai Shimoni , Chen Yanover , Ehud Karavani , Yaara Goldschmnidt

Probabilities of causation (PoC) are valuable concepts for explainable artificial intelligence and practical decision-making. PoC are originally defined for scalar binary variables. In this paper, we extend the concept of PoC to continuous…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-06-03 Yuta Kawakami , Manabu Kuroki , Jin Tian

The problem of how to best select variables for confounding adjustment forms one of the key challenges in the evaluation of exposure effects in observational studies, and has been the subject of vigorous recent activity in causal inference.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-02 Kelly Van Lancker , Oliver Dukes , Stijn Vansteelandt

Observational studies require adjustment for confounding factors that are correlated with both the treatment and outcome. In the setting where the observed variables are tabular quantities such as average income in a neighborhood, tools…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-01-31 Connor T. Jerzak , Fredrik Johansson , Adel Daoud

Proximal causal inference is a recently proposed framework for evaluating causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. For point identification of causal effects, it leverages a pair of so-called treatment and outcome…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-30 AmirEmad Ghassami , Ilya Shpitser , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

The causal inference literature has provided a clear formal definition of confounding expressed in terms of counterfactual independence. The literature has not, however, come to any consensus on a formal definition of a confounder, as it…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-04-03 Tyler J. VanderWeele , Ilya Shpitser

Causal inference in observational studies can be challenging when confounders are subject to missingness. Generally, the identification of causal effects is not guaranteed even under restrictive parametric model assumptions when confounders…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-23 Jian Sun , Bo Fu