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Reliable uncertainty estimation is critical for deploying neural networks (NNs) in real-world applications. While existing calibration techniques often rely on post-hoc adjustments or coarse-grained binning methods, they remain limited in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-30 Pedro Mendes , Paolo Romano , David Garlan

The application of machine learning based decision making systems in safety critical areas requires reliable high certainty predictions. Reject options are a common way of ensuring a sufficiently high certainty of predictions made by the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-05-17 André Artelt , Roel Visser , Barbara Hammer

Uncertainty estimates must be calibrated (i.e., accurate) and sharp (i.e., informative) in order to be useful. This has motivated a variety of methods for recalibration, which use held-out data to turn an uncalibrated model into a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-06 Charles Marx , Shengjia Zhao , Willie Neiswanger , Stefano Ermon

Complementary-Label Learning (CLL) is a weakly-supervised learning problem that aims to learn a multi-class classifier from only complementary labels, which indicate a class to which an instance does not belong. Existing approaches mainly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-12 Wei-I Lin , Hsuan-Tien Lin

Existing statistical learning guarantees for general kernel regressors often yield loose bounds when used with finite-rank kernels. Yet, finite-rank kernels naturally appear in several machine learning problems, e.g.\ when fine-tuning a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-04 Tin Sum Cheng , Aurelien Lucchi , Ivan Dokmanić , Anastasis Kratsios , David Belius

Weighting estimators based on propensity scores are widely used for causal estimation in a variety of contexts, such as observational studies, marginal structural models and interference. They enjoy appealing theoretical properties such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-06 Linbo Wang , Yuexia Zhang , Thomas S. Richardson , Xiao-Hua Zhou

We propose a novel approach to approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) that seeks to cater for possible misspecification of the assumed model. This new approach can be equally applied to rejection-based ABC and to popular regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-11 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi , Ruben Loaiza-Maya

Understanding how neural networks rely on visual cues offers a human-interpretable view of their internal decision processes. The cue-conflict benchmark has been influential in probing shape-texture preference and in motivating the insight…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 Pum Jun Kim , Seung-Ah Lee , Seongho Park , Dongyoon Han , Jaejun Yoo

The generalization error curve of certain kernel regression method aims at determining the exact order of generalization error with various source condition, noise level and choice of the regularization parameter rather than the minimax…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-26 Yicheng Li , Weiye Gan , Zuoqiang Shi , Qian Lin

Obtaining reliable and accurate quantification of uncertainty estimates from deep neural networks is important in safety-critical applications. A well-calibrated model should be accurate when it is certain about its prediction and indicate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-16 Ranganath Krishnan , Omesh Tickoo

Generative classifiers are constructed on the basis of a joint probability distribution and are typically learned using closed-form procedures that rely on data statistics and maximize scores related to data fitting. However, these scores…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-31 Aritz Pérez , Carlos Echegoyen , Guzmán Santafé

Probabilistic classifiers are central for making informed decisions under uncertainty. Based on the maximum expected utility principle, optimal decision rules can be derived using the posterior class probabilities and misclassification…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-25 Alexandre Perez-Lebel , Gael Varoquaux , Sanmi Koyejo , Matthieu Doutreligne , Marine Le Morvan

Selective regression allows abstention from prediction if the confidence to make an accurate prediction is not sufficient. In general, by allowing a reject option, one expects the performance of a regression model to increase at the cost of…

Uncertainty in probabilistic classifiers predictions is a key concern when models are used to support human decision making, in broader probabilistic pipelines or when sensitive automatic decisions have to be taken. Studies have shown that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-09 Nicolas Posocco , Antoine Bonnefoy

Engineering problems that apply machine learning often involve computationally intensive methods but rely on limited datasets. As engineering data evolves with new designs and constraints, models must incorporate new knowledge over time.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-18 Kaira M. Samuel , Faez Ahmed

We consider counterfactual explanations, the problem of minimally adjusting features in a source input instance so that it is classified as a target class under a given classifier. This has become a topic of recent interest as a way to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-02 Miguel Á. Carreira-Perpiñán , Suryabhan Singh Hada

Regression models are essential for a wide range of real-world applications. However, in practice, target values are not always precisely known; instead, they may be represented as intervals of acceptable values. This challenge has led to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-08 Tung L Nguyen , Toby Dylan Hocking

Everybody writes that ROC curves, a very common tool in binary classification problems, should be optimal, and in particular concave, non-decreasing and above the 45-degree line. Everybody uses ROC curves, theoretical and especially…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-01 Lidia Sacchetto , Mauro Gasparini

Classification and Regression Trees (CARTs) are off-the-shelf techniques in modern Statistics and Machine Learning. CARTs are traditionally built by means of a greedy procedure, sequentially deciding the splitting predictor variable(s) and…

Quantifying bias in retrieval functions through document retrievability scores is vital for assessing recall-oriented retrieval systems. However, many studies investigating retrieval model bias lack validation of their query generation…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2024-04-16 Aman Sinha , Priyanshu Raj Mall , Dwaipayan Roy
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