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相关论文: Price-Aware Deep Learning for Electricity Markets

200 篇论文

Electricity price prediction plays a vital role in energy storage system (ESS) management. Current prediction models focus on reducing prediction errors but overlook their impact on downstream decision-making. So this paper proposes a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-02 Linwei Sang , Yinliang Xu , Huan Long , Qinran Hu , Hongbin Sun

Financial markets have a vital role in the development of modern society. They allow the deployment of economic resources. Changes in stock prices reflect changes in the market. In this study, we focus on predicting stock prices by deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-27 Jialin Liu , Fei Chao , Yu-Chen Lin , Chih-Min Lin

We present new formulations of the stochastic electricity market clearing problem based on the principles of stochastic programming. Previous analyses have established that the canonical stochastic programming model effectively captures the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-11 Sakitha Ariyarathne , Harsha Gangammanavar

Recent progress in the field of artificial intelligence, machine learning and also in computer industry resulted in the ongoing boom of using these techniques as applied to solving complex tasks in both science and industry. Same is, of…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-06-11 A Itkin

We explore the use of deep reinforcement learning to provide strategies for long term scheduling of hydropower production. We consider a use-case where the aim is to optimise the yearly revenue given week-by-week inflows to the reservoir…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-14 Signe Riemer-Sorensen , Gjert H. Rosenlund

Differentiable optimization layers are traditionally integrated in predict-then-optimize frameworks where a neural model estimates parameters that subsequently serve as fixed inputs to downstream decision-making optimization problems. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 David Troxell , Noah Roemer , Guido Montúfar

Electricity markets are highly complex, involving lots of interactions and complex dependencies that make it hard to understand the inner workings of the market and what is driving prices. Econometric methods have been developed for this,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-26 Antoine Pesenti , Aidan OSullivan

Electricity price forecasting is a critical tool for the efficient operation of power systems and for supporting informed decision-making by market participants. This paper explores a novel methodology aimed at improving the accuracy of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-13 Bartosz Uniejewski , Florian Ziel

Market power exercise in the electricity markets distorts market prices and diminishes social welfare. Many markets have implemented market power mitigation processes to eliminate the impact of such behavior. The design of mitigation…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-11-08 Yiqian Wu , Jip Kim , James Anderson

Deep Learning is a consolidated, state-of-the-art Machine Learning tool to fit a function when provided with large data sets of examples. However, in regression tasks, the straightforward application of Deep Learning models provides a point…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-25 Axel Brando , Jose A. Rodríguez-Serrano , Mauricio Ciprian , Roberto Maestre , Jordi Vitrià

Short-Term Electricity-Load Forecasting (STELF) refers to the prediction of the immediate demand (in the next few hours to several days) for the power system. Various external factors, such as weather changes and the emergence of new…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Qi Dong , Rubing Huang , Chenhui Cui , Dave Towey , Ling Zhou , Jinyu Tian , Jianzhou Wang

The vulnerability of false data injection attacks on real-time electricity pricing for the power grid market has been recently explored. Previous work has focused on the impact caused by attackers that compromise pricing signals and send…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-10-21 Jairo Giraldo , Alvaro Cárdenas , Nicanor Quijano

Accurate electricity price forecasting (EPF) is increasingly difficult in markets characterised by extreme volatility, frequent price spikes, and rapid structural shifts. Deep learning (DL) has been increasingly adopted in EPF due to its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Mohammed Osman Gani , Zhipeng He , Chun Ouyang , Sara Khalifa

Deep Learning is applied to energy markets to predict extreme loads observed in energy grids. Forecasting energy loads and prices is challenging due to sharp peaks and troughs that arise due to supply and demand fluctuations from intraday…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-11 Michael Polson , Vadim Sokolov

In machine learning, a bias occurs whenever training sets are not representative for the test data, which results in unreliable models. The most common biases in data are arguably class imbalance and covariate shift. In this work, we aim to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-04-04 Patrick Glauner , Radu State , Petko Valtchev , Diogo Duarte

We argue that deterministic market clearing formulations introduce arbitrary distortions between day-ahead and expected real-time prices that bias economic incentives and block diversification. We extend and analyze the stochastic clearing…

经济学 · 定量金融 2015-11-27 Victor M. Zavala , Kibaek Kim , Mihai Anitescu , John Birge

Deployment of deep learning in different fields and industries is growing day by day due to its performance, which relies on the availability of data and compute. Data is often crowd-sourced and contains sensitive information about its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-06 Tom Farrand , Fatemehsadat Mireshghallah , Sahib Singh , Andrew Trask

This paper presents a deep learning-based approach for hourly power outage probability prediction within census tracts encompassing a utility company's service territory. Two distinct deep learning models, conditional Multi-Layer Perceptron…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-05 Xuesong Wang , Nina Fatehi , Caisheng Wang , Masoud H. Nazari

Unscheduled power disturbances cause severe consequences both for customers and grid operators. To defend against such events, it is necessary to identify the causes of interruptions in the power distribution network. In this work, we focus…

This paper develops learning-augmented algorithms for energy trading in volatile electricity markets. The basic problem is to sell (or buy) $k$ units of energy for the highest revenue (lowest cost) over uncertain time-varying prices, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-29 Russell Lee , Bo Sun , Mohammad Hajiesmaili , John C. S. Lui