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Using mathematical models to assist in the interpretation of experiments is becoming increasingly important in research across applied mathematics, and in particular in biology and ecology. In this context, accurate parameter estimation is…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-29 Jie Qi , Ruth E. Baker

In human-in-the-loop machine learning, the user provides information beyond that in the training data. Many algorithms and user interfaces have been designed to optimize and facilitate this human--machine interaction; however, fewer studies…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2018-03-12 Pedram Daee , Tomi Peltola , Aki Vehtari , Samuel Kaski

Nowadays, the numerical models of real-world structures are more precise, more complex and, of course, more time-consuming. Despite the growth of a computational effort, the exploration of model behaviour remains a complex task. The…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2014-10-17 Eliska Janouchova , Anna Kucerova

Randomized experiments are the preferred approach for evaluating the effects of interventions, but they are costly and often yield estimates with substantial uncertainty. On the other hand, in silico experiments leveraging foundation models…

Advances in computing power and data availability have led to growing sophistication in mechanistic mathematical models of social dynamics. Increasingly these models are used to inform real-world policy decision-making, often with…

Simulation models often have parameters as input and return outputs to understand the behavior of complex systems. Calibration is the process of estimating the values of the parameters in a simulation model in light of observed data from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-15 Özge Sürer

In experiments to estimate parameters of a parametric model, Bayesian experiment design allows measurement settings to be chosen based on utility, which is the predicted improvement of parameter distributions due to modeled measurement…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-26 Robert D. McMichael , Sean M. Blakley

For biological experiments aiming at calibrating models with unknown parameters, a good experimental design is crucial, especially for those subject to various constraints, such as financial limitations, time consumption and physical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-07-22 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

Computer experiments with quantitative and qualitative inputs are widely used to study many scientific and engineering processes. Much of the existing work has focused on design and modeling or process optimization for such experiments.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-30 A. Shahrokhian , X. Deng , C. D. Lin , P. Ranjan , L. Xu

This paper traces the strong relations between experimental design and control, such as the use of optimal inputs to obtain precise parameter estimation in dynamical systems and the introduction of suitably designed perturbations in…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2008-03-03 Luc Pronzato

Mechanistic mathematical models of biological systems usually contain a number of unknown parameters whose values need to be estimated from available experimental data in order for the models to be validated and used to make quantitative…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-06-16 Yue Liu , Philip K. Maini , Ruth E. Baker

An important issue during an engineering design process is to develop an understanding which design parameters have the most influence on the performance. Especially in the context of optimization approaches this knowledge is crucial in…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Patricia Wollstadt , Sebastian Schmitt

Designing and evaluating personalized and proactive assistant agents remains challenging due to the time, cost, and ethical concerns associated with human-in-the-loop experimentation. Existing Human-Computer Interaction (HCI) methods often…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Ziyi Xuan , Yiwen Wu , Xuhai Xu , Vinod Namboodiri , Mooi Choo Chuah , Yu Yang

This paper considers the estimation of treatment effects in randomized experiments with complex experimental designs, including cases with interference between units. We develop a design-based estimation theory for arbitrary experimental…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-27 Haoge Chang

Interpreting data with mathematical models is an important aspect of real-world industrial and applied mathematical modeling. Often we are interested to understand the extent to which a particular set of data informs and constrains model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-06 Matthew J Simpson , Ruth E Baker

The optimization of composition and processing to obtain materials that exhibit desirable characteristics has historically relied on a combination of scientist intuition, trial and error, and luck. We propose a methodology that can…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-20 Julia Ling , Max Hutchinson , Erin Antono , Sean Paradiso , Bryce Meredig

Adaptive experiments are used extensively in online platforms, healthcare and biotechnology, and a variety of other settings. In many of these applications, the main goal is not to precisely estimate a treatment effect, but to demonstrate…

The dramatic increase of observational data across industries provides unparalleled opportunities for data-driven decision making and management, including the manufacturing industry. In the context of production, data-driven approaches can…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-01-09 Najibesadat Sadati , Ratna Babu Chinnam , Milad Zafar Nezhad

Game designers use human playtesting to gather feedback about game design elements when iteratively improving a game. Playtesting, however, is expensive: human testers must be recruited, playtest results must be aggregated and interpreted,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-08-06 Alexander Zook , Eric Fruchter , Mark O. Riedl

Model-based experimental design is attracting increasing attention in chemical process engineering. Typically, an iterative procedure is pursued: an approximate model is devised, prescribed experiments are then performed and the resulting…

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