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This work introduces two Monte Carlo (MC)-based sampling methods, known as line sampling and subset simulation, to improve the performance of standard MC analyses in the context of asteroid impact risk assessment. Both techniques sample the…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-09-28 Matteo Romano , Matteo Losacco , Camilla Colombo , Pierluigi Di Lizia

Many inverse problems in nuclear fusion and high-energy astrophysics research, such as the optimization of tokamak reactor geometries or the inference of black hole parameters from interferometric images, necessitate high-dimensional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-09 Jonathan Gorard , Ammar Hakim , Hong Qin , Kyle Parfrey , Shantenu Jha

We address the optimal estimation of quantum parameters, in the framework of local quantum estimation theory, for a massive scalar quantum field in the expanding Robertson-Walker universe exhibiting Lorentz invariance violation (LIV). The…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2019-06-25 Xiaobao Liu , Zehua Tian , Jieci Wang , Jiliang Jing

Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo (PMCMC) is a general computational approach to Bayesian inference for general state space models. Our article scales up PMCMC in terms of the number of observations and parameters by generating the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-04 David Gunawan , Chris Carter , Robert Kohn

The high Galactic latitude sky at millimeter and submm wavelengths contains significant cosmological information about the early Universe (in terms of the cosmic microwave background) but also the process of structure formation in the…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2010-09-16 Luca Conversi , Paola Fiadino , Paolo de Bernardis , Silvia Masi

A Bayesian re-analysis of published radial velocity data sets is providing evidence for additional planetary candidates. The nonlinear model fitting is accomplished with a new hybrid Markov chain Monte Carlo (HMCMC) algorithm which…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2009-02-13 P. C. Gregory

This paper considers the problem of estimating chirp parameters from a noisy mixture of chirps. While a rich body of work exists in this area, challenges remain when extending these techniques to chirps of higher order polynomials. We…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-01-31 Sattwik Basu , Debottam Dutta , Yu-Lin Wei , Romit Roy Choudhury

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a popular Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to sample from an unnormalized probability distribution. A leapfrog integrator is commonly used to implement HMC in practice, but its performance can be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-10-28 Marcel Hirt , Michalis K. Titsias , Petros Dellaportas

The Monte Carlo Hamiltonian method developed recently allows to investigate ground state and low-lying excited states of a quantum system, using Monte Carlo algorithm with importance sampling. However, conventional MC algorithm has some…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2018-01-17 Xiang-Qian Luo , Xiao-Ni Cheng , Helmut Kroger

In this paper we discuss the possibility of using multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods for weak approximation schemes. It turns out that by means of a simple coupling between consecutive time discretisation levels, one can achieve the same…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2014-10-07 Denis Belomestny , Tigran Nagapetyan

Along with the recent advances in scalable Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, sampling techniques that are based on Langevin diffusions have started receiving increasing attention. These so called Langevin Monte Carlo (LMC) methods are based…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-06-14 Umut Şimşekli

We interpret uncertainty in a model for seismic wave propagation by treating the model parameters as random variables, and apply the Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method to reduce the cost of approximating expected values of selected,…

Multilevel Monte Carlo is a key tool for approximating integrals involving expensive scientific models. The idea is to use approximations of the integrand to construct an estimator with improved accuracy over classical Monte Carlo. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-15 Kaiyu Li , Daniel Giles , Toni Karvonen , Serge Guillas , François-Xavier Briol

We investigate the effect of using local and non-local second derivative information on the performance of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling methods, for high-dimension non-Gaussian distributions, with application to Bayesian inference…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-05-03 Mina Karimi , Kaushik Dayal , Matteo Pozzi

This paper applies several well-known tricks from the numerical treatment of deterministic differential equations to improve the efficiency of the Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method for stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-12-23 Eike H. Mueller , Rob Scheichl , Tony Shardlow

In many problems, complex non-Gaussian and/or nonlinear models are required to accurately describe a physical system of interest. In such cases, Monte Carlo algorithms are remarkably flexible and extremely powerful approaches to solve such…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-04-23 Thi Le Thu Nguyen , Francois Septier , Gareth W. Peters , Yves Delignon

Monte Carlo simulations are widely used to simulate complex molecular systems, but standard approaches suffer from metastability. Lately, the use of non-local proposal updates in a collective-variable (CV) space has been proposed in several…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-04-20 Christoph Schönle , Davide Carbone , Marylou Gabrié , Tony Lelièvre , Gabriel Stoltz

Monte Carlo (MC) sampling is a popular method for estimating the statistics (e.g. expectation and variance) of a random variable. Its slow convergence has led to the emergence of advanced techniques to reduce the variance of the MC…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-21 Mohamed Reda El Amri , Paul Mycek , Sophie Ricci , Matthias De Lozzo

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler is widely used for cosmological parameter estimation from CMB and other data. However, due to the intrinsic serial nature of the MCMC sampler, convergence is often very slow. Here we present a fast…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2014-08-12 Santanu Das , Tarun Souradeep

Performing Bayesian inference via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can be exceedingly expensive when posterior evaluations invoke the evaluation of a computationally expensive model, such as a system of partial differential equations. In…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-12-27 Patrick Conrad , Andrew Davis , Youssef Marzouk , Natesh Pillai , Aaron Smith
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