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We provide guarantees for approximate Gaussian Process (GP) regression resulting from two common low-rank kernel approximations: based on random Fourier features, and based on truncating the kernel's Mercer expansion. In particular, we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-16 Constantinos Daskalakis , Petros Dellaportas , Aristeidis Panos

Gaussian processes (GPs) are versatile tools that have been successfully employed to solve nonlinear estimation problems in machine learning, but that are rarely used in signal processing. In this tutorial, we present GPs for regression as…

This paper presents a novel approach for approximate integration over the uncertainty of noise and signal variances in Gaussian process (GP) regression. Our efficient and straightforward approach can also be applied to integration over…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-18 Ville Tolvanen , Pasi Jylänki , Aki Vehtari

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a popular surrogate modeling tool for computer simulations in engineering and scientific domains. However, it often struggles with high computational costs and low prediction accuracy when the simulation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Lulu Kang , Minshen Xu

Gaussian process regression networks (GPRN) are powerful Bayesian models for multi-output regression, but their inference is intractable. To address this issue, existing methods use a fully factorized structure (or a mixture of such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-19 Shibo Li , Wei Xing , Mike Kirby , Shandian Zhe

This paper presents a method for approximate Gaussian process (GP) regression with tensor networks (TNs). A parametric approximation of a GP uses a linear combination of basis functions, where the accuracy of the approximation depends on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-01 Clara Menzen , Eva Memmel , Kim Batselier , Manon Kok

Accurate human motion prediction with well-calibrated uncertainty is critical for safe human-robot collaboration (HRC), where robots must anticipate and react to human movements in real time. We propose a structured multitask variational…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Jinger Chong , Xiaotong Zhang , Kamal Youcef-Toumi

In many real-world applications, we are interested in approximating black-box, costly functions as accurately as possible with the smallest number of function evaluations. A complex computer code is an example of such a function. In this…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-03-22 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Daniel Williamson , Marc Goodfellow

Variational Gaussian process (GP) approximations have become a standard tool in fast GP inference. This technique requires a user to select variational features to increase efficiency. So far the common choices in the literature are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-26 Veit Wild , George Wynne

We propose a simple method that combines neural networks and Gaussian processes. The proposed method can estimate the uncertainty of outputs and flexibly adjust target functions where training data exist, which are advantages of Gaussian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-20 Tomoharu Iwata , Zoubin Ghahramani

Parameter estimation is crucial for modeling, tracking, and control of complex dynamical systems. However, parameter uncertainties can compromise system performance under a controller relying on nominal parameter values. Typically,…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-02-20 Mouhyemen Khan , Abhijit Chatterjee

In this paper an efficient and reliable method for stochastic yield estimation is presented. Since one main challenge of uncertainty quantification is the computational feasibility, we propose a hybrid approach where most of the Monte Carlo…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2020-10-12 Mona Fuhrländer , Sebastian Schöps

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a popular model for spatially referenced data and allow descriptive statements, predictions at new locations, and simulation of new fields. Often a few parameters are sufficient to parameterize the covariance…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-01 Florian Gerber , Douglas W. Nychka

Complex-valued signals are used in the modeling of many systems in engineering and science, hence being of fundamental interest. Often, random complex-valued signals are considered to be proper. A proper complex random variable or process…

Complex computer codes or models can often be run in a hierarchy of different levels of complexity ranging from the very basic to the sophisticated. The top levels in this hierarchy are typically expensive to run, which limits the number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-19 Louise Kimpton , James Salter , Tim Dodwell , Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor

The asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation of Gaussian processes has been subject to intensive investigation. However, this asymptotic analysis is very scarce for non-Gaussian processes. In this paper, we study a class of…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-27 François Bachoc , José Bétancourt , Reinhard Furrer , Thierry Klein

Gaussian process regression is widely used because of its ability to provide well-calibrated uncertainty estimates and handle small or sparse datasets. However, it struggles with high-dimensional data. One possible way to scale this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-02 Bernardo Fichera , Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Andreas Krause , Aude Billard

Gaussian process (GP) models are effective non-linear models for numerous scientific applications. However, computation of their hyperparameters can be difficult when there is a large number of training observations (n) due to the O(n^3)…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-10-14 Amanda Muyskens , Benjamin W. Priest , Imene R. Goumiri , Michael D. Schneider

Gaussian processes have become a promising tool for various safety-critical settings, since the posterior variance can be used to directly estimate the model error and quantify risk. However, state-of-the-art techniques for safety-critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-22 Alexandre Capone , Armin Lederer , Sandra Hirche

Credible forecasting and representation learning of dynamical systems are of ever-increasing importance for reliable decision-making. To that end, we propose a family of Gaussian processes (GP) for dynamical systems with linear…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Petar Bevanda , Max Beier , Armin Lederer , Alexandre Capone , Stefan Sosnowski , Sandra Hirche