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Validating safety-critical autonomous systems in high-dimensional domains such as robotics presents a significant challenge. Existing black-box approaches based on Markov chain Monte Carlo may require an enormous number of samples, while…

We develop a systemic risk framework to explore cascading systemic failures in networked control systems. A time-delayed version of the vehicle platooning problem is used as a benchmark to study the interplay among network connectivity,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-15 Guangyi Liu , Christoforos Somarakis , Nader Motee

Diffusion Language Models (DLMs) have recently achieved significant success due to their any-order generation capabilities. However, existing inference methods typically rely on local, immediate-step metrics such as confidence or entropy…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-12-03 Kecheng Chen , Ziru Liu , Xijia Tao , Hui Liu , Xinyu Fu , Suiyun Zhang , Dandan Tu , Lingpeng Kong , Rui Liu , Haoliang Li

Consequential decision-making incentivizes individuals to strategically adapt their behavior to the specifics of the decision rule. While a long line of work has viewed strategic adaptation as gaming and attempted to mitigate its effects,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-19 John Miller , Smitha Milli , Moritz Hardt

Backpropagation algorithm has been widely used as a mainstream learning procedure for neural networks in the past decade, and has played a significant role in the development of deep learning. However, there exist some limitations…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Gongpei Zhao , Tao Wang , Yidong Li , Yi Jin , Congyan Lang , Haibin Ling

The prediction of information diffusion or cascade has attracted much attention over the last decade. Most cascade prediction works target on predicting cascade-level macroscopic properties such as the final size of a cascade. Existing…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-12-24 Cheng Yang , Maosong Sun , Haoran Liu , Shiyi Han , Zhiyuan Liu , Huanbo Luan

Effective collective decision-making in swarm robotics often requires balancing exploration, communication and individual uncertainty estimation, especially in hazardous environments where direct measurements are limited or costly. We…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Gabriel Aguirre , Simay Atasoy Bingöl , Heiko Hamann , Jonas Kuckling

Inferring the effect of interventions within complex systems is a fundamental problem of statistics. A widely studied approach employs structural causal models that postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-14 David Strieder , Mathias Drton

When reasoning with uncertainty there are many situations where evidences are not only uncertain but their propositions may also be weakly specified in the sense that it may not be certain to which event a proposition is referring. It is…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Johan Schubert

Selective classification is a powerful tool for automated decision-making in high-risk scenarios, allowing classifiers to act only when confident and abstain when uncertainty is high. Given a target accuracy, our goal is to minimize…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Mohamed Ndaoud , Peter Radchenko , Bradley Rava

We propose a new approach to promote safety in classification tasks with established concepts. Our approach -- called a conceptual safeguard -- acts as a verification layer for models that predict a target outcome by first predicting the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-08 Hailey Joren , Charles Marx , Berk Ustun

The goal of algorithmic recourse is to reverse unfavorable decisions (e.g., from loan denial to approval) under automated decision making by suggesting actionable feature changes (e.g., reduce the number of credit cards). To generate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-07 Martin Pawelczyk , Lea Tiyavorabun , Gjergji Kasneci

It is common when using cross-section or panel data to assign each observation to a cluster and allow for arbitrary patterns of heteroskedasticity and correlation within clusters. For regression models, there are many ways to make…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-03 James G. MacKinnon

Inference is the process of using facts we know to learn about facts we do not know. A theory of inference gives assumptions necessary to get from the former to the latter, along with a definition for and summary of the resulting…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-27 Beau Coker , Cynthia Rudin , Gary King

We present a conditional diffusion model - ConDiSim, for simulation-based inference of complex systems with intractable likelihoods. ConDiSim leverages denoising diffusion probabilistic models to approximate posterior distributions,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-17 Mayank Nautiyal , Andreas Hellander , Prashant Singh

This article examines the queueing performance of communication systems that transmit encoded data over unreliable channels. A fading formulation suitable for wireless environments is considered where errors are caused by a discrete channel…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2013-09-16 Fatemeh Hamidi-Sepehr , Henry D. Pfister , Jean-Francois Chamberland

Most classification models work by first predicting a posterior probability distribution over all classes and then selecting that class with the largest estimated probability. In many settings however, the quality of posterior probability…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-05-04 Taehee Jung , Dongyeop Kang , Hua Cheng , Lucas Mentch , Thomas Schaaf

At present, object recognition studies are mostly conducted in a closed lab setting with classes in test phase typically in training phase. However, real-world problem is far more challenging because: i) new classes unseen in the training…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-24 Xiaojie Guo , Amir Alipour-Fanid , Lingfei Wu , Hemant Purohit , Xiang Chen , Kai Zeng , Liang Zhao

Inference for functional linear models in the presence of heteroscedastic errors has received insufficient attention given its practical importance; in fact, even a central limit theorem has not been studied in this case. At issue,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-27 Hyemin Yeon , Xiongtao Dai , Daniel John Nordman

Variational inference has been widely used in machine learning literature to fit various Bayesian models. In network analysis, this method has been successfully applied to solve the community detection problems. Although these results are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-22 Xuezhen Li , Can M. Le