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The Robbins estimator is the most iconic and widely used procedure in the empirical Bayes literature for the Poisson model. On one hand, this method has been recently shown to be minimax optimal in terms of the regret (excess risk over the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-16 Soham Jana , Yury Polyanskiy , Yihong Wu

We consider the classical problems of estimating the mean of an $n$-dimensional normally (with identity covariance matrix) or Poisson distributed vector under the squared loss. In a Bayesian setting the optimal estimator is given by the…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-09-13 Yury Polyanskiy , Yihong Wu

Empirical Bayes methods are widely used for large-scale estimation and inference in the Poisson means problem. Existing results establish theoretical properties of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) for optimal posterior…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-06 Taehyun Kim

This guide provides a reference for high-probability regret bounds in empirical risk minimization (ERM). The presentation is modular: we begin with intuition and general proof strategies, then state broadly applicable guarantees under…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-04 Lars van der Laan

We consider the random design regression model with square loss. We propose a method that aggregates empirical minimizers (ERM) over appropriately chosen random subsets and reduces to ERM in the extreme case, and we establish sharp oracle…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-04 Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

Empirical Bayes (EB) is a popular framework for large-scale inference that aims to find data-driven estimators to compete with the Bayesian oracle that knows the true prior. Two principled approaches to EB estimation have emerged over the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-21 Yandi Shen , Yihong Wu

This work applies modern AI tools (transformers) to solving one of the oldest statistical problems: Poisson means under empirical Bayes (Poisson-EB) setting. In Poisson-EB a high-dimensional mean vector $\theta$ (with iid coordinates…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-29 Anzo Teh , Mark Jabbour , Yury Polyanskiy

In the present paper, we derive lower bounds for the risk of the nonparametric empirical Bayes estimators. In order to attain the optimal convergence rate, we propose generalization of the linear empirical Bayes estimation method which…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-06-12 Rida Benhaddou , Marianna Pensky

A monotone version of an empirical Bayes estimator for the parameter of the Borel-Tanner distribution is constructed. Some properties of the estimator's regret risk are illustrated through simulations.

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-13 George P. Yanev , Roberto Colson

We develop an empirical Bayes (EB) G-modeling framework for short-panel linear models with nonparametric prior for the random intercepts, slopes, dynamics, and non-spherical error variances. We establish identification and consistency of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-13 Myunghyun Song , Sokbae Lee , Serena Ng

We present an extension of Vapnik's classical empirical risk minimizer (ERM) where the empirical risk is replaced by a median-of-means (MOM) estimator, the new estimators are called MOM minimizers. While ERM is sensitive to corruption of…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-10 Guillaume Lecué , Matthieu Lerasle , Timothée Mathieu

We introduce a new adjusted residual maximum likelihood method (REML) in the context of producing an empirical Bayes (EB) confidence interval for a normal mean, a problem of great interest in different small area applications. Like other…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-08-29 Masayo Yoshimori , Partha Lahiri

In many instances, the application of approximate Bayesian methods is hampered by two practical features: 1) the requirement to project the data down to low-dimensional summary, including the choice of this projection, which ultimately…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-26 David T. Frazier

This article develops a general theory for minimum norm interpolating estimators and regularized empirical risk minimizers (RERM) in linear models in the presence of additive, potentially adversarial, errors. In particular, no conditions on…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-08 Geoffrey Chinot , Matthias Löffler , Sara van de Geer

We study the problem of selecting the best $m$ units from a set of $n$ as $m / n \to \alpha \in (0, 1)$, where noisy, heteroskedastic measurements of the units' true values are available and the decision-maker wishes to maximize the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-01 Dominic Coey , Kenneth Hung

We study the minimal error of the Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) procedure in the task of regression, both in the random and the fixed design settings. Our sharp lower bounds shed light on the possibility (or impossibility) of adapting…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-25 Gil Kur , Alexander Rakhlin

In this paper we study the differentially private Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) problem in different settings. For smooth (strongly) convex loss function with or without (non)-smooth regularization, we give algorithms that achieve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-15 Di Wang , Minwei Ye , Jinhui Xu

We present a novel notion of complexity that interpolates between and generalizes some classic existing complexity notions in learning theory: for estimators like empirical risk minimization (ERM) with arbitrary bounded losses, it is upper…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-10-24 Peter D. Grünwald , Nishant A. Mehta

Most bandit algorithm designs are purely theoretical. Therefore, they have strong regret guarantees, but also are often too conservative in practice. In this work, we pioneer the idea of algorithm design by minimizing the empirical Bayes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-12 Chih-Wei Hsu , Branislav Kveton , Ofer Meshi , Martin Mladenov , Csaba Szepesvari

The theoretical and empirical performance of Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) often suffers when loss functions are poorly behaved with large Lipschitz moduli and spurious sharp minimizers. We propose and analyze a counterpart to ERM…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-07-08 Matthew Norton , Johannes O. Royset
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