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Causal inference literature has extensively focused on binary treatments, with relatively fewer methods developed for multi-valued treatments. In particular, methods for multiple simultaneously assigned treatments remain understudied…

In precision medicine, Dynamic Treatment Regimes (DTRs) are treatment protocols that adapt over time in response to a patient's observed characteristics. A DTR is a set of decision functions that takes an individual patient's information as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-17 Cong Jiang , Michael Wallace , Mary Thompson

Instrumental variable methods have been widely used to identify causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. A key identification condition known as the exclusion restriction states that the instrument cannot have a direct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-05 Baoluo Sun , Yifan Cui , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Unobserved confounding prevents standard covariate adjustment from identifying causal response functions in observational studies. Proxy causal learning addresses this problem through bridge equations involving treatment- and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Bariscan Bozkurt , Alexandre Galashov , Dimitri Meunier , Zikai Shen , Arthur Gretton , Houssam Zenati

The marginal structure quantile model (MSQM) provides a unique lens to understand the causal effect of a time-varying treatment on the full distribution of potential outcomes. Under the semiparametric framework, we derive the efficiency…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-13 Chao Cheng , Liangyuan Hu , Fan Li

We consider an experiment with at least two stages or batches and $O(N)$ subjects per batch. First, we propose a semiparametric treatment effect estimator that efficiently pools information across the batches, and show it asymptotically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-28 Harrison H. Li , Art B. Owen

Estimating how a treatment affects different individuals, known as heterogeneous treatment effect estimation, is an important problem in empirical sciences. In the last few years, there has been a considerable interest in adapting machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-18 Christopher Tran , Keith Burghardt , Kristina Lerman , Elena Zheleva

Machine learning methods, particularly the double machine learning (DML) estimator (Chernozhukov et al., 2018), are increasingly popular for the estimation of the average treatment effect (ATE). However, datasets often exhibit unbalanced…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-06-12 Daniele Ballinari

Flexible estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects lies at the heart of many statistical challenges, such as personalized medicine and optimal resource allocation. In this paper, we develop a general class of two-step algorithms for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-07 Xinkun Nie , Stefan Wager

Evaluation of treatment effects and more general estimands is typically achieved via parametric modelling, which is unsatisfactory since model misspecification is likely. Data-adaptive model building (e.g. statistical/machine learning) is…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-14 Oliver Hines , Oliver Dukes , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Stijn Vansteelandt

We develop an estimator for treatment effects in high-dimensional settings with additive measurement error, a prevalent challenge in modern econometrics. We introduce the Double/Debiased Convex Conditioned LASSO (Double/Debiased CoCoLASSO),…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-28 Geonwoo Kim , Suyong Song

Doubly robust (DR) estimators guard against model misspecification but remain sensitive to weak covariate overlap. We show that trimming propensity scores reduces variance but eliminates double robustness. We introduce DR estimators that…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-17 Yukun Ma , Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Yuya Sasaki , Takuya Ura

We study counterfactual classification as a new tool for decision-making under hypothetical (contrary to fact) scenarios. We propose a doubly-robust nonparametric estimator for a general counterfactual classifier, where we can incorporate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 Kwangho Kim , Edward H. Kennedy , José R. Zubizarreta

Causal mediation analysis is used to evaluate direct and indirect causal effects of a treatment on an outcome of interest through an intermediate variable or a mediator.It is difficult to identify the direct and indirect causal effects…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-01-14 Wei Li , Chunchen Liu , Zhi Geng , John Murray

We propose an instrumental variable framework for identifying and estimating causal effects of discrete and continuous treatments with binary instruments. The basis of our approach is a local copula representation of the joint distribution…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-17 Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Sukjin Han , Kaspar Wüthrich

When treatment effects are naturally expressed as ratios -- as in medicine, pricing, and marketing -- the ratio-based CATE $\tau(x) = E[Y|W=1,X=x] / E[Y|W=0,X=x]$ is the appropriate estimand. Yet existing estimators either impose a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-27 Michael Fuchs , Dominik Kreiss

While model selection is a well-studied topic in parametric and nonparametric regression or density estimation, selection of possibly high-dimensional nuisance parameters in semiparametric problems is far less developed. In this paper, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-06 Yifan Cui , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

The presence of confounding by high-dimensional variables complicates estimation of the average effect of a point treatment. On the one hand, it necessitates the use of variable selection strategies or more general data-adaptive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-15 Vahe Avagyan , Stijn Vansteelandt

This paper deals with the concept of equivalence between direct and indirect effects of a treatment on a response using two sets of intermediate variables and covariates. First, we provide criteria for testing whether two sets of variables…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-07 Manabu Kuroki

Empirical economists are often deterred from the application of fixed effects binary choice models mainly for two reasons: the incidental parameter problem and the computational challenge even in moderately large panels. Using the example…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-10-27 Daniel Czarnowske , Amrei Stammann