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The length of the solar activity cycle fluctuates considerably. The temporal evolution of the corresponding cycle phase, that is, the deviation of the epochs of activity minima or maxima from strict periodicity, provides relevant…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-03-15 E. Weisshaar , R. H. Cameron , M. Schüssler

I study the sunspot area fluctuations over the epoch of 12 solar cycles (12-23). Lately, I found three significant quasi-periodicities at 10, 17 and 23 solar rotations, but two longer periods could be treated as subharmonics of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-05-24 R. Getko

The duration of activity growths in solar cycles is on average shorter than the duration of its declines. This asymmetry can result from fluctuations in dynamo parameters. A solar dynamo model with fluctuations in the $\alpha$-effect shows…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-11-07 Leonid Kitchatinov , Alexander Nepomnyashchikh

Solar cycles vary in their amplitude and shape. There are several empirical relations between various parameters linking cycle's shape and amplitude, in particular the Waldmeier relations. As solar cycle is believed to be a result of the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2012-05-24 V. V. Pipin , D. D. Sokoloff , I. G. Usoskin

The sunspot number is analyzed by using detailed sunspot data, including aspects of observability, sunspot sizes, and proper identification of sunspot groups as discrete entities of the solar activity. The tests show that besides the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2016-06-01 Judit Muraközy , Tünde Baranyi , András Ludmány

Gil-Alana et al. (Physica A: 396, 42-50, 2014) compared the sunspot number record and the temperature record and found that they differ: the sunspot number record is characterized by a dominant 11-year cycle while the temperature record…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2014-07-30 Nicola Scafetta

We investigate the dynamics of solar activity using a nonlinear one-dimensional dynamo model and a phenomenological equation for the evolution of Wolf numbers. This system of equations is solved numerically. We take into account the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2016-07-05 Ya. Kleeorin , N. Safiullin , N. Kleeorin , S. Porshnev , I. Rogachevskii , D. Sokoloff

One of the most striking aspects of the 11-year sunspot cycle is that there have been times in the past when some cycles went missing, a most well-known example of this being the Maunder minimum during 1645-1715. Analyses of cosmogenic…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2014-04-09 Arnab Rai Choudhuri , Bidya Binay Karak

We analyzed the size, intensity, and magnetic field strength of sunspot umbrae to compare the present cycle 24 with the previous one. We used data of the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager onboard the Solar Dynamics Observatory and selected…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-18 Christoph Kiess , Reza Rezaei , Wolfgang Schmidt

We consider to what extent the long-term dynamics of cyclic solar activity in the form of Grand Minima can be associated with random fluctuations of the parameters governing the solar dynamo. We consider fluctuations of the…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2014-11-18 D. Moss , D. Sokoloff , I. Usoskin , V. Tutubalin

Wind and solar power are known to be highly influenced by weather events and may ramp up or down abruptly. Such events in the power production influence not only the availability of energy, but also the stability of the entire power grid.…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-07-20 M. Anvari , G. Lohmann , M. Wächter , P. Milan , E. Lorenz , D. Heinemann , M. Reza Rahimi Tabar , Joachim Peinke

The space missions MOST, COROT and Kepler are going to provide us with high-precision optical photometry of solar-like stars with time series extending from tens of days to several years. They can be modelled to obtain information on…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2008-11-26 A. F. Lanza , A. S. Bonomo , M. Rodono'

The characteristic size of penumbral structures are still below the current resolution limit of modern solar telescopes. Though we have seen a significant progress in theoretical work over the last decades no tight constraints can be placed…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 T. A. Carroll , J. Staude

The $F_{10.7cm}$ radio flux and the Sunspot Number are the most widely used long-term indices of solar activity. They are strongly correlated, which led to the publication of many proxy relations allowing to convert one index onto the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-01-09 Frédéric Clette

We compare spectra of the zonal harmonics of the large-scale magnetic field of the Sun using observation results and solar dynamo models. The main solar activity cycle as recorded in these tracers is a much more complicated phenomenon than…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-04-16 V. N. Obridko , V. V. Pipin , D. D. Sokoloff , A. S. Shibalova

The prediction of the strength of future solar cycles is of interest because of its practical significance for space weather and as a test of our theoretical understanding of the solar cycle. The Babcock-Leighton mechanism allows…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-08-29 Jie Jiang , Jing-Xiu Wang , Qi-Rong Jiao , Jin-Bin Cao

We find that the mean meridional motion of the spot groups varies considerably on a time scale of about 5-20 years. The maximum amplitude of the variation is about 10-15 m/s in both the Sun's northern and the southern hemispheres. Variation…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2009-11-26 J. Javaraiah

We study the visibility of sunspots and its influence on observed values of sunspot region parameters. We use Virtual Observatory tools provided by AstroGrid to analyse a sample of 6862 sunspot regions. By studying the distributions of…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2008-02-12 S. Dalla , L. Fletcher , N. A. Walton

We analyze the famous Wolf's sunspot numbers. We discovered that the distribution of the sunspot number fluctuations is a mixture of the BHP distribution with the Gaussian distribution.

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2008-03-18 R. Gonçalves , A. A. Pinto

Over the past century, the Sun's activity -- which exhibits significant variations -- went through a phase known as the Modern Maximum. Notably, the strongest sunspot cycle on record during this period, and indeed since direct sunspot…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-08-20 Shaonwita Pal , Dibyendu Nandy