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Sunspot numbers form a comprehensive, long-duration proxy of solar activity and have been used numerous times to empirically investigate the properties of the solar cycle. A number of correlations have been discovered over the 24 cycles for…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-11 Yaming Yu , David A. van Dyk , Vinay L. Kashyap , C. Alex Young

The recent paucity of sunspots and the delay in the expected start of Solar Cycle 24 have drawn attention to the challenges involved in predicting solar activity. Traditional models of the solar cycle usually require information about the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2013-12-05 Mercedes T. Richards , Michael L. Rogers , Donald St. P. Richards

Variations of the sunspot number are important indicators of the solar activity cycles. The sunspot formation is a result of a dynamo process inside the Sun, which is far from being understood. We use simple dynamical models of the dynamo…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-02-11 I. N. Kitiashvili , A. G. Kosovichev

Monthly averages of the sunspot number visible on the sun, observed from 1749, Zurich Observatory, and from 1848 other observatories, have been analyzed. This time signal presents a frequency power spectra with a clear $1/f^\alpha$ behavior…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2016-09-08 H. Fanchiotti , S. J. Sciutto , C. A. Garcia Canal , C. Hojvat

The Schwabe (~11 yr) value for the annual sunspot number is sometimes uncritically applied to other measures of solar activity, direct and indirect, including the 10.7 cm radio flux, the inflow of galactic cosmic rays, solar flare…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-12-08 Claudio Vita-Finzi

Sunspots are a canonical marker of the Sun's internal magnetic field which flips polarity every ~22-years. The principal variation of sunspots, an ~11-year variation in number, modulates the amount of magnetic field that pierces the solar…

Context. Solar activity cycles vary in amplitude and duration. The variations can be at least partly explained by fluctuations in dynamo parameters. Aims. We want to restrict uncertainty in fluctuating dynamo parameters and find out which…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-07-18 L. L. Kitchatinov , A. V. Mordvinov , A. A. Nepomnyashchikh

Solar cycles are studied with the Version 2 monthly smoothed international sunspot number, the variations of which are found to be well represented by the modified logistic differential equation with four parameters: maximum cumulative…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-12-19 G. Qin , S. -S. Wu

Detailed models of the solar cycle require information about the starting time and rise time as well as the shape and amplitude of the cycle. However, none of these models includes a discussion of the variations in the length of the cycle,…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Michael L. Rogers , Mercedes T. Richards , Donald St. P. Richards

The present paper reviews results derived from statistical studies on solar activity indices. The prolonged minimum phase of cycle 23 raised the question of peculiarities inherent in cycle 23. The most important solar activity index is the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2010-02-03 M. Temmer

The sunspot activity is the end result of the cyclic destruction and regeneration of magnetic fields by the dynamo action. We propose a new method to analyze the daily sunspot areas data recorded since 1874. By computing the power spectral…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-20 Ilidio Lopes , Hugo G. Silva

The long-term variability of the sunspot cycle, as recorded by the Wolf numbers, are imprinted in different kinds of statistical relations which relate the cycle amplitudes, duration and shapes. This subject always gets a special attention…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-12 V. V. Pipin , D. D. Sokoloff , I. G. Usoskin

Despite the known general properties of the solar cycles, a reliable forecast of the 11-year sunspot number variations is still a problem. The difficulties are caused by the apparent chaotic behavior of the sunspot numbers from cycle to…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 I. N. Kitiashvili , A. G. Kosovichev

The short-term periodicities of the daily sunspot area fluctuations from August 1923 to October 1933 are discussed. For these data the correlative analysis indicates negative correlation for the periodicity of about 155 days, but the power…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-09-17 Ryszarda Getko

Solar activity is an important driver of long-term climate trends and must be accounted for in climate models. Unfortunately, direct measurements of this quantity over long periods do not exist. The only observation related to solar…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-01-12 Sophie Mathieu , Laure Lefèvre , Rainer von Sachs , Véronique Delouille , Christian Ritter , Frédéric Clette

Sunspot number series are subject to various uncertainties, which are still poorly known. The need for their better understanding was recently highlighted by the major makeover of the international Sunspot Number [Clette et al., Space…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-01-06 Thierry Dudok de Wit , Laure Lefèvre , Frédéric Clette

The use of different solar activity indices like sunspot numbers, sunspot areas, flare index, magnetic fields, etc., allows us to investigate the time evolution of some specific features of the solar activity and the underlying dynamo…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2013-10-11 Stefano Sello

The data of sunspot numbers, sunspot areas and solar flare index during cycle 23 are analyzed to investigate the intermediate-term periodicities. Power spectral analysis has been performed separately for the data of the whole disk, northern…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2009-11-16 Bhuwan Joshi , P. Pant , P. K. Manoharan

Relative variations in the number of sunspots and sunspot groups in activity cycles have been analyzed based on data from the Kislovodsk Mountain Astronomical Station and international indices. The following regularities have been…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2013-09-20 A. G. Tlatov

The use of the spotless days to predict the future solar activity is here revised based on the new version of the sunspot number index with a 24-month filter. Data from Solar Cycle (SC) 10 are considered because from this solar cycle the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-11-15 V. M. S. Carrasco , J. M. Vaquero , M. C. Gallego
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