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Computer models play a crucial role in numerous scientific and engineering domains. To ensure the accuracy of simulations, it is essential to properly calibrate the input parameters of these models through statistical inference. While…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-07 Dongkyu Derek Cho , Won Chang , Jaewoo Park

Many real-world optimization problems involve uncertain parameters with probability distributions that can be estimated using contextual feature information. In contrast to the standard approach of first estimating the distribution of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-08-03 Meng Qi , Paul Grigas , Zuo-Jun Max Shen

Accurately estimating workload runtime is a longstanding goal in computer systems, and plays a key role in efficient resource provisioning, latency minimization, and various other system management tasks. Runtime prediction is particularly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Tianshu Huang , Arjun Ramesh , Emily Ruppel , Nuno Pereira , Anthony Rowe , Carlee Joe-Wong

Research on residential segregation has been active since the 1950s and originated in a desire to quantify the level of racial/ethnic segregation in the United States. The Index of Concentration at the Extremes (ICE), an operationalization…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-05-01 Yang Xu , Loni Philip Tabb

Mediation analysis is appealing for its ability to improve understanding of the mechanistic drivers of causal effects, but real-world data complexities challenge its successful implementation, including: 1) the existence of post-exposure…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-19 Kara E Rudolph , Nicholas Williams , Ivan Diaz

In time-to-event settings, g-computation and doubly robust estimators are based on discrete-time data. However, many biological processes are evolving continuously over time. In this paper, we extend the g-computation and the doubly robust…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-15 A. Chatton , F. Le Borgne , C. Leyrat , Y. Foucher

Binary endpoints are common in clinical trials and conditional odds ratios have traditionally been used to assess treatment effects. However, the interpretation of odds ratios is difficult, they are non-collapsible and rely on strong…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Martin Schnuerch , Alex Ocampo , Klaus Kähler Holst , Christian Stock

Evaluation of intervention in a multiagent system, e.g., when humans should intervene in autonomous driving systems and when a player should pass to teammates for a good shot, is challenging in various engineering and scientific fields.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-02-20 Keisuke Fujii , Koh Takeuchi , Atsushi Kuribayashi , Naoya Takeishi , Yoshinobu Kawahara , Kazuya Takeda

Instrumental variables (IVs) are widely used to estimate causal effects from non-randomized data. A canonical example is a randomized trial with noncompliance, in which the randomized treatment assignment serves as an IV for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-06 Rui Wang , Ying-Qi Zhao , Oliver Dukes , Bo Zhang

By amalgamating data from disparate sources, the resulting integrated dataset becomes a valuable resource for statistical analysis. In probabilistic record linkage, the effectiveness of such integration relies on the availability of linkage…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-10 Siu-Ming Tam , Min Wang , Alicia Rambaldi , Dehua Tao

We propose a sequential, anytime-valid method to test the conditional independence of a response $Y$ and a predictor $X$ given a random vector $Z$. The proposed test is based on e-statistics and test martingales, which generalize likelihood…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-22 Peter Grünwald , Alexander Henzi , Tyron Lardy

The requirement to generate robust robotic platforms is a critical enabling step to allow such platforms to permeate safety-critical applications (i.e., the localization of autonomous platforms in urban environments). One of the primary…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-08-14 Ryan M. Watson , Jason N. Gross , Clark N. Taylor , Robert C. Leishman

Large-scale precision matrix estimation is of fundamental importance yet challenging in many contemporary applications for recovering Gaussian graphical models. In this paper, we suggest a new approach of innovated scalable efficient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-12 Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv

Optimal experimental design (OED) is a framework that leverages a mathematical model of the experiment to identify optimal conditions for conducting the experiment. Under a Bayesian approach, the design objective function is typically…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-27 Thomas E. Coons , Xun Huan

Variational inference has recently emerged as a popular alternative to the classical Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) in large-scale Bayesian inference. The core idea is to trade statistical accuracy for computational efficiency. In this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-08-08 Kush Bhatia , Nikki Lijing Kuang , Yi-An Ma , Yixin Wang

The current COVID-19 pandemic poses numerous challenges for ongoing clinical trials and provides a stress-testing environment for the existing principles and practice of estimands in clinical trials. The pandemic may increase the rate of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-02 Yongming Qu , Ilya Lipkovich

Modern computational models in supervised machine learning are often highly parameterized universal approximators. As such, the value of the parameters is unimportant, and only the out of sample performance is considered. On the other hand…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-11-04 Matthew Dixon , Tyler Ward

The pseudo-observation method is regularly applied to time-to-event data. However, to date such analyses have relied on not formally verified statements or ad-hoc methods regarding covariance estimation. This paper strives to close this gap…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-23 Simon Mack , Morten Overgaard , Dennis Dobler

Estimating causal effects from large experimental and observational data has become increasingly prevalent in both industry and research. The bootstrap is an intuitive and powerful technique used to construct standard errors and confidence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-07 Matthew Kosko , Lin Wang , Michele Santacatterina

Instrumental variable models allow us to identify a causal function between covariates $X$ and a response $Y$, even in the presence of unobserved confounding. Most of the existing estimators assume that the error term in the response $Y$…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-23 Sorawit Saengkyongam , Leonard Henckel , Niklas Pfister , Jonas Peters