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Residential colleges and universities face unique challenges in providing in-person instruction during the COVID-19 pandemic. Administrators are currently faced with decisions about whether to open during the pandemic and what modifications…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-12-22 Philip T. Gressman , Jennifer R. Peck

Global strategies to contain a pandemic, such as social distancing and protective measures, are designed to reduce the overall transmission rate between individuals. Despite such measures, essential institutions, including hospitals,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-09-07 Roberto Morán-Tovar , Henning Gruell , Florian Klein , Michael Lässig

Motivated by the increasing number of COVID-19 cases that have been observed in many countries after the vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, we propose a mathematical model on time-varying networks for the spread…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-03-09 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

In this paper we conduct a simulation study of the spread of an epidemic like COVID-19 with temporary immunity on finite spatial and non-spatial network models. In particular, we assume that an epidemic spreads stochastically on a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-12-16 Tim Hulshof , Joost Jorritsma , Júlia Komjáthy

We present a stochastic epidemic model to study the effect of various preventive measures, such as uniform reduction of contacts and transmission, vaccination, isolation, screening and contact tracing, on a disease outbreak in a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-07-08 Martina Favero , Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba , Tom Britton

To contain the propagation of emerging diseases that are transmissible from human to human, non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) aimed at reducing the interactions between humans are usually implemented. One example of the latter kind of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-05-21 Paulo Cesar Ventura , Alberto Aleta , Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues , Yamir Moreno

Epidemic outbreaks pose significant challenges to public health and socio-economic stability, necessitating a comprehensive understanding of disease transmission dynamics and effective control strategies. This article discusses the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-10-20 Sourin Chatterjee , Ahad N. Zehmakan , Sujay Rastogi

Once an epidemic outbreak has been effectively contained through non-pharmaceutical interventions, a safe protocol is required for the subsequent release of social distancing restrictions to prevent a disastrous resurgence of the infection.…

Modeling infection spread during pandemics is not new, with models using past data to tune simulation parameters for predictions. These help understand the healthcare burden posed by a pandemic and respond accordingly. However, the problem…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-10-21 Himanshu Kharkwal , Dakota Olson , Jiali Huang , Abhiraj Mohan , Ankur Mani , Jaideep Srivastava

When a new infectious disease (or a new strain of an existing one) emerges, as in the recent COVID-19 pandemic, different types of mobility restrictions are considered to slow down or mitigate the spread of the disease. The measures to be…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-04-21 Jõao Gabriel Simões Delboni , Gabriel Fabricius

Mathematical modeling of epidemic spreading has been widely adopted to estimate the threats of epidemic diseases (i.e., the COVID-19 pandemic) as well as to evaluate epidemic control interventions. The indoor place is considered to be a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-09-14 Yao Xiao , Mofeng Yang , Zheng Zhu , Hai Yang , Lei Zhang , Sepehr Ghader

The spread of COVID-19 has been thwarted in most countries through non-pharmaceutical interventions. In particular, the most effective measures in this direction have been the stay-at-home and closure strategies of businesses and schools.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-05-04 G. Dimarco , G. Toscani , M. Zanella

Individuals involved in common group activities/settings -- e.g., college students that are enrolled in the same class and/or live in the same dorm -- are exposed to recurrent contacts of physical proximity. These contacts are known to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-10-22 Siddharth Patwardhan , Varun K. Rao , Santo Fortunato , Filippo Radicchi

When an unprecedented infectious disease with high mortality and transmissibility emerges, immediate usage of vaccines or medicines is hardly available. Thus, many health authorities rely on non-pharmaceutical interventions through…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-01-21 Minsuk Kim , Soon-Hyung Yook

In the absence of drugs and vaccines, policymakers use non-pharmaceutical interventions such as social distancing to decrease rates of disease-causing contact, with the aim of reducing or delaying the epidemic peak. These measures carry…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-04-22 Dylan H. Morris , Fernando W. Rossine , Joshua B. Plotkin , Simon A. Levin

We study the relative importance of two key control measures for epidemic spreading: endogenous social self-distancing and exogenous imposed quarantine. We use the framework of adaptive networks, moment-closure, and ordinary differential…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-10-22 Leonhard Horstmeyer , Christian Kuehn , Stefan Thurner

The COVID-19 pandemic began over two years ago, yet schools, businesses, and other organizations are still struggling to keep the risk of disease outbreak low while returning to (near) normal functionality. Observations from these past…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-02-02 Sarah C. Fay , Dalton J. Jones , Munther A. Dahleh , A. E. Hosoi

Lately, concepts such as lockdown, quarantine, and social distancing have become very relevant since they have been associated with essential measures in the prevention and mitigation of COVID-19. While some conclusions about the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-04-04 Eric Rozan , Sebastian Bouzat , Marcelo N Kuperman

Testing is a crucial control mechanism for an epidemic outbreak because it enables the health authority to detect and isolate the infected cases, thereby limiting the disease transmission to susceptible people, when no effective treatment…

This work introduces a novel epidemiological model that simultaneously considers multiple viral strains, reinfections due to waning immunity response over time and an optimal control formulation. This enables us to derive optimal mitigation…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-10 Edilson F. Arruda , Dayse H. Pastore , Clauda M. Dias , Shyam S. Das
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