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相关论文: Perturbation-Assisted Sample Synthesis: A Novel Ap…

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Synthetic data generation, a cornerstone of Generative Artificial Intelligence, promotes a paradigm shift in data science by addressing data scarcity and privacy while enabling unprecedented performance. As synthetic data becomes more…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Xiaotong Shen , Yifei Liu , Rex Shen

This study presents a novel approach to quantifying uncertainties in Bayesian model updating, which is effective in sparse or single observations. Conventional uncertainty quantification metrics such as the Euclidean and Bhattacharyya…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-10-14 Sangwon Lee , Taro Yaoyama , Yuma Matsumoto , Takenori Hida , Tatsuya Itoi

The introduction of the Segment Anything Model (SAM) has paved the way for numerous semantic segmentation applications. For several tasks, quantifying the uncertainty of SAM is of particular interest. However, the ambiguous nature of the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-07-30 Timo Kaiser , Thomas Norrenbrock , Bodo Rosenhahn

Hyperparameter tuning is a challenging problem especially when the system itself involves uncertainty. Due to noisy function evaluations, optimization under uncertainty can be computationally expensive. In this paper, we present a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-09 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang

The prevalence of noisy-label samples poses a significant challenge in deep learning, inducing overfitting effects. This has, therefore, motivated the emergence of learning with noisy-label (LNL) techniques that focus on separating noisy-…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-01-12 Arpit Garg , Cuong Nguyen , Rafael Felix , Thanh-Toan Do , Gustavo Carneiro

Data science is a pillar of artificial intelligence (AI), which is transforming nearly every domain of human activity, from the social and physical sciences to engineering and medicine. While data-driven findings in AI offer unprecedented…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-04 Zachary T. Rewolinski , Bin Yu

We propose principled prediction intervals to quantify the uncertainty of a large class of synthetic control predictions (or estimators) in settings with staggered treatment adoption, offering precise non-asymptotic coverage probability…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-04 Matias D. Cattaneo , Yingjie Feng , Filippo Palomba , Rocio Titiunik

Active Domain Adaptation (ADA) adapts models to target domains by selectively labeling a few target samples. Existing ADA methods prioritize uncertain samples but overlook confident ones, which often match ground-truth. We find that…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Bardia Safaei , Vibashan VS , Vishal M. Patel

We investigate the problem of establishing finite-time probabilistic safety guarantees for discrete-time stochastic dynamical systems subject to unknown disturbance distributions, using barrier certificate methods. Our approach develops a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-03 Taoran Wu , Dominik Wagner , C. -H. Luke Ong , Bai Xue

In its quest for approaches to taming uncertainty in self-adaptive systems (SAS), the research community has largely focused on solutions that adapt the SAS architecture or behaviour in response to uncertainty. By comparison, solutions that…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2024-02-02 Marc Carwehl , Calum Imrie , Thomas Vogel , Genaína Rodrigues , Radu Calinescu , Lars Grunske

Deep neural network controllers for autonomous driving have recently benefited from significant performance improvements, and have begun deployment in the real world. Prior to their widespread adoption, safety guarantees are needed on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-24 Rhiannon Michelmore , Matthew Wicker , Luca Laurenti , Luca Cardelli , Yarin Gal , Marta Kwiatkowska

We introduce a general framework that extends Bayesian inference by allowing the researcher to explicitly encode confidence in each source of uncertainty within the model. This mechanism provides a new handle for model design and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-06 Rafael Mouallem Rosa , Julyan Arbel , Hien Duy Nguyen

Imperfections and uncertainties in forecast models are often represented in ensemble prediction systems by stochastic perturbations of model equations. In this article, we present a new technique to generate model perturbations. The…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-11-28 Michael Tsyrulnikov , Elena Astakhova , Dmitry Gayfulin

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are widely used for uncertainty quantification (UQ) tasks, particularly in the applied mathematics community. However, PCE has received comparatively less attention in the statistics literature, and fully…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-30 Kellin N. Rumsey , Devin Francom , Graham C. Gibson , J. Derek Tucker , Gabriel Huerta

We develop a generative model-based approach to Bayesian inverse problems, such as image reconstruction from noisy and incomplete images. Our framework addresses two common challenges of Bayesian reconstructions: 1) It makes use of complex,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-24 Vanessa Böhm , François Lanusse , Uroš Seljak

Statistical agencies utilize models to synthesize respondent-level data for release to the general public as an alternative to the actual data records. A Bayesian model synthesizer encodes privacy protection by employing a hierarchical…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-19 Jingchen Hu , Terrance D. Savitsky

Generative models of observations under interventions have been a vibrant topic of interest across machine learning and the sciences in recent years. For example, in drug discovery, there is a need to model the effects of diverse…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-17 Michael Bereket , Theofanis Karaletsos

Computer experiments are becoming increasingly important in scientific investigations. In the presence of uncertainty, analysts employ probabilistic sensitivity methods to identify the key-drivers of change in the quantities of interest.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos , Emanuele Borgonovo , Xuefei Lu

As AI-generated images become increasingly photorealistic, distinguishing them from natural images poses a growing challenge. This paper presents a robust detection framework that leverages multiple uncertainty measures to decide whether to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Rahul Yumlembam , Biju Issac , Nauman Aslam , Eaby Kollonoor Babu , Josh Collyer , Fraser Kennedy

Generative artificial intelligence (AI) excels at producing complex data structures (text, images, videos) by learning patterns from training examples. Across scientific disciplines, researchers are now applying generative models to…

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