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The radiological characterization of contaminated elements (walls, grounds, objects) from nuclear facilities often suffers from a too small number of measurements. In order to determine risk prediction bounds on the level of contamination,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-05-30 Géraud Blatman , Thibault Delage , Bertrand Iooss , Nadia Pérot

Uncertainty estimation, which provides a means of building explainable neural networks for medical imaging applications, have mostly been studied for single deep learning models that focus on a specific task. In this paper, we propose a…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-10-02 Leonhard F. Feiner , Martin J. Menten , Kerstin Hammernik , Paul Hager , Wenqi Huang , Daniel Rueckert , Rickmer F. Braren , Georgios Kaissis

We describe preliminary results from an effort to quantify the uncertainties in parton distribution functions and the resulting uncertainties in predicted physical quantities. The production cross section of the $W$ boson is given as a…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 R. Brock , D. Casey , J. Huston , J. Kalk , J. Pumplin , D. Stump , W. K. Tung

We consider the problem of performing Bayesian inference in probabilistic models where observations are accompanied by uncertainty, referred to as "uncertain evidence." We explore how to interpret uncertain evidence, and by extension the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-01-27 Andreas Munk , Alexander Mead , Frank Wood

This paper studies the utility of techniques within uncertainty quantification, namely spectral projection and polynomial chaos expansion, in reducing sampling needs for characterizing acoustic metamaterial dispersion band responses given…

The incorporation of uncertainties to calculations of signal significance in planned experiments is an actual task. Several approaches to this problem are discussed. We present a procedure for taking into account the systematic uncertainty…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 S. I. Bityukov

In this work we: (1) review likelihood-based inference for parameter estimation and the construction of confidence regions; and, (2) explore the use of techniques from information geometry, including geodesic curves and Riemann scalar…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-01 Jesse A Sharp , Alexander P Browning , Kevin Burrage , Matthew J Simpson

This paper considers the problem of testing whether there exists a solution satisfying certain non-negativity constraints to a linear system of equations. Importantly and in contrast to some prior work, we allow all parameters in the system…

We consider the problem of goodness-of-fit testing for a model that has at least one unknown parameter that cannot be eliminated by transformation. Examples of such problems can be as simple as testing whether a sample consists of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-28 Sean van der Merwe

Information about the physical properties of astrophysical objects cannot be measured directly but is inferred by interpreting spectroscopic observations in the context of atomic physics calculations. Ratios of emission lines, for example,…

Laboratory (laser and Z-pinch) opacity measurements of well-characterized plasmas provide data to assist inertial confinement fusion, astrophysics and atomic-physics research. In order to test the atomic-physics codes devoted to the…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2020-02-19 Jean-Christophe Pain , Franck Gilleron

In this paper, we show an interesting connection between a quantum sampling technique and quantum uncertainty. Namely, we use the quantum sampling technique, introduced by Bouman and Fehr, to derive a novel entropic uncertainty relation…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-02-05 Walter O. Krawec

This paper considers identification and estimation of distributional effect parameters that depend on the joint distribution of an outcome and another variable of interest ("treatment") in a setting with "two-sided" measurement error --…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-23 Brantly Callaway , Tong Li , Irina Murtazashvili , Emmanuel Tsyawo

The estimation of uncertainties associated with predictions from quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) models can accelerate the drug discovery process by identifying promising experiments and allowing an efficient allocation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-07 Hannah Rosa Friesacher , Emma Svensson , Susanne Winiwarter , Lewis Mervin , Adam Arany , Ola Engkvist

Quantum physics constrains the accuracy of joint measurements of incompatible observables. Here we test tight measurement-uncertainty relations using single photons. We implement two independent, idealized uncertainty-estimation methods,…

Educators must make decisions about learner expectations and skills on which to focus when it comes to laboratory activities. There are various approaches but the general pattern is to encourage students to measure ordered pairs, plot a…

物理教育 · 物理学 2023-03-30 Kevin L. Haglin

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

Measurement uncertainty and experimental error are important concepts taught in undergraduate physics laboratories. Although student ideas about error and uncertainty in introductory classical mechanics lab experiments have been studied…

物理教育 · 物理学 2021-09-20 Emily M. Stump , Courtney L. White , Gina Passante , N. G. Holmes

Fr\'echet means, conceptually appealing, generalize the Euclidean expectation to general metric spaces. We explore how well Fr\'echet means can be estimated from independent and identically distributed samples and uncover a fundamental…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-20 Shayan Hundrieser , Benjamin Eltzner , Stephan F. Huckemann

A method is suggested to decompose the statistical and systematic uncertainties from the residues between the calculation of a theoretical model and the observed data. The residues and the parameters of the model can be obtained through the…

核理论 · 物理学 2016-09-13 Cenxi Yuan