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相关论文: Bayesian Inference for Jump-Diffusion Approximatio…

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We develop a new bidirectional algorithm for estimating Markov chain multi-step transition probabilities: given a Markov chain, we want to estimate the probability of hitting a given target state in $\ell$ steps after starting from a given…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2015-11-05 Siddhartha Banerjee , Peter Lofgren

In recent years dynamical modelling has been provided with a range of breakthrough methods to perform exact Bayesian inference. However it is often computationally unfeasible to apply exact statistical methodologies in the context of large…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-24 Umberto Picchini , Julie Lyng Forman

We consider the problem of inference for the states and parameters of a continuous-time multitype branching process from partially observed time series data. Exact inference for this class of models, typically using sequential Monte Carlo,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Angus Lewis , Antonio Parrella , John Maclean , Andrew J. Black

In this article we consider Bayesian estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov diffusion processes with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. This problem features several obstacles to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-04-23 Ajay Jasra , Amin Wu

We propose a new computationally efficient sampling scheme for Bayesian inference involving high dimensional probability distributions. Our method maps the original parameter space into a low-dimensional latent space, explores the latent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-10-15 Babak Shahbaba , Luis Martinez Lomeli , Tian Chen , Shiwei Lan

Bayesian inference is a widely used technique for real-time characterization of quantum systems. It excels in experimental characterization in the low data regime, and when the measurements have degrees of freedom. A decisive factor for its…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-07-10 Alexandra Ramôa , Raffaele Santagati , Nathan Wiebe

Jump Markov linear models consists of a finite number of linear state space models and a discrete variable encoding the jumps (or switches) between the different linear models. Identifying jump Markov linear models makes for a challenging…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-02-17 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön , Fredrik Lindsten

We present a highly efficient proximal Markov chain Monte Carlo methodology to perform Bayesian computation in imaging problems. Similarly to previous proximal Monte Carlo approaches, the proposed method is derived from an approximation of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-03-20 Luis Vargas , Marcelo Pereyra , Konstantinos C. Zygalakis

The widespread popularity of replica exchange and expanded ensemble algorithms for simulating complex molecular systems in chemistry and biophysics has generated much interest in enhancing phase space mixing of these protocols, thus…

统计力学 · 物理学 2011-12-06 John D. Chodera , Michael R. Shirts

This article addresses the problem of efficient Bayesian inference in dynamic systems using particle methods and makes a number of contributions. First, we develop a correlated pseudo-marginal (CPM) approach for Bayesian inference in state…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-22 P. Choppala , D. Gunawan , J. Chen , M. -N. Tran , R. Kohn

We propose a novel Markov chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) method for reverse engineering the topological structure of stochastic reaction networks, a notoriously challenging problem that is relevant in many modern areas of research, like…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-08 Daniel F. Linder , Grzegorz A. Rempala

Achieving robust uncertainty quantification for deep neural networks represents an important requirement in many real-world applications of deep learning such as medical imaging where it is necessary to assess the reliability of a neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-15 Tim Rensmeyer , Oliver Niggemann

In this paper, we present the Bayesian inference procedures for the parameters of the multivariate random effects model derived under the assumption of an elliptically contoured distribution when the Berger and Bernardo reference and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-26 Olha Bodnar , Taras Bodnar

We propose a generative model to detect globally optimal community structures in networks by utilizing random walks. Sophisticated parameter optimization algorithms are developed based on the Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to overcome…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-02 Takafumi J. Suzuki

We introduce and characterise the performance of the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) inference method Prune Sampling for discrete and deterministic Bayesian networks (BNs). We developed a procedure to obtain the performance of a MCMC…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-20 Frank Phillipson , Jurriaan Parie , Ron Weikamp

We consider a hidden Markov model, where the signal process, given by a diffusion, is only indirectly observed through some noisy measurements. The article develops a variational method for approximating the hidden states of the signal…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-10-26 Tobias Sutter , Arnab Ganguly , Heinz Koeppl

A goal of systems biology is to understand the dynamics of intracellular systems. Stochastic chemical kinetic models are often utilized to accurately capture the stochastic nature of these systems due to low numbers of molecules. Collecting…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-17 Jarad Niemi , Matthew Wheeler

Stochastic state-transition models of infectious disease transmission can be used to deduce relevant drivers of transmission when fitted to data using statistically principled methods. Fitting this individual-level data requires inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-12 James Neill , Lloyd A. C. Chapman , Chris Jewell

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have become powerful tools for Bayesian inference. However, they do not scale well to large-data problems. Divide-and-conquer strategies, which split the data into batches and, for each batch, run…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-07-18 Christopher Nemeth , Chris Sherlock

In this paper, a Bayesian fusion technique for remotely sensed multi-band images is presented. The observed images are related to the high spectral and high spatial resolution image to be recovered through physical degradations, e.g.,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2014-08-27 Qi Wei , Nicolas Dobigeon , Jean-Yves Tourneret