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Solar flares create adverse space weather impacting space and Earth-based technologies. However, the difficulty of forecasting flares, and by extension severe space weather, is accentuated by the lack of any unique flare trigger or a single…

Accurate wind speed and direction forecasting is paramount across many sectors, spanning agriculture, renewable energy generation, and bushfire management. However, conventional forecasting models encounter significant challenges in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-31 Fuling Chen , Kevin Vinsen , Arthur Filoche

Water demand is a highly important variable for operational control and decision making. Hence, the development of accurate forecasts is a valuable field of research to further improve the efficiency of water utilities. Focusing on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-12 Jens Kley-Holsteg , Florian Ziel

The interaction of the solar wind with the local interstellar medium (LISM) spans a wide range of interacting particle populations, energies, and scales. Sophisticated models are required to capture the global picture, interpret near-Earth…

空间物理 · 物理学 2025-07-21 Federico Fraternale , Nikolai V. Pogorelov , Ratan K. Bera

Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting plays a critical role in power system dispatch and market participation. Because PV generation is highly sensitive to weather conditions and cloud motion, accurate forecasting requires effective modeling…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Hang Fan , Haoran Pei , Runze Liang , Weican Liu , Long Cheng , Wei Wei

We have analyzed Zenith Wet Delay (ZWD) time series from an experiment over the Madrid (Spain) area obtained from 5 GPS receivers using two different techniques. In the first case a delay correlation analysis of the ZWD time-series has been…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Giulio Ruffini , Antonio Rius , Lidia Cucurull , Alex Flores

A massively parallel simulation code, called \textit{dHybrid}, has been developed to perform global scale studies of space plasma interactions. This code is based on an explicit hybrid model; the numerical stability and parallel scalability…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2016-08-16 L. Gargaté , R. Bingham , R. A. Fonseca , L. O. Silva

Many systems used by society are extremely vulnerable to space weather events such as solar flares and geomagnetic storms which could potentially cause catastrophic damage. In recent years, many works have emerged to provide early warning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-24 Charles Topliff , Morris Cohen , William Bristow

Weather forecast plays an essential role in multiple aspects of the daily life of human beings. Currently, physics based numerical weather prediction is used to predict the weather and requires enormous amount of computational resources. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-14 Akshay Punjabi , Pablo Izquierdo Ayala

In order to enable the transition towards renewable energy sources, probabilistic energy forecasting is of critical importance for incorporating volatile power sources such as solar energy into the electrical grid. Solar energy forecasting…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-03 Benedikt Schulz , Mehrez El Ayari , Sebastian Lerch , Sándor Baran

Satellite-based solar irradiation forecasting is useful for short-term intra-day time horizons, outperforming numerical weather predictions up to 3-4 hours ahead. The main techniques for solar satellite forecast are based on sophisticated…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-09-02 Franco Marchesoni-Acland , Rodrigo Alonso Suárez

Accurate forecasting of megaelectron-volt (MeV) electrons in the outer Earth's radiation belt, which can pose significant risks to satellites, is essential for risk mitigation and spacecraft operations. We develop a machine-learning-based…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2026-05-18 Rungployphan Kieokaew , Ryad Guezzi , François Ginisty , Hadrien Mariaccia

Current solar wind prediction is based on the Wang & Sheeley empirical relationship between the solar wind speed observed at 1 AU and the rate of magnetic flux tube expansion (FTE) between the photosphere and the inner corona, where FTE is…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-10-21 Bala Poduval , Gordon Petrie , Luca Bertello

Disc winds play a crucial role in many accreting astrophysical systems across all scales. In accreting white dwarfs (AWDs) and active galactic nuclei (AGN), radiation pressure on spectral lines is a promising wind-driving mechanism.…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2025-07-08 Amin Mosallanezhad , Christian Knigge , Nicolas Scepi , James H. Matthews , Knox S. Long , Stuart A. Sim , Austen Wallis

With the press of global climate change, extreme weather and sudden weather changes are becoming increasingly common. To maintain a comfortable indoor environment and minimize the contribution of the building to climate change as much as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Liping Sun , Yucheng Guo , Siliang Lu , Zhenzhen Li

The need of real-time of monitoring and alerting systems for Space Weather hazards has grown significantly in the last two decades. One of the most important challenge for space mission operations and planning is the prediction of solar…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-06-19 Mirko Stumpo , Monica Laurenza , Simone Benella , Maria Federica Marcucci

There is a growing appreciation that the environmental conditions that we call space weather impact the technological infrastructure that powers the coupled economies around the world. With that comes the need to better shield society…

Despite the unprecedented volume of multimodal data provided by modern Earth observation systems, our ability to model atmospheric dynamics remains constrained. Traditional modeling frameworks force heterogeneous measurements into…

Solar wind stream interaction regions (SIRs) are often characterized by energetic ion enhancements. The mechanisms accelerating these particles, as well as the locations where the acceleration occurs, remain debated. Here, we report the…

空间物理 · 物理学 2021-02-23 Nicolas Wijsen , Evangelia Samara , Àngels Aran , David Lario , Jens Pomoell , Stefaan Poedts

Neutral hydrogen has been shown to greatly impact the plasma flow in the heliopshere and the location of the heliospheric boundaries. We present the results of the Solar-wind with Hydrogen Ion Exchange and Large-scale Dynamics (SHIELD)…

空间物理 · 物理学 2020-04-03 Adam T. Michael , Merav Opher , Gabor Toth , Valeriy Tenishev , Dmitry Borovikov
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