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Middle-term horizon (months to a year) power consumption prediction is a main challenge in the energy sector, in particular when probabilistic forecasting is considered. We propose a new modelling approach that incorporates trend,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-04 Michele Azzone , Roberto Baviera

The energy output of photovoltaic (PV) power plants depends on the environment and thus fluctuates over time. As a result, PV power can cause instability in the power grid, in particular when increasingly used. Limiting the rate of change…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-15 Robin Spiess , Felix Berkenkamp , Jan Poland , Andreas Krause

In the probabilistic energy forecasting literature, emphasis is mainly placed on deriving marginal predictive densities for which each random variable is dealt with individually. Such marginals description is sufficient for power systems…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-03-23 Faranak Golestaneh , Pierre Pinson , Hoay Beng Gooi

The high variability of weather parameters is making photovoltaic energy generation intermittent and narrowly controllable. Threatened by the sudden discontinuity between the load and the grid, energy management for smart grid systems…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-10-23 Mohamed Massaoudi , Ines Chihi , Lilia Sidhom , Mohamed Trabelsi , Shady S. Refaat , Fakhreddine S. Oueslati

The increasing penetration of renewable energy sources introduces significant challenges to power grid stability, primarily due to their inherent variability. A new opportunity for grid operation is the smart integration of electricity…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-10-30 Janik Pinter , Frederik Zahn , Maximilian Beichter , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer

The rapid expansion of distributed rooftop photovoltaic (PV) systems introduces increasing uncertainty in distribution grid planning, hosting capacity assessment, and voltage regulation. Reliable estimation of rooftop PV deployment from…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-25 Muhao Guo , Lihao Mai , Erik Blasch , Jafarali Parol , Turki Rakan , Yang Weng

The increasing penetration of renewables in distribution networks calls for faster and more advanced voltage regulation strategies. A promising approach is to formulate the problem as an optimization problem, where the optimal reactive…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-02-24 Yize Chen , Yuanyuan Shi , Baosen Zhang

The paper presents a predictive control method for the water distribution networks (WDNs) powered by photovoltaics (PVs) and the electrical grid. This builds on the controller introduced in a previous study and is designed to reduce the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-04 Mirhan Ürkmez , Carsten Kallesøe , Jan Dimon Bendtsen , John Leth

Virtual power plants (VPPs) are an emerging paradigm that aggregates distributed energy resources (DERs) for coordinated participation in power systems, including bidding as a single dispatchable entity in the wholesale market. In this…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-03 Weiqi Meng , Hongyi Li , Bai Cui

In this paper we present a regression based model for day-ahead electricity spot prices. We estimate the considered linear regression model by the lasso estimation method. The lasso approach allows for many possible parameters in the model,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-10-26 Florian Ziel

We analyzed the cross-correlation of Photovoltaic (PV) output fluctuation for the actual PV output time series data in both the Tokyo area and the whole of Japan using the principal component analysis with the random matrix theory. Based on…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2013-09-02 Yuichi Ikeda , Kazuhiko Ogimoto

In this paper, the behavior of a photovoltaic (PV) system, with maximum power point tracking (MPPT) connected to three-phased grid has been investigated. A voltage source inverter (VSI) has been used to connect the photovoltaic system to…

应用物理 · 物理学 2017-06-29 Ehsan Gholami , Arzhang Eradat , Hamed Fotoohabadi

Renewable sources of energy are the future due to the environmental problems caused by non-renewable sources to produce energy. The biggest issue with renewable energy sources is that the power produced by devices such as PV solar panels…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-10-24 Rohaib Bhatti , Ali John Naqvi , Abdullah Tauqeer

Power grids play a very important role in delivering electrical energy to homes, industries and other places that require it. Because of this increased demand they are facing a great challenge of voltage variations. This happens due to…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-06-25 Sahil Vohra

Photovoltaic power forecasting (PVPF) is a critical area in time series forecasting (TSF), enabling the efficient utilization of solar energy. With advancements in machine learning and deep learning, various models have been applied to PVPF…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-16 Dayin Chen , Xiaodan Shi , Mingkun Jiang , Haoran Zhang , Dongxiao Zhang , Yuntian Chen , Jinyue Yan

In this paper, in an attempt to improve power grid resilience, a machine learning model is proposed to predictively estimate the component states in response to extreme events. The proposed model is based on a multi-dimensional Support…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-02-19 Rozhin Eskandarpour , Amin Khodaei , Ali Arab

Electricity price forecasting is a critical tool for the efficient operation of power systems and for supporting informed decision-making by market participants. This paper explores a novel methodology aimed at improving the accuracy of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-13 Bartosz Uniejewski , Florian Ziel

Distributed photovoltaic (DPV) systems are essential for advancing renewable energy applications and achieving energy independence. Accurate DPV power forecasting can optimize power system planning and scheduling while significantly…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-11 Huapeng Lin , Miao Yu

Predicting the short-term power output of a photovoltaic panel is an important task for the efficient management of smart grids. Short-term forecasting at the minute scale, also known as nowcasting, can benefit from sky images captured by…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-10-16 Jinsong Zhang , Rodrigo Verschae , Shohei Nobuhara , Jean-François Lalonde

The intermittent nature of photovoltaic (PV) solar energy, driven by variable weather, leads to power losses of 10-70% and an average energy production decrease of 25%. Accurate loss characterization and fault detection are crucial for…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-05-30 Nelson Salazar-Pena , Alejandra Tabares , Andres Gonzalez-Mancera