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Photovoltaic (PV) power is affected by weather conditions, making the power generated from the PV systems uncertain. Solving this problem would help improve the reliability and cost effectiveness of the grid, and could help reduce reliance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-07 Yahya Al Lawati , Jack Kelly , Dan Stowell

Due to the stochastic nature of photovoltaic (PV) power generation, there is high demand for forecasting PV output to better integrate PV generation into power grids. Systematic knowledge regarding the factors influencing forecast accuracy…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-11-04 Thi Ngoc Nguyen , Felix Müsgens

The rapid global expansion of solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity-reaching a record 597 GW in 2024-highlights the urgent need for robust forecasting models to mitigate the grid instability caused by the intermittent nature of solar irradiance.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Sumit Laha , Ankit Sharma , Hassan Foroosh

Accurate and reliable forecasting of photovoltaic (PV) power generation is crucial for grid operations, electricity markets, and energy planning, as solar systems now contribute a significant share of the electricity supply in many…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-08-22 Martin János Mayer , Ágnes Baran , Sebastian Lerch , Nina Horat , Dazhi Yang , Sándor Baran

Rapid increase in the number of photo voltaic systems (PVSs) across the low voltage distribution systems required real-time monitoring of those systems. However, considering the necessary investment cost, real-time monitoring infrastructure…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-01-08 Soheil Pouraltafi-kheljan , Murat Göl

Accurate photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting is critical for integrating renewable energy sources into the grid, optimizing real-time energy management, and ensuring energy reliability amidst increasing demand. However, existing models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-08 Guang Wu , Yun Wang , Qian Zhou , Ziyang Zhang

Accurate PhotoVoltaic (PV) power generation forecasting is vital for the efficient operation of Smart Grids. The automated design of such accurate forecasting models for individual PV plants includes two challenges: First, information about…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Stefan Meisenbacher , Benedikt Heidrich , Tim Martin , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer

This paper develops probabilistic PV forecasters by taking advantage of recent breakthroughs in deep learning. It tailored forecasting tool, named encoder-decoder, is implemented to compute intraday multi-output PV quantiles forecasts to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-01 Jonathan Dumas , Colin Cointe , Xavier Fettweis , Bertrand Cornélusse

The use of solar photovoltaics (PV) energy provides additional resources to the electric power grid. The downside of this integration is that the solar power supply is unreliable and highly dependent on the weather condition. The…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-10-20 S. Sarp , M. Kuzlu , U. Cali , O. Elma , O. Guler

This paper develops a power management scheme that jointly optimizes the real power consumption of programmable loads and reactive power outputs of photovoltaic (PV) inverters in distribution networks. The premise is to determine the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-10-20 Mohammadhafez Bazrafshan , Nikolaos Gatsis

With an increasing high penetration of solar photovoltaic generation in electric power grids, voltage phasors and branch power flows experience more severe fluctuations. In this context, probabilistic power flow (PPF) study aims at…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-03 Kejun Chen , Yu Zhang

We apply machine learning models to forecast intraday realized volatility (RV), by exploiting commonality in intraday volatility via pooling stock data together, and by incorporating a proxy for the market volatility. Neural networks…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-02-28 Chao Zhang , Yihuang Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Zhongmin Qian

Due to the increasing proportion of distributed photovoltaic (PV) production in the generation mix, the knowledge of the PV generation capacity has become a key factor. In this work, we propose to compute the PV plant maximum power starting…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-05-12 Enrica Scolari , Fabrizio Sossan , Mario Paolone

With the recent interest in net-zero sustainability for commercial buildings, integration of photovoltaic (PV) assets becomes even more important. This integration remains a challenge due to high solar variability and uncertainty in the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-08-28 Chaitanya Poolla , Abraham K. Ishihara

Estimation of the generated power of renewable energy resources is in general important for planning operations as well as demand balance and power quality. This paper addresses the problem of the estimation of the short-term (3-hour ahead)…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-11-20 L. A. Dao , L. Ferrarini , D. La Carrubba

Generation and load balance is required in the economic scheduling of generating units in the smart grid. Variable energy generations, particularly from wind and solar energy resources, are witnessing a rapid boost, and, it is anticipated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-04-07 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

From an operational and planning perspective, it is important to quantify the impact of increasing penetration of photovoltaics on the distribution system. Most existing impact assessment studies are scenario-based where derived results are…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-30 Sai Munikoti , Balasubramaniam Natarajan , Kumarsinh Jhala , Kexing Lai

When cloud layers cover photovoltaic (PV) panels, the amount of power the panels produce fluctuates rapidly. Therefore, to maintain enough energy on a power grid to match demand, utilities companies rely on reserve power sources that…

In this paper, a stochastic model with regime switching is developed for solar photo-voltaic (PV) power in order to provide short-term probabilistic forecasts. The proposed model for solar PV power is physics inspired and explicitly…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-09-19 Raksha Ramakrishna , Anna Scaglione , Vijay Vittal

Weather is one of the main problems in implementing forecasts for photovoltaic panel systems. Since it is the main generator of disturbances and interruptions in electrical energy. It is necessary to choose a reliable forecasting model for…