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The uncertainty associated with solar photo-voltaic (PV) power output is a big challenge to design, manage and implement effective demand response and management strategies. Therefore, an accurate PV power output forecast is an utmost…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-11-26 Muhammad Qamar Raza , N. Mithulananthan , Jiaming Li , Kwang Y. Lee , Hoay Beng Gooi

The growing proliferation in solar deployment, especially at distribution level, has made the case for power system operators to develop more accurate solar forecasting models. This paper proposes a solar photovoltaic (PV) generation…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2017-10-12 Mohana Alanazi , Mohsen Mahoor , Amin Khodaei

We propose a fully probabilistic prediction model for spatially aggregated solar photovoltaic (PV) power production at an hourly time scale with lead times up to several days using weather forecasts from numerical weather prediction systems…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-03-05 Thordis Thorarinsdottir , Anders Løland , Alex Lenkoski

Rising penetration levels of (residential) photovoltaic (PV) power as distributed energy resource pose a number of challenges to the electricity infrastructure. High quality, general tools to provide accurate forecasts of power production…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-16 Elizaveta Kharlova , Daniel May , Petr Musilek

Accurate forecasts for day-ahead photovoltaic (PV) power generation are crucial to support a high PV penetration rate in the local electricity grid and to assure stability in the grid. We use state-of-the-art tree-based machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-04 Nick Berlanger , Noah van Ophoven , Tim Verdonck , Ines Wilms

Power systems engineers are actively developing larger power plants out of photovoltaics imposing some major challenges which include its intermittent power generation and its poor dispatchability. The issue is that PV is a variable…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-17 Hugo Riggs , Shahid Tufail , Mohd Tariq , Arif Sarwat

We present a novel framework for spatiotemporal photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting and use it to evaluate the reliability, sharpness, and overall performance of seven intraday PV power nowcasting models. The model suite includes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-09 Luca Lanzilao , Angela Meyer

Reliable forecasts of the power output from variable renewable energy generators like solar photovoltaic systems are important to balancing load on real-time electricity markets and ensuring electricity supply reliability. However, solar PV…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-05-07 Andea Scott , Sindhu Sreedhara , Folasade Ayoola

Accurate intraday forecasts are essential for power system operations, complementing day-ahead forecasts that gradually lose relevance as new information becomes available. This paper introduces a Bayesian updating mechanism that converts…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Kutay Bölat , Peter Palensky , Simon Tindemans

Power prediction is crucial to the efficiency and reliability of Photovoltaic (PV) systems. For the model-chain-based (also named indirect or physical) power prediction, the conversion of ground environmental data (plane-of-array irradiance…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-02-20 Baojie Li , Xin Chen , Anubhav Jain

Accurate and reliable prediction of Photovoltaic (PV) power output is critical to electricity grid stability and power dispatching capabilities. However, Photovoltaic (PV) power generation is highly volatile and unstable due to different…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-04 Sarah Almaghrabi , Mashud Rana , Margaret Hamilton , Mohammad Saiedur Rahaman

The increasing penetration of photovoltaic (PV) generation introduces significant uncertainty into power system operation, necessitating forecasting approaches that extend beyond deterministic point predictions. This paper proposes an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Slawek Smyl , Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

With increasing concerns of climate change, renewable resources such as photovoltaic (PV) have gained popularity as a means of energy generation. The smooth integration of such resources in power system operations is enabled by accurate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-30 Fatemeh Najibi , Dimitra Apostolopoulou , Eduardo Alonso

The design process of photovoltaic (PV) modules can be greatly enhanced by using advanced and accurate models in order to predict accurately their electrical output behavior. The main aim of this paper is to investigate the application of…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2013-08-13 Francesco Bonanno , Giacomo Capizzi , Christian Napoli , Giorgio Graditi , Giuseppe Marco Tina

The rapid growth of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems necessitates advanced methods for performance monitoring and anomaly detection to ensure optimal operation. In this study, we propose a novel approach leveraging Temporal Graph Neural…

Due to the rise in the use of renewable energies as an alternative to traditional ones, and especially solar energy, there is increasing interest in studying how to address photovoltaic forecasting in the face of the challenge of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-02-18 Ines Montoya-Espinagosa , Antonio Agudo

Photovoltaic (PV) power generation has emerged as one of the lead renewable energy sources. Yet, its production is characterized by high uncertainty, being dependent on weather conditions like solar irradiance and temperature. Predicting PV…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Johan Mathe , Nina Miolane , Nicolas Sebastien , Jeremie Lequeux

Using solar power in the process industry can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and make the production process more sustainable. However, the intermittent nature of solar power renders its usage challenging. Building a model to predict…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-17 Yu Yang , Jia Mao , Richard Nguyen , Annas Tohmeh , Hen-Geul Yeh

This paper presents SolarBoost, a novel approach for forecasting power output in distributed photovoltaic (DPV) systems. While existing centralized photovoltaic (CPV) methods are able to precisely model output dependencies due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Linyuan Geng , Linxiao Yang , Xinyue Gu , Liang Sun

Solar power becomes one of the most promising renewable energy sources over the years leading up. Nevertheless, the weather is causing periodicity and volatility to photovoltaic (PV) energy production. Thus, Forecasting the PV power is…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-10-23 Mohamed Massaoudi , Ines Chihi , Lilia Sidhom , Mohamed Trabelsi , Shady S. Refaat , Fakhreddine S. Oueslati
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