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相关论文: Counterfactual Copula and Its Application to the E…

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We introduce the upward rank mobility curve as a new measure of intergenerational mobility that captures upward movements across the entire parental income distribution. Our approach extends Bhattacharya and Mazumder (2011) by conditioning…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-30 Tsung-Chih Lai , Jia-Han Shih , Yi-Hau Chen

This chapter reviews indirect estimators of intergenerational mobility, focusing on approaches that infer parent-child or other family associations when direct income data are incomplete or unavailable. We synthesize methods based on…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-20 Andrea Del Pizzo , Martin Nybom , Jan Stuhler

This paper proposes a new measure of relative intergenerational mobility along the educational trait as a proxy of inequality of opportunity. The new measure is more suitable for controlling for the variations in the trait distributions of…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-17 Anna Naszodi , Liliana Cuccu

We propose nonparametric identification and semiparametric estimation of joint potential outcome distributions in the presence of confounding. First, in settings with observed confounding, we derive tighter, covariate-informed bounds on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-19 Jianle Sun , Kun Zhang

Lacking lifetime income data, most intergenerational mobility estimates are subject to lifecycle bias. Using long income series from Sweden and the US, we illustrate that standard correction methods struggle to account for one important…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-18 Ursula Mello , Martin Nybom , Jan Stuhler

When the copula of the conditional distribution of two random variables given a covariate does not depend on the value of the covariate, two conflicting intuitions arise about the best possible rate of convergence attainable by…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-05-17 François Portier , Johan Segers

Several studies on heritability in twins aim at understanding the different contribution of environmental and genetic factors to specific traits. Considering the National Merit Twin Study, our purpose is to correctly analyse the influence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-04 Luciana Dalla Valle , Fabrizio Leisen , Luca Rossini

Counterfactual distributions are important ingredients for policy analysis and decomposition analysis in empirical economics. In this article we develop modeling and inference tools for counterfactual distributions based on regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-23 Victor Chernozhukov , Ivan Fernandez-Val , Blaise Melly

We propose a counterfactual Kaplan-Meier estimator that incorporates exogenous covariates and unobserved heterogeneity of unrestricted dimensionality in duration models with random censoring. Under some regularity conditions, we establish…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-02-25 Jiun-Hua Su

Comparing counterfactual distributions can provide more nuanced and valuable measures for causal effects, going beyond typical summary statistics such as averages. In this work, we consider characterizing causal effects via distributional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-05 Kwangho Kim , Jisu Kim , Edward H. Kennedy

This paper introduces a simple framework of counterfactual estimation for causal inference with time-series cross-sectional data, in which we estimate the average treatment effect on the treated by directly imputing counterfactual outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-16 Licheng Liu , Ye Wang , Yiqing Xu

We study counterfactual classification as a new tool for decision-making under hypothetical (contrary to fact) scenarios. We propose a doubly-robust nonparametric estimator for a general counterfactual classifier, where we can incorporate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 Kwangho Kim , Edward H. Kennedy , José R. Zubizarreta

Quantifying the impact of regulatory policies on social welfare generally requires the identification of counterfactual distributions. Many of these policies (e.g. minimum wages or minimum working time) generate mass points and/or…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-25 Dalia Ghanem , Désiré Kédagni , Ismael Mourifié

This paper considers estimation and inference for heterogeneous counterfactual effects with high-dimensional data. We propose a novel robust score for debiased estimation of the unconditional quantile regression (Firpo, Fortin, and Lemieux,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-25 Yuya Sasaki , Takuya Ura , Yichong Zhang

This paper is concerned with modeling the dependence structure of two (or more) time-series in the presence of a (possible multivariate) covariate which may include past values of the time series. We assume that the covariate influences…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-11 Natalie Neumeyer , Marek Omelka , Sarka Hudecova

Copulas are mathematical objects that fully capture the dependence structure among random variables and hence, offer a great flexibility in building multivariate stochastic models. In statistics, a copula is used as a general way of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-01 Abhik Ghosh , Aritra Chakravorty

Copula is a powerful tool to model multivariate data. We propose the modelling of intraday financial returns of multiple assets through copula. The problem originates due to the asynchronous nature of intraday financial data. We propose a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-29 Arnab Chakrabarti , Rituparna Sen

A key tool to carry out inference on the unknown copula when modeling a continuous multivariate distribution is a nonparametric estimator known as the empirical copula. One popular way of approximating its sampling distribution consists of…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-01 Ivan Kojadinovic , Kristina Stemikovskaya

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke

Counterfactual explanations are attracting significant attention due to the flourishing applications of machine learning models in consequential domains. A counterfactual plan consists of multiple possibilities to modify a given instance so…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-12 Ngoc Bui , Duy Nguyen , Viet Anh Nguyen
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