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Compared to nonparametric estimators in the multivariate setting, kernel estimators for functional data models have a larger order of bias. This is problematic for constructing confidence regions or statistical tests since the bias might…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-21 Melanie Birke , Tim Greger

In this paper, we investigate the impact of high-dimensional Principal Component (PC) adjustments on inferring the effects of variables on outcomes, with a focus on applications in genetic association studies where PC adjustment is commonly…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-30 Sohom Bhattacharya , Rounak Dey , Rajarshi Mukherjee

Understanding the dose-response relation between a continuous treatment and the outcome for an individual can greatly drive decision-making, particularly in areas like personalized drug dosing and personalized healthcare interventions.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-07 Jarne Verhaeghe , Jef Jonkers , Sofie Van Hoecke

Micro-randomized trials are commonly conducted for optimizing mobile health interventions such as push notifications for behavior change. In analyzing such trials, causal excursion effects are often of primary interest, and their estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-19 Yihan Bao , Lauren Bell , Elizabeth Williamson , Claire Garnett , Tianchen Qian

To estimate the causal effect of treatments that vary over time from observational data, one must adjust for time-varying confounding. A common procedure to address confounding is the use of inverse probability of treatment weighting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-22 Wouter M. R. Kant , Jesse H. Krijthe

Wrong-Way Risk (WWR) is an important component in Funding Valuation Adjustment (FVA) modelling. Yet, the standard assumption is independence between market risks and the counterparty defaults and funding costs. This typical industrial…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-06-07 T. van der Zwaard , L. A. Grzelak , C. W. Oosterlee

We consider learning to optimize a classification metric defined by a black-box function of the confusion matrix. Such black-box learning settings are ubiquitous, for example, when the learner only has query access to the metric of…

Matching is a widely used causal inference design that aims to approximate a randomized experiment using observational data by forming matched sets of treated and control units based on similarities in their covariates. Ideally, treated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-06 Jianan Zhu , Jeffrey Zhang , Zijian Guo , Siyu Heng

Covariate adjustment is an important tool in the analysis of randomized clinical trials and observational studies. It can be used to increase efficiency and thus power, and to reduce possible bias. While most statistical tests in randomized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-08-03 Xiaoru Wu , Zhiliang Ying

Conformal prediction (CP) is a method for constructing a prediction interval around the output of a fitted model, whose validity does not rely on the model being correct--the CP interval offers a coverage guarantee that is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-17 Aabesh Bhattacharyya , Rina Foygel Barber

We apply covariate adjustment to the Wincoxon two sample statistic and Wincoxon-Mann-Whitney test in comparing two treatments. The covariate adjustment through calibration not only improves efficiency in estimation/inference but also widens…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-19 Zhilan Lou , Jun Shao , Ting Ye , Tuo Wang , Yanyao Yi , Yu Du

Imbalances in covariates between treatment groups are frequent in observational studies and can lead to biased comparisons. Various adjustment methods can be employed to correct these biases in the context of multi-level treatments ($>$ 2).…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-04 Diop S. Arona , Duchesne Thierry , Cumming Steven , Diop Awa , Talbot Denis

Complex problems may require sophisticated, non-linear learning methods such as kernel machines or deep neural networks to achieve state of the art prediction accuracies. However, high prediction accuracies are not the only objective to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-11-24 Marina M. -C. Vidovic , Nico Görnitz , Klaus-Robert Müller , Marius Kloft

Subpopulation shift exists widely in many real-world applications, which refers to the training and test distributions that contain the same subpopulation groups but with different subpopulation proportions. Ignoring subpopulation shifts…

Inverse probability weighting (IPW) is a general tool in survey sampling and causal inference, used both in Horvitz-Thompson estimators, which normalize by the sample size, and H\'ajek/self-normalized estimators, which normalize by the sum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-13 Samir Khan , Johan Ugander

Cross-correlation techniques provide a promising avenue for calibrating photometric redshifts and determining redshift distributions using spectroscopy which is systematically incomplete (e.g., current deep spectroscopic surveys fail to…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2012-01-20 Daniel J. Matthews , Jeffrey A. Newman

We study linear regression under covariate shift, where the marginal distribution over the input covariates differs in the source and the target domains, while the conditional distribution of the output given the input covariates is similar…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-04 Jingfeng Wu , Difan Zou , Vladimir Braverman , Quanquan Gu , Sham M. Kakade

Conformal prediction has received tremendous attention in recent years and has offered new solutions to problems in missing data and causal inference; yet these advances have not leveraged modern semiparametric efficiency theory for more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-14 Yachong Yang , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

A key condition for obtaining reliable estimates of the causal effect of a treatment is overlap (a.k.a. positivity): the distributions of the features used to perform causal adjustment cannot be too different in the treated and control…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-14 Alexander D'Amour , Alexander Franks

The growing availability of large health databases has expanded the use of observational studies for comparative effectiveness research. Unlike randomized trials, observational studies must adjust for systematic differences in patient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Haidong Lu , Fan Li , Laine E. Thomas , Fan Li