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Efforts to ensure reliable operation of existing low-voltage distribution systems with high photovoltaic (PV) generation have focused on the possibility of inverters providing ancillary services such as active power curtailment and reactive…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-11-17 Emiliano Dall'Anese , Sairaj V. Dhople , Brian B. Johnson , Georgios B. Giannakis

A systematic Bayesian framework is developed for physics constrained parameter inference ofstochastic differential equations (SDE) from partial observations. The physical constraints arederived for stochastic climate models but are…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-11-25 Daniel Peavoy , Christian L. E. Franzke , Gareth O. Roberts

PV power forecasting models are predominantly based on machine learning algorithms which do not provide any insight into or explanation about their predictions (black boxes). Therefore, their direct implementation in environments where…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-08 Georgios Mitrentsis , Hendrik Lens

In this paper, we design a controller for an interconnected system composed of a linear Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) controlled through a linear hetero-directional hyperbolic Partial Differential Equation (PDE). Our objective is…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-02-19 Gabriel Velho , Jean Auriol , Islam Boussaada , Riccardo Bonalli

Distributed photovoltaic (DPV) systems are essential for advancing renewable energy applications and achieving energy independence. Accurate DPV power forecasting can optimize power system planning and scheduling while significantly…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-11 Huapeng Lin , Miao Yu

In this paper, we propose a method for bounding the probability that a stochastic differential equation (SDE) system violates a safety specification over the infinite time horizon. SDEs are mathematical models of stochastic processes that…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-06-04 Shenghua Feng , Mingshuai Chen , Bai Xue , Sriram Sankaranarayanan , Naijun Zhan

We consider a unifying framework for stochastic control problem including the following features: partial observation, path-dependence (both with respect to the state and the control), and without any non-degeneracy condition on the…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-14 Elena Bandini , Andrea Cosso , Marco Fuhrman , Huyên Pham

A computational PDE-constrained optimization approach is proposed for optimal trajectory planning under uncertainty by means of an associated Schroedinger Bridge Problem (SBP). The proposed SBP formulation is interpreted as the mean-field…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-05-20 Dante Kalise , Wenxin Liu

The increasing complexity of distribution network calls for advancement in distribution system state estimation (DSSE) to monitor the operating conditions more accurately. Sufficient number of measurements is imperative for a reliable and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-11-09 Mehdi Shafiei , Ghavameddin Nourbakhsh , Ali Arefi , Gerard Ledwich , Houman Pezeshki

This paper presents a convex, multi-period, AC-feasible Optimal Power Flow (OPF) framework that robustly dispatches flexible demand-side resources in unbalanced distribution feeders against uncertainty in very-short timescale solar…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-05-20 Nawaf Nazir , Mads Almassalkhi

We introduce and analyze a novel class of inverse problems for stochastic dynamics: Given the ergodic invariant measure of a stochastic process governed by a nonlinear stochastic ordinary or partial differential equation (SODE or SPDE), we…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-03 Hongyu Liu , Zhihui Liu

Generation and load balance is required in the economic scheduling of generating units in the smart grid. Variable energy generations, particularly from wind and solar energy resources, are witnessing a rapid boost, and, it is anticipated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-04-07 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

Several energy management applications rely on accurate photovoltaic generation forecasts. Common metrics like mean absolute error or root-mean-square error, omit error-distribution details needed for stochastic optimization. In addition,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Philipp Danner , Hermann de Meer

Advancing probabilistic solar forecasting methods is essential to supporting the integration of solar energy into the electricity grid. In this work, we develop a variety of state-of-the-art probabilistic models for forecasting solar…

We study the problem of finite-time constrained optimal control of unknown stochastic linear time-invariant systems, which is the key ingredient of a predictive control algorithm -- albeit typically having access to a model. We propose a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-07-22 Jeremy Coulson , John Lygeros , Florian Dörfler

Renewable energy is essential for energy security and global warming mitigation. However, power generation from renewable energy sources is uncertain due to volatile weather conditions and complex equipment operations. To improve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-09 Yuchen Shi , Nan Chen

Dynamic state estimation (DSE) is vital in modern power systems with numerous inverter-based distributed energy resources including solar and wind, ensuring real-time accuracy for tracking system variables and optimizing grid stability.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-06-17 Elham Jamalinia , Zhongtian Zhang , Javad Khazaei , Rick S. Blum

Stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) has been a promising solution to complex control problems under uncertain disturbances. However, traditional SMPC approaches either require exact knowledge of probabilistic distributions, or rely…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-01-03 Chao Shang , Fengqi You

Drift-diffusion models that account for the motion of both electronic and ionic charges are important tools for explaining the hysteretic behaviour and guiding the development of metal halide perovskite solar cells. Furnishing numerical…

应用物理 · 物理学 2018-07-04 N. E. Courtier , G. Richardson , J. M. Foster

This paper introduces a new modeling framework for optimization under uncertainty, called Probable Event Constrained Optimization (PECO). Unlike conventional chance-constrained formulations, which only limit the probability of constraint…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-22 Qifeng Li