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Estimating individualized treatment effects from observational data presents a persistent challenge due to unmeasured confounding and structural bias. Causal Machine Learning (causal ML) methods, such as causal trees and doubly robust…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-12 Po-Han Lee , Yu-Cheng Lin , Chan-Tung Ku , Chan Hsu , Pei-Cing Huang , Ping-Hsun Wu , Yihuang Kang

Symbolic indefinite integration in Computer Algebra Systems such as Maple involves selecting the most effective algorithm from multiple available methods. Not all methods will succeed for a given problem, and when several do, the results,…

符号计算 · 计算机科学 2025-08-11 Rashid Barket , Matthew England , Jürgen Gerhard

Modeling insurance claim amounts and classifying claims into different risk levels are critical yet challenging tasks. Traditional predictive models for insurance claims often overlook the valuable information embedded in claim…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-10-08 Yanxi Hou , Xiaolan Xia , Guangyuan Gao

The use of cumulative incidence functions for characterizing the risk of one type of event in the presence of others has become increasingly popular over the past decade. The problems of modeling, estimation and inference have been treated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-25 Youngjoo Cho , Annette M. Molinaro , Chen Hu , Robert L. Strawderman

This study examines the feasibility of applying large language models (LLMs) for forecasting the impact of traffic incidents on the traffic flow. The use of LLMs for this task has several advantages over existing machine learning-based…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 George Jagadeesh , Srikrishna Iyer , Michal Polanowski , Kai Xin Thia

This paper aims to better predict highly skewed auto insurance claims by combining candidate predictions. We analyze a version of the Kangaroo Auto Insurance company data and study the effects of combining different methods using five…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-11 Chenglong Ye , Lin Zhang , Mingxuan Han , Yanjia Yu , Bingxin Zhao , Yuhong Yang

This paper examines two different yet related questions related to explainable AI (XAI) practices. Machine learning (ML) is increasingly important in financial services, such as pre-approval, credit underwriting, investments, and various…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-21 Swati Tyagi

Large language models (LLMs) provide powerful means to leverage prior knowledge for predictive modeling when data is limited. In this work, we demonstrate how LLMs can use their compressed world knowledge to generate intrinsically…

Decision trees have been a very popular class of predictive models for decades due to their interpretability and good performance on categorical features. However, they are not always robust and tend to overfit the data. Additionally, if…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-14 Oktay Gunluk , Jayant Kalagnanam , Minhan Li , Matt Menickelly , Katya Scheinberg

Random forests and, more generally, (decision\nobreakdash-)tree ensembles are widely used methods for classification and regression. Recent algorithmic advances allow to compute decision trees that are optimal for various measures such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-25 Christian Komusiewicz , Pascal Kunz , Frank Sommer , Manuel Sorge

Explainable machine learning (XML) has emerged as a major challenge in artificial intelligence (AI). Although black-box models such as Deep Neural Networks and Gradient Boosting often exhibit exceptional predictive accuracy, their lack of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-18 Evgenii Kuriabov , Jia Li

Ecologists have long suspected that species are more likely to interact if their traits match in a particular way. For example, a pollination interaction may be more likely if the proportions of a bee's tongue fit a plant's flower shape.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-11-05 Maximilian Pichler , Virginie Boreux , Alexandra-Maria Klein , Matthias Schleuning , Florian Hartig

Tree ensembles are very popular machine learning models, known for their effectiveness in supervised classification and regression tasks. Their performance derives from aggregating predictions of multiple decision trees, which are renowned…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-01-14 Lorenzo Bonasera , Emilio Carrizosa

Machine learning algorithms are fundamental components of novel data-informed Artificial Intelligence architecture. In this domain, the imperative role of representative datasets is a cornerstone in shaping the trajectory of artificial…

Tree search algorithms, such as branch-and-bound, are the most widely used tools for solving combinatorial and nonconvex problems. For example, they are the foremost method for solving (mixed) integer programs and constraint satisfaction…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-05-18 Maria-Florina Balcan , Travis Dick , Tuomas Sandholm , Ellen Vitercik

Insurance industry is one of the most vulnerable sectors to climate change. Assessment of future number of claims and incurred losses is critical for disaster preparedness and risk management. In this project, we study the effect of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-17 Asim K. Dey , Vyacheslav Lyubchich , Yulia R. Gel

Random Forests (RF) is a popular machine learning method for classification and regression problems. It involves a bagging application to decision tree models. One of the primary advantages of the Random Forests model is the reduction in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-06 Sai K Popuri

We ascertain and compare the performances of AutoML tools on large, highly imbalanced healthcare datasets. We generated a large dataset using historical administrative claims including demographic information and flags for disease codes in…

The weighted multiplier method (WMM) is an extension of the traditional method of back-calculation method to estimate the size of a target population, which synthesizes available evidence from multiple subgroups of the target population…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-06-27 Mallory J Flynn , Paul Gustafson

The use of machine learning algorithms in finance, medicine, and criminal justice can deeply impact human lives. As a consequence, research into interpretable machine learning has rapidly grown in an attempt to better control and fix…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-02 Thibaut Vidal , Toni Pacheco , Maximilian Schiffer