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We consider the common setting where one observes probability estimates for a large number of events, such as default risks for numerous bonds. Unfortunately, even with unbiased estimates, selecting events corresponding to the most extreme…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-14 Gareth M. James , Peter Radchenko , Bradley Rava

For randomized controlled trials to be conclusive, it is important to set the target sample size accurately at the design stage. Comparing two normal populations, the sample size calculation requires specification of the variance other than…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-04 Hirotada Maeda , Satoshi Hattori , Tim Friede

Researchers often turn to block randomization to increase the precision of their inference or due to practical considerations, such as in multisite trials. However, if the number of treatments under consideration is large it might not be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Taehyeon Koo , Nicole E. Pashley

For estimating area-specific parameters (quantities) in a finite population, a mixed model prediction approach is attractive. However, this approach strongly depends on the normality assumption of the response values although we often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-12 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Matching a nonprobability sample to a probability sample is one strategy both for selecting the nonprobability units and for weighting them. This approach has been employed in the past to select subsamples of persons from a large panel of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-03 Zhan Liu , Richard Valliant

Econometricians have usefully separated study of estimation into identification and statistical components. Identification analysis, which assumes knowledge of the probability distribution generating observable data, places an upper bound…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-03 Charles F. Manski

Accurate force fields are essential for reliable molecular simulations. These models are refined against quantum mechanical calculations and experimental measurements, which are subject to random and systematic errors. Bayesian Inference of…

化学物理 · 物理学 2025-11-04 Robert M. Raddi , Vincent A. Voelz

Bootstrap methods are increasingly accepted as one of the common approaches in constructing confidence intervals in bibliometric studies. Typical bootstrap methods assume that the statistical population is infinite. When the statistical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-04-17 Tina Nane , Kasper Kooijman

An accurate multiclass classification strategy is crucial to interpreting antibody tests. However, traditional methods based on confidence intervals or receiver operating characteristics lack clear extensions to settings with more than two…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2024-05-07 Rayanne A. Luke , Anthony J. Kearsley , Paul N. Patrone

Accurate estimates of microbial species abundances are needed to advance our understanding of the role that microbiomes play in human and environmental health. However, artificially constructed microbiomes demonstrate that intuitive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-17 David S Clausen , Amy D Willis

Big data presents potential but unresolved value as a source for analysis and inference. However,selection bias, present in many of these datasets, needs to be accounted for so that appropriate inferences can be made on the target…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-09 Lyndon Ang , Robert Clark , Bronwyn Loong , Anders Holmberg

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a powerful method for carrying out Bayesian inference when the likelihood is computationally intractable. However, a drawback of ABC is that it is an approximate method that induces a systematic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-09-29 Minh Ngoc Tran , Robert Kohn

Mitigating the disparate impact of statistical machine learning methods is crucial for ensuring fairness. While extensive research aims to reduce disparity, the effect of using a \emph{finite dataset} -- as opposed to the entire population…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-28 Xianli Zeng , Guang Cheng , Edgar Dobriban

The statistical challenges in using big data for making valid statistical inference in the finite population have been well documented in literature. These challenges are due primarily to statistical bias arising from under-coverage in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-19 Jae-kwang Kim , Siu-Ming Tam

Datasets are rarely a realistic approximation of the target population. Say, prevalence is misrepresented, image quality is above clinical standards, etc. This mismatch is known as sampling bias. Sampling biases are a major hindrance for…

We develop a new approach for quantifying uncertainty in finite populations, by using design distributions to calibrate sensitivity parameters in finite population identified sets. This yields uncertainty intervals that can be interpreted…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-12 Brendan Kline , Matthew A. Masten

In multivariate pattern analysis of neuroimaging data, 'second-level' inference is often performed by entering classification accuracies into a $t$-test vs chance level across subjects. We argue that while the random-effects analysis…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2016-08-11 Carsten Allefeld , Kai Görgen , John-Dylan Haynes

The increasing interest in subpopulation analysis has led to the development of various new trial designs and analysis methods in the fields of personalized medicine and targeted therapies. In this paper, subpopulations are defined in terms…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-01 Roland Gerard Gera , Tim Friede

We introduce a new multiple type I error criterion for clinical trials with multiple populations. Such trials are of interest in precision medicine where the goal is to develop treatments that are targeted to specific sub-populations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-05 Werner Brannath , Charlie Hillner , Kornelius Rohmeyer

Clinical study populations often differ meaningfully from the broader populations to which results are intended to generalize. Weighting methods such as inverse probability of sampling weights (IPSW) reweight study participants to resemble…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-02 William Stewart , Carly L. Brantner , Elizabeth A. Stuart , Laine Thomas