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With rising global temperatures Earth's tipping elements are becoming increasingly more vulnerable to crossing their critical thresholds. The reaching of such tipping points does not only impact other tipping elements through their…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2025-05-08 Tom Bdolach , Jürgen Kurths , Serhiy Yanchuk

We have recently developed a breakthrough methodology for rapidly computing entropy in both solids and liquids by integrating a multiscale entropy approach (known as zentropy theory) with molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. This approach…

Sea ice cover in the Arctic and Antarctic is an important indicator of changes in the climate, with important environmental, economic and security consequences. The complexity of the spatio-temporal dynamics of sea ice makes it difficult to…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-11-06 James Hogg , Maria Fonoberova , Igor Mezic

We propose a "feature-scattering" mechanism to explain the cosmic microwave background cold spot seen from WMAP and Planck maps. If there are hidden features in the potential of multi-field inflation, the inflationary trajectory can be…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2016-06-02 Yi Wang , Yin-Zhe Ma

Some inflationary models predict the existence of isocurvature primordial fluctuations, in addition to the well known adiabatic perturbation. Such mixed models are not yet ruled out by available data sets. In this paper we explore the…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-05 Larissa Santos , Paolo Cabella , Amedeo Balbi , Nicola Vittorio

The addition of metals to any gas can significantly alter its evolution by increasing the rate of radiative cooling. In star-forming environments, enhanced cooling can potentially lead to fragmentation and the formation of low-mass stars,…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Britton D. Smith , Steinn Sigurdsson , Tom Abel

Marine heatwaves (MHWs), an extreme climate phenomenon, pose significant challenges to marine ecosystems and industries, with their frequency and intensity increasing due to climate change. This study introduces an integrated deep learning…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-12-09 Ding Ning , Varvara Vetrova , Yun Sing Koh , Karin R. Bryan

The growing adoption of machine learning (ML) in modelling atmospheric and oceanic processes offers a promising alternative to traditional numerical methods. It is essential to benchmark the performance of both ML and physics-informed ML…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-12-02 Akshay Sunil , B Deepthi , Gaurav Ganjir , Muhammed Rashid , Rahul Sreedhar , Adarsh S

Tipping points (TP) in climate sub-systems are usually thought to occur at a well-defined, critical forcing parameter threshold, via destabilization of the system state by a single, dominant positive feedback. However, coupling to other…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-12-24 Johannes Lohmann , Henk A. Dijkstra , Markus Jochum , Valerio Lucarini , Peter D. Ditlevsen

Reduced precision floating point arithmetic is now routinely deployed in numerical weather forecasting over short timescales. However the applicability of these reduced precision techniques to longer timescale climate simulations -…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-05-17 Tom Kimpson , E. Adam Paxton , Matthew Chantry , Tim Palmer

Despite major advances in climate science over the last 30 years, persistent uncertainties in projections of future climate change remain. Climate projections are produced with increasingly complex models which attempt to represent key…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-05-26 Mark S. Williamson , Chad W. Thackeray , Peter M. Cox , Alex Hall , Chris Huntingford , Femke J. M. M. Nijsse

Modern climate projections often suffer from inadequate spatial and temporal resolution due to computational limitations, resulting in inaccurate representations of sub-grid processes. A promising technique to address this is the Multiscale…

In this Letter, we present a new experimental approach to investigate the effective temperature concept as a generalization of the fluctuation-dissipation theorem (FDT) for nonequilibrium systems. Simultaneous measurements of diffusion…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2017-12-06 Jean Colombani , Laure Petit , Christophe Ybert , Catherine Barentin

Climate change affects ocean temperature, salinity and sea level, impacting monsoons and ocean productivity. Future projections by Global Climate Models based on shared socioeconomic pathways from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-01-09 Abhishek Pasula , Deepak N. Subramani

We give a brief review of violations of the fluctuation-dissipation theorem (FDT) in out-of-equilibrium systems; in mean field scenarios the corresponding fluctuation-dissipation (FD) plots can, in the limit of long times, be used to define…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 P Sollich , S Fielding , P Mayer

Data-driven machine learning models for weather forecasting have made transformational progress in the last 1-2 years, with state-of-the-art ones now outperforming the best physics-based models for a wide range of skill scores. Given the…

The Modified Fluctuation Dissipation Theorem (MFDT) proposed by G. Verley et al. {\it (EPL 93, 10002, (2011))} for non equilibrium transient states is experimentally studied. We apply MFDT to the transient relaxation dynamics of the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-09-30 Isaac Theurkauff , Aude Caussarieu , Artyom Petrosyan , Sergio Ciliberto

Solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) directed at the Earth often drive large geomagnetic storms. Here we use velocity, magnetic field and proton density data from 152 CMEs that were sampled in-situ at 1 AU by the WIND spacecraft. We Fourier…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-03-20 Deep Ghuge , Debesh Bhattacharjee , Prasad Subramanian

Radiative forcing drives warming in the Earth system, leading to changes in sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and associated radiative feedbacks. The link between changes in the top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) net radiative flux and SST patterns,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-06-03 Fabrizio Falasca , Aurora Basinski-Ferris , Laure Zanna , Ming Zhao

Global Climate Models are key tools for predicting the future response of the climate system to a variety of natural and anthropogenic forcings. Here we show how to use statistical mechanics to construct operators able to flexibly predict…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-11-16 Valerio Lembo , Valerio Lucarini , Francesco Ragone