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We consider the problem of analyzing the probabilistic performance of first-order methods when solving convex optimization problems drawn from an unknown distribution only accessible through samples. By combining performance estimation…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-12-11 Jisun Park , Vinit Ranjan , Bartolomeo Stellato

State-space models (SSMs) provide a flexible framework for modelling time series data, but their reliance on Gaussian error assumptions makes them highly sensitive to outliers. We propose a robust estimation method, ROAMS, that mitigates…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-20 Rajan Shankar , Ines Wilms , Jakob Raymaekers , Garth Tarr

Data-driven techniques are used in cyber-physical systems (CPS) for controlling autonomous vehicles, handling demand responses for energy management, and modeling human physiology for medical devices. These data-driven techniques extract…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-16 Sangdon Park , James Weimer , Insup Lee

This paper studies a data-driven predictive control for a class of control-affine systems which is subject to uncertainty. With the accessibility to finite sample measurements of the uncertain variables, we aim to find controls which are…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-05-03 Dan Li , Dariush Fooladivanda , Sonia Martinez

Probabilistic wind power forecasting approaches have significantly advanced in recent decades. However, forecasters often assume data completeness and overlook the challenge of missing values resulting from sensor failures, network…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-04-25 Honglin Wen

This paper addresses a central challenge of jointly considering shorter-term (e.g. hourly) and longer-term (e.g. yearly) uncertainties in power system planning with increasing penetration of renewable and storage resources. In conventional…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-13 Chao Yan , Xinbo Geng , Zhaohong Bie , Le Xie

We propose a general solution to the problem of robust Bayesian inference in complex settings where outliers may be present. In practice, the automation of robust Bayesian analyses is important in the many applications involving large and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-15 Jeremie Houssineau , David J. Nott

The association between a continuous and an ordinal variable is commonly modeled through the polyserial correlation model. However, this model, which is based on a partially-latent normality assumption, may be misspecified in practice, due…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-11 Max Welz

Pushing the frontiers of time-series information processing in the ever-growing domain of edge devices with stringent resources has been impeded by the systems' ability to process information and learn locally on the device. Local…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-17 Abdullah M. Zyarah , Dhireesha Kudithipudi

Three major challenges in reinforcement learning are the complex dynamical systems with large state spaces, the costly data acquisition processes, and the deviation of real-world dynamics from the training environment deployment. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Shyam Sundhar Ramesh , Pier Giuseppe Sessa , Yifan Hu , Andreas Krause , Ilija Bogunovic

Estimating state of health is a critical function of a battery management system but remains challenging due to the variability of operating conditions and usage requirements of real applications. As a result, techniques based on fitting…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-02-17 Antti Aitio , Dominik Jöst , Dirk Uwe Sauer , David A. Howey

Modeling stochastic dynamics from discrete observations is a key interdisciplinary challenge. Existing methods often fail to estimate the continuous evolution of probability densities from trajectories or face the curse of dimensionality.…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Ruikun Li , Jiazhen Liu , Huandong Wang , Qingmin Liao , Yong Li

Gaussian stochastic process emulation is a powerful tool for approximating computationally intensive computer models. However, estimation of parameters in the GaSP emulator is a challenging task. No closed-form estimator is available, and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-06 Mengyang Gu , Jesús Palomo , James O. Berger

In power networks based on Inverter-Based Resources (IBRs), fast controllers cause frequency and voltage dynamics to overlap. Thus, it becomes critical to assess the overall dynamic performance of such networks through a combined…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-11 Rodrigo Bernal , Taulant Kerci , Federico Milano

It is of growing concern to ensure the resilience in electricity infrastructure systems to extreme weather events with the help of appropriate hardening measures and new operational procedures. An effective mitigation strategy requires a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-19 Shiva Poudel , Anamika Dubey , Anjan Bose

We consider the problem of reconstructing the dynamic state matrix of transmission power grids from time-stamped PMU measurements in the regime of ambient fluctuations. Using a maximum likelihood based approach, we construct a family of…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-10-31 Andrey Y. Lokhov , Marc Vuffray , Dmitry Shemetov , Deepjyoti Deka , Michael Chertkov

The paper presents a data-driven predictive control framework based on an implicit input-output mapping derived directly from the signal matrix of collected data. This signal matrix model is derived by maximum likelihood estimation with…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-11-10 Mingzhou Yin , Andrea Iannelli , Roy S. Smith

We consider the problem of impulse response estimation of stable linear single-input single-output systems. It is a well-studied problem where flexible non-parametric models recently offered a leap in performance compared to the classical…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-10-12 Carl Andersson , Niklas Wahlström , Thomas B. Schön

The paper proposes a new adaptive approach to power system model reduction for fast and accurate time-domain simulation. This new approach is a compromise between linear model reduction for faster simulation and nonlinear model reduction…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-11-13 Denis Osipov , Kai Sun

We demonstrate the modelling of opportunistic networks using the process algebra stochastic HYPE. Network traffic is modelled as continuous flows, contact between nodes in the network is modelled stochastically, and instantaneous decisions…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2012-07-05 Luca Bortolussi , Vashti Galpin , Jane Hillston