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Precise day-ahead forecasts for electricity prices are crucial to ensure efficient portfolio management, support strategic decision-making for power plant operations, enable efficient battery storage optimization, and facilitate demand…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Btissame El Mahtout , Florian Ziel

Electricity load forecasting is a necessary capability for power system operators and electricity market participants. The proliferation of local generation, demand response, and electrification of heat and transport are changing the…

We propose a new forecasting method for predicting load demand and generation scheduling. Accurate week-long forecasting of load demand and optimal power generation is critical for efficient operation of power grid systems. In this work, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-10 Tong Ma , Renke Huang , David Barajas-Solano , Ramakrishna Tipireddy , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky

One of the primal challenges faced by utility companies is ensuring efficient supply with minimal greenhouse gas emissions. The advent of smart meters and smart grids provide an unprecedented advantage in realizing an optimised supply of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-19 Adithya Ramachandran , Satyaki Chatterjee , Siming Bayer , Andreas Maier , Thorkil Flensmark

Accurate load forecasting is essential to the operation of modern electric power systems. Given the sensitivity of electricity demand to weather variability and temporal dynamics, capturing non-linear patterns is essential for long-term…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-31 Abhiram Bhupatiraju , Sung Bum Ahn

Accurate electricity load forecasting is essential for grid stability, resource optimization, and renewable energy integration. While transformer-based deep learning models like TimeGPT have gained traction in time-series forecasting, their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-19 Millend Roy , Vladimir Pyltsov , Yinbo Hu

Time series forecasting remains a central challenge problem in almost all scientific disciplines. We introduce a novel load forecasting method in which observed dynamics are modeled as a forced linear system using Dynamic Mode Decomposition…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-07-13 Daniel Dylewsky , David Barajas-Solano , Tong Ma , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky , J. Nathan Kutz

The recent abundance of data on electricity consumption at different scales opens new challenges and highlights the need for new techniques to leverage information present at finer scales in order to improve forecasts at wider scales. In…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-23 Anestis Antoniadis , Solenne Gaucher , Yannig Goude

Accurate load forecasting is critical for reliable and efficient planning and operation of electric power grids. In this paper, we propose a unifying deep learning framework for load forecasting, which includes time-varying feature…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-10 Jing Xiong , Yu Zhang

In the context of smart grids and load balancing, daily peak load forecasting has become a critical activity for stakeholders of the energy industry. An understanding of peak magnitude and timing is paramount for the implementation of smart…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-10 Yvenn Amara-Ouali , Matteo Fasiolo , Yannig Goude , Hui Yan

We propose a hybrid approach for the modelling and the short-term forecasting of electricity loads. Two building blocks of our approach are (i) modelling the overall trend and seasonality by fitting a generalised additive model to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho , Yannig Goude , Xavier Brossat , Qiwei Yao

The increasing use of renewable energy sources with variable output, such as solar photovoltaic and wind power generation, calls for Smart Grids that effectively manage flexible loads and energy storage. The ability to forecast consumption…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-04-02 Andreas Veit , Christoph Goebel , Rohit Tidke , Christoph Doblander , Hans-Arno Jacobsen

Rapid progress in machine learning and deep learning has enabled a wide range of applications in the electricity load forecasting of power systems, for instance, univariate and multivariate short-term load forecasting. Though the strong…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-20 Yuqi Jiang , Yan Li , Yize Chen

Accurate mid-term (weeks to one year) hourly electricity load forecasts are essential for strategic decision-making in power plant operation, ensuring supply security and grid stability, planning and building energy storage systems, and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-01 Monika Zimmermann , Florian Ziel

A well-performing prediction model is vital for a recommendation system suggesting actions for energy-efficient consumer behavior. However, reliable and accurate predictions depend on informative features and a suitable model design to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-20 Alona Zharova , Antonia Scherz

As an important part of the power system, power load forecasting directly affects the national economy. The data shows that improving the load forecasting accuracy by 0.01% can save millions of dollars for the power industry. Therefore,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-01 Zhifang Liao , Haihui Pan , Qi Zeng , Xiaoping Fan , Yan Zhang , Song Yu

Accurate prediction of electric load is crucial in power grid planning and management. In this paper, we solve the electric load forecasting problem under extreme events such as scorching heats. One challenge for accurate forecasting is the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-16 Hengbo Liu , Ziqing Ma , Linxiao Yang , Tian Zhou , Rui Xia , Yi Wang , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun

Electricity load consumption may be extremely complex in terms of profile patterns, as it depends on a wide range of human factors, and it is often correlated with several exogenous factors, such as the availability of renewable energy and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-03 Aleksei Kychkin , Georgios C. Chasparis

Electricity is difficult to store, except at prohibitive cost, and therefore the balance between generation and load must be maintained at all times. Electricity is traditionally managed by anticipating demand and intermittent production…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-26 Julie Keisler , Margaux Bregere

This work presents a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for forecasting a monthly electricity demand time series with a one-year horizon. The novelty of this work is the use of pattern representation of the seasonal time series as an…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-04-29 Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek