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Inverse optimization (IO) is used to estimate unknown parameters of an optimization model from observed decisions. In the data-driven context, the estimated parameters are inherently uncertain, yet quantifying this uncertainty has received…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-05-26 Timothy C. Y. Chan , Nathan Sandholtz , Nasrin Yousefi

Multivariate time series imputation is often compromised by mismatch between the observed and true data distributions, a bias induced by the combined effects of time-series non-stationarity and systematic missingness. Standard methods that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-07 Che-Yi Liao , Zheng Dong , Gian-Gabriel Garcia , Kamran Paynabar

Order statistics theory is applied in this paper to probabilistic robust control theory to compute the minimum sample size needed to come up with a reliable estimate of an uncertain quantity under continuity assumption of the related…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2008-05-13 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou

Preferential attachment is widely used to model power-law behavior of degree distributions in both directed and undirected networks. Practical analyses on the tail exponent of the power-law degree distribution use the Hill estimator as one…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-17 Tiandong Wang , Sidney Resnick

The proportional hazards assumption in the commonly used Cox model for censored failure time data is often violated in scientific studies. Yang and Prentice (2005) proposed a novel semiparametric two-sample model that includes the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-06-06 Guoqing Diao , Donglin Zeng , Song Yang

This paper introduces the generalized Hausman test as a novel method for detecting non-normality of the latent variable distribution of unidimensional Item Response Theory (IRT) models for binary data. The test utilizes the pairwise maximum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-14 Lucia Guastadisegni , Silvia Cagnone , Irini Moustaki , Vassilis Vasdekis

The paper considers the problem of robust estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with dependent disturbances given by a general square integrable semimartingale with unknown distribution. An example of such a…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-20 Victor Konev , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

Conditional effects are commonly used measures for understanding how treatment effects vary across different groups, and are often used to target treatments/interventions to groups who benefit most. In this work we review existing methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Jiacheng Ge , Iván Díaz

The prediction of future insurance claims based on observed risk factors, or covariates, help the actuary set insurance premiums. Typically, actuaries use parametric regression models to predict claims based on the covariate information.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Mostafa Shams Esfand Abadi , Kaushik Ghosh

We present a general principle for estimating a regression function nonparametrically, allowing for a wide variety of data filtering, for example, repeated left truncation and right censoring. Both the mean and the median regression cases…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-02-10 Oliver Linton , Enno Mammen , Jens Perch Nielsen , Ingrid Van Keilegom

A fundamental concept in two-arm non-parametric survival analysis is the comparison of observed versus expected numbers of events on one of the treatment arms (the choice of which arm is arbitrary), where the expectation is taken assuming…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-07-10 Dominic Magirr

The modeling and analysis of lifetimes is an important aspect of statistical work in a wide variety of scientific and technological fields. For the first time, the called Kumaraswamy Pareto distribution is introduced and studied. The new…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-12-05 Marcelo B. Pereira , Rodrigo B. Silva , Luz M. Zea , Gauss M. Cordeiro

Suppose one has a collection of parameters indexed by a (possibly infinite dimensional) set. Given data generated from some distribution, the objective is to estimate the maximal parameter in this collection evaluated at this distribution.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-26 Alexander R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan

Bayesian nonparametric inferential procedures based on Markov chain Monte Carlo marginal methods typically yield point estimates in the form of posterior expectations. Though very useful and easy to implement in a variety of statistical…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-05-04 Julyan Arbel , Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti

We study the posterior distribution of the Bayesian multiple change-point regression problem when the number and the locations of the change-points are unknown. While it is relatively easy to apply the general theory to obtain the…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-08-21 Heng Lian

Competing risks occur in survival analysis when multiple causes of death are present. They play a prominent role in several domains extending beyond biostatistics to encompass epidemiology, actuarial sciences, and reliability theory. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-30 Claudio Del Sole , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection is important for deploying machine learning models in the real world, where test data from shifted distributions can naturally arise. While a plethora of algorithmic approaches have recently emerged for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-03 Peyman Morteza , Yixuan Li

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

In this paper we investigate the flexibility of matrix distributions for the modeling of mortality. Starting from a simple Gompertz law, we show how the introduction of matrix-valued parameters via inhomogeneous phase-type distributions can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-03 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt , Jorge Yslas

In this paper, we consider a discrete-time stochastic SIR model, where the transmission rate and the true number of infectious individuals are random and unobservable. An advantage of this model is that it permits us to account for random…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-01-30 Katia Colaneri , Camilla Damian , Rüdiger Frey