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A striking result of [Acharya et al. 2017] showed that to estimate symmetric properties of discrete distributions, plugging in the distribution that maximizes the likelihood of observed multiset of frequencies, also known as the profile…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-03 Yanjun Han , Kirankumar Shiragur

A new maximum approximate likelihood (ML) estimation algorithm for the mixture of Kent distribution is proposed. The new algorithm is constructed via the BSLM (block successive lower-bound maximization) framework and incorporates manifold…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-09-15 Hien D. Nguyen

When facing uncertainty, decision-makers want predictions they can trust. A machine learning provider can convey confidence to decision-makers by guaranteeing their predictions are distribution calibrated -- amongst the inputs that receive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-14 Shengjia Zhao , Michael P. Kim , Roshni Sahoo , Tengyu Ma , Stefano Ermon

This work introduces a new, explicit bound on the Hellinger distance between a continuous random variable and a Gaussian with matching mean and variance. As example applications, we derive a quantitative Hellinger central limit theorem and…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-23 Morgane Austern , Lester Mackey

We present a method for simultaneous Bayesian learning of the correlation matrix and graphical model of a multivariate dataset, along with uncertainties in each, to subsequently compute distance between the learnt graphical models of a pair…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-07 Kangrui Wang , Dalia Chakrabarty

We are interested in testing properties of distributions with systematically mislabeled samples. Our goal is to make decisions about unknown probability distributions, using a sample that has been collected by a confused collector, such as…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 Renato Ferreira Pinto , Nathaniel Harms

Model selection is of fundamental importance to high dimensional modeling featured in many contemporary applications. Classical principles of model selection include the Kullback-Leibler divergence principle and the Bayesian principle,…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-05-12 Jinchi Lv , Jun S. Liu

In this paper we propose a new deterministic approximation method, called discretization approximation, for Bayesian computation. Discretization approximation is very simple to understand and to implement, It only requires calculating…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-13 Shifeng Xiong

We study the problem of testing, using only a single sample, between mean field distributions (like Curie-Weiss, Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi) and structured Gibbs distributions (like Ising model on sparse graphs and Exponential Random Graphs). Our…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-05-24 Guy Bresler , Dheeraj Nagaraj

We study the following distribution clustering problem: Given a hidden partition of $k$ distributions into two groups, such that the distributions within each group are the same, and the two distributions associated with the two clusters…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Gunjan Kumar , Yash Pote , Jonathan Scarlett

In a smooth semi-parametric model, the marginal posterior distribution for a finite dimensional parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically equivalent to the sampling distribution of any efficient point-estimator. The assertion…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-26 Minwoo Chae , Yongdai Kim , Bas Kleijn

It has been argued persuasively that, in order to evaluate climate models, the probability distributions of model output need to be compared to the corresponding empirical distributions of observed data. Distance measures between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-07-17 Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir , Tilmann Gneiting , Nadine Gissibl

Nowadays, beta and Kumaraswamy distributions are the most popular models to fit continuous bounded data. These models present some characteristics in common and to select one of them in a practical situation can be of great interest. With…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-06-10 Rodrigo B. Silva , Wagner Barreto-Souza

We examine the extent to which sublinear-sample property testing and estimation apply to settings where samples are independently but not identically distributed. Specifically, we consider the following distributional property testing…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2025-11-05 Shivam Garg , Chirag Pabbaraju , Kirankumar Shiragur , Gregory Valiant

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a popular computational method for likelihood-free Bayesian inference. The term "likelihood-free" refers to problems where the likelihood is intractable to compute or estimate directly, but where it…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-21 Stuart Barber , Jochen Voss , Mark Webster

Divergence estimators based on direct approximation of density-ratios without going through separate approximation of numerator and denominator densities have been successfully applied to machine learning tasks that involve distribution…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-06-24 Makoto Yamada , Taiji Suzuki , Takafumi Kanamori , Hirotaka Hachiya , Masashi Sugiyama

We show that the square Hellinger distance between two Bayesian networks on the same directed graph, $G$, is subadditive with respect to the neighborhoods of $G$. Namely, if $P$ and $Q$ are the probability distributions defined by two…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-12-12 Constantinos Daskalakis , Qinxuan Pan

We aim at the construction of a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) of assigned complexity (number of states of the underlying Markov chain) which best approximates, in Kullback-Leibler divergence rate, a given stationary process. We establish, under…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-07-03 Lorenzo Finesso , Angela Grassi , Peter Spreij

Exponential random graph models are an important tool in the statistical analysis of data. However, Bayesian parameter estimation for these models is extremely challenging, since evaluation of the posterior distribution typically involves…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-05-05 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

This note presents a refined local approximation for the logarithm of the ratio between the negative multinomial probability mass function and a multivariate normal density, both having the same mean-covariance structure. This…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-04 Christian Genest , Frédéric Ouimet