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We analyze the dynamics of an algorithm for approximate inference with large Gaussian latent variable models in a student-teacher scenario. To model nontrivial dependencies between the latent variables, we assume random covariance matrices…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-26 Burak Çakmak , Manfred Opper

A key challenge in sequential decision making is optimizing systems safely under partial information. While much of the literature has focused on the cases of either partially known states or partially known dynamics, it is further…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-04-21 Qinyang He , Yonatan Mintz

Appropriate treatment regimens play a vital role in improving patient health status. Although some achievements have been made, few of the recent studies of learning treatment regimens have exploited different kinds of patient information…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2018-06-21 Khanh-Hung Hoang , Tu-Bao Ho

Policy makers typically face the problem of wanting to estimate the long-term effects of novel treatments, while only having historical data of older treatment options. We assume access to a long-term dataset where only past treatments were…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-11 Keith Battocchi , Eleanor Dillon , Maggie Hei , Greg Lewis , Miruna Oprescu , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Interactive segmentation is a promising strategy for building robust, generalisable algorithms for volumetric medical image segmentation. However, inconsistent and clinically unrealistic evaluation hinders fair comparison and misrepresents…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-13 Parhom Esmaeili , Virginia Fernandez , Pedro Borges , Eli Gibson , Sebastien Ourselin , M. Jorge Cardoso

In recent years, research interest in personalised treatments has been growing. However, treatment effect heterogeneity and possibly time-varying treatment effects are still often overlooked in clinical studies. Statistical tools are needed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-27 Caterina Gregorio , Giovanni Baj , Giulia Barbati , Francesca Ieva

Precision medicine is an evolving area in the medical field and rely on biomarkers to make patient enrichment decisions, thereby providing drug development direction. A traditional statistical approach is to find the cut-off that leads to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-14 Gina D'Angelo , Xiaowen Tian , Chuyu Deng , Xian Zhou

This paper develops a nonparametric model that represents how sequences of outcomes and treatment choices influence one another in a dynamic manner. In this setting, we are interested in identifying the average outcome for individuals in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-01-16 Sukjin Han

Large health care data repositories such as electronic health records (EHR) open new opportunities to derive individualized treatment strategies for complicated diseases such as sepsis. In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-03 Nilanjana Laha , Aaron Sonabend-W , Rajarshi Mukherjee , Tianxi Cai

The estimation of unknown values of parameters (or hidden variables, control variables) that characterise a physical system often relies on the comparison of measured data with synthetic data produced by some numerical simulator of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-28 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson

From personalised medicine to targeted advertising, it is an inherent task to provide a sequence of decisions with historical covariates and outcome data. This requires understanding of both the dynamics and heterogeneity of treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu

Functional data analysis, which handles data arising from curves, surfaces, volumes, manifolds and beyond in a variety of scientific fields, is a rapidly developing area in modern statistics and data science in the recent decades. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-21 Xiaoke Zhang , Wu Xue , Qiyue Wang

The development of high-throughput sequencing and targeted therapies has led to the emergence of personalized medicine: a patient's molecular profile or the presence of a specific biomarker of drug response will correspond to a treatment…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-27 Jonas Béal , Aurélien Latouche

We introduce Deep Jump Gaussian Processes (DJGP), a novel method for surrogate modeling of a piecewise continuous function on a high-dimensional domain. DJGP addresses the limitations of conventional Jump Gaussian Processes (JGP) in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-16 Yang Xu , Chiwoo Park

This paper studies the identification of causal effects of a continuous treatment using a new difference-in-difference strategy. Our approach allows for endogeneity of the treatment, and employs repeated cross-sections. It requires an…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-04-18 Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Stefan Hoderlein , Yuya Sasaki

There is a fast-growing literature on estimating optimal treatment regimes based on randomized trials or observational studies under a key identifying condition of no unmeasured confounding. Because confounding by unmeasured factors cannot…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-12 Yifan Cui , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

The cyclical and heterogeneous nature of many substance use disorders highlights the need to adapt the type or the dose of treatment to accommodate the specific and changing needs of individuals. The Adaptive Treatment for Alcohol and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-22 William J. Artman , Ashkan Ertefaie , Kevin G. Lynch , James R. McKay , Brent A. Johnson

Partial identification approaches are a flexible and robust alternative to standard point-identification approaches in general instrumental variable models. However, this flexibility comes at the cost of a ``curse of cardinality'': the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-06-30 Florian Gunsilius

We propose a statistical-stochastic surrogate modeling approach to predict the response of the mean and variance statistics under various initial conditions and external forcing perturbations. The proposed modeling framework extends the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2023-04-07 Di Qi , John Harlim

A dynamic treatment regime effectively incorporates both accrued information and long-term effects of treatment from specially designed clinical trials. As these become more and more popular in conjunction with longitudinal data from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-08-29 Rui Song , Weiwei Wang , Donglin Zeng , Michael R. Kosorok