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Many marketing applications, including credit card incentive programs, offer rewards to customers who exceed specific spending thresholds to encourage increased consumption. Quantifying the causal effect of these thresholds on customers is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Kohsuke Kubota , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Regression Discontinuity (RD) designs rely on the continuity of potential outcome means at the cutoff, but this assumption often fails when other treatments or policies are implemented at this cutoff. We characterize the bias in sharp and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-25 Dor Leventer , Daniel Nevo

We study causal inference under case-control and case-population sampling. Specifically, we focus on the binary-outcome and binary-treatment case, where the parameters of interest are causal relative and attributable risks defined via the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-24 Sung Jae Jun , Sokbae Lee

Treatment effects in regression discontinuity designs (RDDs) are often estimated using local regression methods. \cite{Hahn:01} demonstrated that the identification of the average treatment effect at the cutoff in RDDs relies on the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-30 Weiwei Jiang , Rong J. B. Zhu

Regression discontinuity designs have been widely used in observational studies to estimate causal effects of an intervention or treatment at a cutoff point. We propose a generalization of regression discontinuity designs to handle complex…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-24 Daisuke Kurisu , Yidong Zhou , Taisuke Otsu , Hans-Georg Müller

Explanations of the internal validity of regression discontinuity designs (RDD) generally appeal to the idea that RDDs are ``as good as" random near the treatment cut point. Cattaneo, Frandsen, and Titiunik (2015) are the first to take this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-26 Sophie Litschwartz

We introduce Robust Bayesian Sequential Borrowing (RBSB), a framework for extrapolating evidence across adjacent subgroups in multi-population clinical programmes where studies are conducted in sequence and populations are ordered by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-27 Erik Hermansson , Lynn Dunsire , David Svensson , Thomas Jaki

Our method extends the application of random spanning trees to cases where the response variable belongs to the exponential family, making it suitable for a wide range of real-world scenarios, including non-Gaussian likelihoods. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-18 Ruiman Zhong , Erick A. Chacón-Montalván , Paula Moraga

Causal inference has recently garnered significant interest among recommender system (RS) researchers due to its ability to dissect cause-and-effect relationships and its broad applicability across multiple fields. It offers a framework to…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2024-07-09 Huishi Luo , Fuzhen Zhuang , Ruobing Xie , Hengshu Zhu , Deqing Wang , Zhulin An , Yongjun Xu

The boundary discontinuity (BD) design is a non-experimental method for identifying causal effects that exploits a thresholding rule based on a bivariate score and a boundary curve. This widely used method generalizes the univariate…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-16 Matias D. Cattaneo , Rocio Titiunik , Ruiqi Rae Yu

Epidemiologic screening programs often make use of tests with small, but non-zero probabilities of misdiagnosis. In this article, we assume the target population is finite with a fixed number of true cases, and that we apply an imperfect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-22 Lin Ge , Yuzi Zhang , Lance A. Waller , Robert H. Lyles

The discovery of rare genetic variants through Next Generation Sequencing is a very challenging issue in the field of human genetics. We propose a novel region-based statistical approach based on a Bayes Factor (BF) to assess evidence of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-02-21 Jingxiong Xu , Wei Xu , Laurent Briollais

Sequential design of experiments for optimizing a reward function in causal systems can be effectively modeled by the sequential design of interventions in causal bandits (CBs). In the existing literature on CBs, a critical assumption is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-06 Zirui Yan , Arpan Mukherjee , Burak Varıcı , Ali Tajer

In this paper, we propose the use of causal inference techniques for survival function estimation and prediction for subgroups of the data, upto individual units. Tree ensemble methods, specifically random forests were modified for this…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-03-23 Vikas Ramachandra

In Regression Discontinuity (RD) design, self-selection leads to different distributions of covariates on two sides of the policy intervention, which essentially violates the continuity of potential outcome assumption. The standard RD…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-22 Sida Peng , Yang Ning

Selection bias can occur when subjects are included or excluded in the analysis based upon some selection criteria for the study population. The bias can jeopardize the validity of the study and sensitivity analyses for assessing the effect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-14 Stina Zetterstrom , Ingeborg Waernbaum

Dynamic prediction of causal effects under different treatment regimes conditional on an individual's characteristics and longitudinal history is an essential problem in precision medicine. This is challenging in practice because outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-07 Yizhen Xu , Jisoo Kim , Laura K. Hummers , Ami A. Shah , Scott Zeger

We present new methods to estimate causal effects retrospectively from micro data with the assistance of a machine learning ensemble. This approach overcomes two important limitations in conventional methods like regression modeling or…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-07-12 Cyrus Samii , Laura Paler , Sarah Zukerman Daly

Selective inference methods are developed for group lasso estimators for use with a wide class of distributions and loss functions. The method includes the use of exponential family distributions, as well as quasi-likelihood modeling for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-28 Yiling Huang , Sarah Pirenne , Snigdha Panigrahi , Gerda Claeskens

In medical settings, treatment assignment may be determined by a clinically important covariate that predicts patients' risk of event. There is a class of methods from the social science literature known as regression discontinuity (RD)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-13 Youngjoo Cho , Chen Hu , Debashis Ghosh