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相关论文: Selecting Subpopulations for Causal Inference in R…

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Claiming causal inferences in network settings necessitates careful consideration of the often complex dependency between outcomes for actors. Of particular importance are treatment spillover or outcome interference effects. We consider…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-18 Duncan A. Clark , Mark S. Handcock

Causal inference, especially in observational studies, relies on untestable assumptions about the true data-generating process. Sensitivity analysis helps us determine how robust our conclusions are when we alter these underlying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-11 Nikita Dhawan , Daniel Shen , Leonardo Cotta , Chris J. Maddison

The practical utility of causality in decision-making is widespread and brought about by the intertwining of causal discovery and causal inference. Nevertheless, a notable gap exists in the evaluation of causal discovery methods, where…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-01 Chris Chinenye Emezue , Alexandre Drouin , Tristan Deleu , Stefan Bauer , Yoshua Bengio

This article investigates the model-robustness of fixed-effects models for analyzing a broad class of longitudinal cluster trials (CTs) such as stepped-wedge, parallel-with-baseline and crossover designs, encompassing both randomized (CRTs)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-10 Kenneth M. Lee , Fan Li

Randomized experiments have become a standard tool in economics. In analyzing randomized experiments, the traditional approach has been based on the Stable Unit Treatment Value (SUTVA: \cite{rubin}) assumption which dictates that there is…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-29 Bora Kim

Generative Bayesian Computation (GBC) methods are developed for Casual Inference. Generative methods are simulation-based methods that use a large training dataset to represent posterior distributions as a map (a.k.a. optimal transport) to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-25 Maria Nareklishvili , Nicholas Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Causal inference in longitudinal biomedical data remains a central challenge, especially in psychiatry, where symptom heterogeneity and latent confounding frequently undermine classical estimators. Most existing methods for treatment effect…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-28 Eric V. Strobl

Bayesian variable selection often assumes normality, but the effects of model misspecification are not sufficiently understood. There are sound reasons behind this assumption, particularly for large $p$: ease of interpretation, analytical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-07 David Rossell , Francisco J. Rubio

When applied in healthcare, reinforcement learning (RL) seeks to dynamically match the right interventions to subjects to maximize population benefit. However, the learned policy may disproportionately allocate efficacious actions to one…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-15 Jitao Wang , Chengchun Shi , John D. Piette , Joshua R. Loftus , Donglin Zeng , Zhenke Wu

After selection with the Group LASSO (or generalized variants such as the overlapping, sparse, or standardized Group LASSO), inference for the selected parameters is unreliable in the absence of adjustments for selection bias. In the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-16 Snigdha Panigrahi , Peter W. MacDonald , Daniel Kessler

Multiple long-term conditions (MLTC) are increasingly observed in clinical practice globally. Clustering methods to group diseases into commonly co-occurring clusters have been of interest for further understanding of how MLTC group…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-02 James Rafferty , Keith R Abrams , Munir Pirmohamed , Mark Davies , Rhiannon K Owen

We study the estimation of causal effects on group-level parameters identified from microdata (e.g., child penalties). We demonstrate that standard one-step methods (such as pooled OLS and IV regressions) are generally inconsistent due to…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-13 Dmitry Arkhangelsky , Kazuharu Yanagimoto , Tom Zohar

Causal inference often hinges on strong assumptions - such as no unmeasured confounding or perfect compliance - that are rarely satisfied in practice. Partial identification offers a principled alternative: instead of relying on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-20 Tobias Maringgele

We demonstrate how Hahn et al.'s Bayesian Causal Forests model (BCF) can be used to estimate conditional average treatment effects for the longitudinal dataset in the 2022 American Causal Inference Conference Data Challenge. Unfortunately,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-05-15 Ajinkya H. Kokandakar , Hyunseung Kang , Sameer K. Deshpande

In modern large-scale observational studies, data collection constraints often result in partially labeled datasets, posing challenges for reliable causal inference, especially due to potential labeling bias and relatively small size of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-22 Yuqian Zhang , Abhishek Chakrabortty , Jelena Bradic

Algorithms for constraint-based causal discovery select graphical causal models among a space of possible candidates (e.g., all directed acyclic graphs) by executing a sequence of conditional independence tests. These may be used to inform…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-19 Ting-Hsuan Chang , Zijian Guo , Daniel Malinsky

We extend the regression discontinuity (RD) design to settings where each unit's treatment status is an average or aggregate across multiple discontinuity events. Such situations arise in many studies where the outcome is measured at a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-03 Kirill Borusyak , Matan Kolerman-Shemer

Change-plane regression identifies subpopulations through an interpretable linear threshold rule, but likelihood-based inference for the hard-threshold boundary is nonregular: objectives are non-smooth, the boundary is weakly identified…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Yuki Ohnishi , Fan Li

Model misspecification is ubiquitous in data analysis because the data-generating process is often complex and mathematically intractable. Therefore, assessing estimation uncertainty and conducting statistical inference under a possibly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-19 Rong Li , Yichen Qin , Yang Li

We propose a general approach for training survival analysis models that minimizes a worst-case error across all subpopulations that are large enough (occurring with at least a user-specified minimum probability). This approach uses a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-22 Shu Hu , George H. Chen
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